Xiao Yikun:4.7黄金高处不胜寒、后市望回落解套

The two most important aspects of investing are: firstly, to understand and analyze a market trend; The second is to understand risk control, and as an investor, one should have a good mentality and correct investment concepts; Positive people see an opportunity in every crisis, while negative people see some kind of crisis in every opportunity; Faced with volatile market conditions, we must seize every opportunity. Seizing an opportunity is equivalent to seizing tomorrow!

　　

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Overnightgold表现亮眼，涨幅达0.82%。毫无疑问，弱势美元成为黄金反弹的最有力推手，美联储官员的鸽派言论重挫了美元前期的强劲势头，黄金也借此扬眉吐气。

　　前期美国经济数据相当优异，去年美国第四季度实际GDP年化季率终值达到4.3%，连续两个季度正向增长，而PMI值也是连续创下历史新高。市场对美国经济的信心也更加高涨，但也增加了市场对美联储货币政策可能提前收紧的忧虑，美债收益率最高飙升到1.774%，这显然不是美联储希望的结果。

Monday(4month5day)克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特再次唱响鸽声，他认为美联储应该坚持宽松的货币政策，就业市场还未恢复到疫情前的水平，对于货币政策要保持耐心，这可以视作美联储安抚市场的又一举动，结果就是美元创下近一周新低，黄金得到助力反弹。综合来看短期内美国货币政策收紧的概率不大，短期黄金多头还有机会。

Analysis of Gold Trends;

　　黄金昨日延续性上扬收在高位，开盘即慢性上涨，由于美元指数台阶弱势下行，提振金价进一步反弹收复，最高触及1745.虽然稍有停顿，但尾盘时段并未出现冲高回落的收盘，这种区间的上轨阻力，在震荡行情中，探高后没有快速回落，使得今日开盘仍处于高位。昨天行情破位1737的阻力后，已经处在了空头的最后防守区域1745-1755区间，并且连续的拉涨也有回调需求，若能破位1755，则看趋势波段化拉涨。若价格跌破关键支撑位，行情会转为震荡偏空，运行1755-1720的横盘震荡。

Today's market can be analyzed from the following points:

　　1Market from1676两次拉涨，目前最主要的阻力在1755位置，是日线级别的空头趋势阻力，同时也是能否构筑双底的关键。若突破1755则展开波段拉涨，去往1785-1800，守住不破，则运行震荡回调行情。美指的连续杀跌后已经靠近支撑，倾向于企稳上扬，黄金也倾向于不破1755，继续运行震荡走势。

　　2、1From an hourly cycle perspective, the price varies from1676Going up, after1715-1705、1720-1710、1730-1721、1738-1727的四次回调，上涨至1745，其多头趋势保持延续，市场的密集支撑处在1730-1736区域，只要价格守住1730不破，就继续以顺势多单为主，若跌破1730，则以1720-1745震荡横盘思路，关注高空机会。

　　3、日内回调至1736-1730区域可关注多单机会，止损1728，止盈目标去看1745-1750。若价格跌破1730，则关注反弹高空机会，可在1740Short nearby, stop loss1748Look at the target of stopping profit1728-1725。

　　日内操作，黄金守住1730看极强式多头，关注1736-1730区域止跌做多，止损1728Stop surplus1745-1750； If the price falls below1730转换思路看震荡，关注1740Short selling, stop loss1748Stop profit target1728-1725。关于今日的操作，本人将会在 威辛 xyk66099 在线指导，准确率百分之九十以上，萧亦坤指导(Every day, the Asian, European, and American markets provide timely analysis and direction)Free guidance.

Gold and SilverTDtechnical analysis:

GoldTD: GoldTD走势当然跟随现货黄金就好，毕竟是一个不同报价而已走势基本一样，现在连续上涨支撑上移365区域，也即是说周初回落继续买入365Loss target368reach375区域，至于做空暂时回避，等现货出现做空信号在参与。

SilverTD：日线在亮亮月反弹之后，收十字星，今日线有望再次十字星，昨天冲高布林中轨回落，今天上方依旧关注布林中轨，若突破，则关注60线，多头量能保持释放状态；4hourV字结构反弹，昨天一度突破所有均线，上方无均线压制，多头量能略有不足，1小时出现明显背离迹象。白银td有上涨的欲望和动力，但日内超短线出现明显的量价背离迹象，日内最好的选择是先跌后涨，如果先冲高不追多，谨防冲高回落，日内可先空后多。

　　交易计划：1、日内先冲高5270-5290，开空一次，保护5300, look at the goal5200-5170；2、日内首次回撤5110-30,接多一次，保护5090, look at the goal5190-5250；3、日内强行突破5300Point, available at5350附近二次开空，止损带30Point, look at the target5300-5250。

Paper Silver:

Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以萧亦坤认为纸白银重新上涨到5.32-5.57The probability is high. The paper silver cycle is still bullish, and there may be a rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, the main focus is still on low level layout.

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The road to success is not crowded, because there are not many people who persist; How far can you go on this road of investment? It depends on who you are walking with.