王德诚：永不言弃，4.6白银甲醇PTA原油期货操作分析

     有接近一个月没有更新文章了，直到上周有个陌生朋友主动联系我，问我怎么这么长时间没有更新文章，我才发觉还有人一直默默关注着我，甚是感动啊。其实我这段时间一直在一边忙于操盘一边在准备第15届全国futures实盘大赛，很有点忙，所以就没时间去更新行情分析的文章。翻年过来，行情不是很好，市场很多散户朋友被深套，我二月份基本上都是在处理这些朋友的套单，三月份就在帮期中一些人操盘挽损。其实期货这东西，你只要把某一个或者两个可靠的技术指标弄通透，一天稳定的赚个五六百千把块还是很正常的，但是想一天随便赚个三四千就有点不现实了，希望各位亏损的朋友都能调整一下心态，亏损了不气馁，有机会慢慢来。

    好了，言归正传。现在开始分析白银、甲醇、PTA、crude oil主力期货的后市行情走势。

    Silver Main Contract:

    上周五白银大幅拉升反弹100Multiple point reporting5264大阳线走势，从近期来看，美元触底反弹以及美长期债券收益率的上升，对贵金属的利空作用在减弱。另外，随着美PPIRebound to a relatively high level in recent years, and the market may pay attention in the later stagePPIIs it possible toCPIEspecially the coreCPIThe issue of conduction. If it can driveCPIIf the rebound continues, then the recent turmoil in industrial products is indeed feeding back the logic of the market's inflation expectations, and market preference will further increase.

     On short-term operations, silver2106合约，白银调整蓄势发力大跳水行情走势，笔者王德诚建议白银回踩5237支撑下方进场多单策略。

   甲醇主力合约:

    上周五甲醇猛烈反洗90点左右调整报收2435大阳线行情，2-6Expected maintenance projects for methanol in the month involve production capacity of up to2000Ten thousand tons, of which the specific maintenance time of some projects in this volume still needs further follow-up. From the perspective of distribution time, maintenance projects are mostly concentrated in3Mid to late4month;2Month5Month and6There is not much involvement for the time being. Affected by the dual control of energy consumption in Inner Mongolia, some methanol enterprises in the Ordos region have reduced their production burden10-20%For example, Rongxin, New Austria, and Northwest Energy have all reduced their burden. Planned maintenance for the first half of next week in the second phase of the New Olympics; Rongxin3Mid month planned rotation inspection; Northwest Energy4There is a maintenance plan for the month. Weekly destocking of port inventory. by2021year3month4On the day, the total social inventory of methanol at ports in East and South China is62.9210000 tons, down from last week6.92Ten thousand tons. The arrival volume of East China ships at the port is lower than expected, and some warehouse areas have transshipment of goods, so the overall inventory has mainly decreased.

    On short-term operation, methanol2105合约，目前甲醇蓄势发力大幅下杀行情形态，笔者建议甲醇冲高2454压力下方分批进场空单策略为主。

   PTAMain contract:

   Last FridayPTA区间整理波动100Report at around o'clock4466大阳线形态，上游原料：12Japan AsiaPXMarket closing price859.33dollar/tonCFRChina and841.33beautiful/tonFOBSouth Korea, up from the previous working day14dollar/Tons. yesterdayMXThe price is771dollar/tonCFRTaiwan, Rising7dollar/Tons; Naphtha price622dollar/tonCFRJapan, Rising6.25dollar/Tons. Spot price:PTASpot Market East China Region Quotation4400Previous transaction-105仓单库存：郑商所PTA注册仓单为367913，较上一个交易日-4470张，有效预报为3962张。

    短线操作上，PTA2105CurrentlyPTA进入疲软承压回落行情走势，笔者王德诚建议PTA冲高4613压力下方分批进场空单策略为主。

    原油主力合约:

    原油猛烈拉升上涨20Report at around o'clock409大阳线行情，在大规模财政措施、持续宽松的货币政策以及经济重新开放的刺激下，2021The economic growth rate of the United States may reach6.5%； It is expected that the economic growth rate of the United States will be2022Annual decrease3.5%And in the2023-2024Gradually decreasing in the year2%。全球最大对冲基金桥水的联席首席投资官Greg表示，全球经济即将迎来新一轮通胀浪潮，或迫使美联储较原计划提前采取加息行动。全球经济复苏，带动原油需求恢复，但阿斯利康疫苗出现副作用，欧洲各国暂停接种，影响市场对疫苗的信心。

    短线操作上，原油2105合约，原油区间整理蓄势上冲破位行情走势，王德诚建议回踩399一线支撑去布局多单。

    拒绝高利诱惑，坚持理性投资。投资理财是高风险的事，没那么好赚大钱，保持理智理性最重要，一定要合理的去分配投资资金，千万不要因为投资影响了家庭生活的正常运转。笔者王德诚，期货从业资格证编号T329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。