Tan Xinsheng:4.5黄金市场多单押注增加 操作上回落风险也需提防

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goldInformation analysis:

Monday(4month5day)，现货黄金承压，尽管美国总统拜登上周宣布了近2万亿美元的就业刺激计划，引发市场对通胀飙升的担忧，但美元指数走强限制了金价反弹空间。同时，上周五美国劳工部报告称3月份就业增长强于预期也在打压金价的上涨。虽然上周五的非农数据表现强劲，但近期再度抬头的欧美疫情在一定程度上支撑金价。

数据面上，今日周一，晚间22:00公布美国3monthISMNon manufacturingPMI(Previous value55.3, expected59，利多美元），公布美国2月耐用品订单月率终值（前值和预期都是-1.1%），公布美国2月工厂订单月率（前值2.6%, expected-0.5%，利空美元）。晚间数据差异较大，夹杂上周五非农报告发布之时市场休市，今晚行情宽幅震荡拉盘的概率较大，注意提防风险。

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Gold market analysis:

3月份现货黄金围绕1676-1760of84美元区间来回的跑，上半个月攀升向上，下半个月承压回落，回到原点，刚好完成拱桥形状，在拱桥过后并未有直接继续放量，反而是将节奏重新拉回区间震荡。3月最后一周放量完成拱桥形态1733-1678下跌将近55美元，不过随后探底回升收复所有的跌幅，反弹上涨52美元，基本将下跌的空间收回。既然3月份没有能够改变大区间震荡，那么进入4月份仍是先看大区间范围对待。

技术面日线上，日线布林带上下轨区间收窄1757-1691区域，四小时重回生1705上方区域，在前面的震荡行情节奏中，需要留意破起涨和起跌点是行情转变的开始，延续性是行情加速的关键。而上周尾盘的探底回升节奏中，起涨点仍是保持有效，从1705向上攀升破高，回踩起涨点1710继续向上攀升破高，上周五尾盘回踩支撑1721也在今日亚盘时段再度获得支撑，接下来且看是否破高站上1730上方，若是可以，金价将有望继续攀升寻找1736-1740-1745Area.

今日周一，由于仍是处于假期状况，市场的交投会比较清淡以及谨慎，目前金价处于1730-1720的区间范围内，因此在操作中先关注这个区间的上下范围运行，破位切换10-20美元区间。目前谭鑫晟分析认为仍是以起涨点作为行情分界，破起涨点则节奏开始变化，1725and1721现在是下方重点位置，也是上周尾盘回踩确定的支撑点，并以此向上攀升止于1730Gateway.

综上所述，若现货黄金能够守住1721-1720区域的支撑，金价看攀升上破1730高点，其次上看1740-1745区域。若跌破1720关口，则关注1710-1705Area and1700关口。明确关键的支撑阻力位置，以1730作为分界切换区间对待，接下来且关注1730得失了。截止写稿黄金在1725附近震荡偏下行，操作上等待回调企稳进场多单！

Reference suggestions for gold operations:

1、持有此前激进1727-1728区域的空单，止损1733Go ahead, look at the target1722-1720Area, break down and take a look1710-1705-1700Area, break hold

2、若金价回落再次在1721-1720区域附近支撑有效再进行多单布局，止损1715下，目标先1728-1730Area, look up1736-1740-1745Area, break hold

3、若是金价回落下破了1720关口的支撑，则晚间做多时间等到1710-1705区域附近，止损1700Next, let's take a look at the target first1715-1720Area, look up1725-1730Area, break hold

Full day real-time online guidance WeChat:txc296】This article was written and released by Tan Xinsheng. Please indicate the source for reprinting. Because of the delay of network push and the timeliness of sending documents, the above content belongs to personal analysis. Real time market risk control needs to be flexible to deal with, and eliminate the risk of carrying orders. The content is only for reference. Investors should bear their own operational risk accordingly!

As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time we should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity. We need to avoid frequent entry, and do not attempt to capture all the volatility in our operations. We also do not expect to judge every segment of the market correctly. It should be rare and precise!