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Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to me. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.
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United States3monthMarkitService industryPMI终值发布,为60.4,超出预期值的60.2And previous values60, creating2014year7月以来新高。美国3monthISMNon manufacturingPMIby63.7,远超预期的58.5And previous values55.3,种种迹象表明,在疫苗接种和大规模财政刺激的推动下,美国经济正在蓬勃发展,这将是美元走高的有力支撑。该数据和美国3月非农就业数据相互印证,都显示出美国经济的活力,但也会增加市场对通胀的忧虑,以及对美国货币政策的怀疑,这可能继续推高美债收益率,进而打压金价。
黄金日线收小阴十字K线。目前5Japan and Japan10日均线金叉形成,MACDRun up,KDJ向上运行,指标看涨。黄金日线二次探底1676没有跌破,企稳在1678-1677附近再次大幅反弹,看起来好像企稳了,但还需要进一步突破1755and1760关口才能真正形成双底,否则在1676-1755继续震荡不是没有可能,甚至新低也是可能的。没有突破1755-1676前还是可以在区间内高抛低吸,更多以低位布局多单为主,多单可以尝试博弈中线。
From4小时图上来看,现货黄金处于高位震荡,目前短期EMA5andEMA10均线粘合向上,MACDRun up,KDJ走平粘合,指标无明显方向。黄金维持高位小区间震荡,目前仍然保持高位强势,接下来短线就看上方压力1745Regional*, followed by1750-1755Area and1760关口的*,若能有效突破并站稳上升到1740-1760水平上方,后市才能建立中短期的看涨情绪。今日这几个压力位区域受阻将可能再次出现大幅回落风险。若能突破1755-1760区域将打破空头*,打开上方空间,未来就将重返1800上方,否则就继续关注1760-1676大区间波动,突破区间前可以高抛低吸,突破后顺势跟进,特别是向上突破的情况下空间更大持续时间更久。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上周旺金建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1715-1720Frontline support.