Li Jucai:4.2黄金非农后精准策略及黄金解套；黄金白银TDexercise...

《goldAnalysis of Market Trends
　　
Thursday（4month1日）现货黄金窄幅震荡，交投于1706Nearby. Wednesday（3month31日）金价探底回升，上涨1.33%，受美元回落推动。随着美国政府发放1400多美元的刺激支票，许多人想知道，未来能否获得更多刺激支票。虽然现在的答案是否定的，但美国政府可能为有孩子的家庭和失业者提供更多帮助。专家表示，疫情可能对政府援助的处理方式产生持久影响。此外，拜登计划将企业税提高至28%，并提议把美国最低企业税率提高至21%。拜登称，他不会增加任何年收入不足40万美元人的负担，他的目的不是惩罚富人市场对拜登的经济刺激计划早有预期，能源股全线走低，与之相对的是科技股的强势反弹。尽管民主党以微弱优势控制了参众两院，但他们在通过基础设施计划方面仍面临挑战。共和党人普遍支持重建道路、桥梁和机场以及扩大宽带接入的努力，但共和党人反对将增税作为这一过程的一部分。因此，拜登的这一刺激法案能否以目前形式在国会通过依然未知。第四轮刺激支票不太可能推出，联邦政府接下来可能提供一定援助。
　　
　　金价在经历两连跌后迎来反弹，盘面出现反转信号“平头底部”，暗示目前多头扭转了时局。不过多头上方将直面趋势线压力，若日内未能站上趋势线上方，则表明多头力量仍然脆弱，若能强势突破，则有望完成W形筑底，迎来一波升势。日线级别震荡下跌；上一交易日金价在多重支撑位1677附近企稳反弹，K线录得“斩回线”形态，削弱了短线看空信号；投资者需要提防双重底的可能性。上方关注布林线中轨1723.67附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，则增加后市看涨信号。布林线下轨目前在1684.91附近，若回落至该位置下方，则增加后市看空信号。4小时级别初步VType reversal;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，短线偏向多头，若顶破布林线中轨1710.43附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号，进一步阻力分别参考1721.71and1733.45位置，布林线上轨阻力目前在1746.04Nearby. However,KDJofJ线运行至超买区域，下方留意10average1693.23附近支撑，若回落至该位置下方，则削弱短线看涨信号。所以综合分析操作上李钜财建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1730-1735Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1705-1700Frontline support.
　　
《crude oilAnalysis of Market Trends
　　
United StatesWTI 5Monthly crude oilfuturesElectronic disk prices Thursday(4month1day)Closing up2.08USD, increase3.52%Report61.24dollar/桶。油价周四上涨逾3%, becauseOPEC+达成逐步增产协议，对需求持续增长的预期是一种肯定。OPEC+Agree on5Month6Month and7月分别增产3510000 barrels/Day3510000 barrels/Rihe4010000 barrels/日左右。李钜财表示具有讽刺意味的是，市场认同OPEC+的说法，即需求将增加，原油将被需要，尽管OPEC在会议前几天多次呼吁保持谨慎。根据周四的协议，从5月起，OPEC+的减产幅度将略高于65010000 barrels/Day,4月时为略低于70010000 barrels/日。另外，沙特还将分阶段撤回10010000 barrels/日的额外减产。沙特人很了解需求情况，因此此举表明他们对反弹很有信心。即使OPEC+提高产量，而且美国产量回到110010000 barrels/日以上，也会赶不上原油需求。
　　
　　今天是2021year4month2Number, as proof! Our small goal for crude oil this year is80美元，必到！从4From an hourly perspective, the Bollinger Line track operates horizontally, and we will continue to pay attention to the Bollinger Line track62.2-63Regional breakthrough situation. Although oil prices have previously been hindered near the Bollinger Line track and have fallen back, they have currently received support from the Bollinger Line mid track. It is necessary to be cautious of the possibility of oil prices testing the Bollinger Line track resistance again. If this resistance is exceeded, it is expected to open up new upward space. Focus on63.88Nearby resistance, this position is67.98-57.25Downtrend61.8%Retract position. Stay tuned below60Integer level support, with the middle track of the Bollinger Line also near this position. If this support is breached, the oil price may be higher and further exploration of the lower track of the Bollinger Line may occur58.41附近支撑。综合分析操作上李钜财建议上方短期重点关注62.2-63Frontline resistance, short-term focus below60-60.2Frontline support.
　　
　　纸白银操作建议；4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, with some short-term setbacks. In terms of short-term operations, maintain a much lower mindset and a higher point5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以李钜财认为纸白银重新上涨到5.32-5.57The probability is high. The paper silver cycle is still bullish, and there may be a rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, the main focus is still on low level layout.
　　
　　黄金白银投资被套，如何快速解
　　
　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?
　　
　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.
　　
　　（3）降低均价法：被套后，如果是套在相对历史低点，就不用担心，因为黄金本身的价值决定了黄金不可能出现较大跌幅，必然会有反弹的空间，这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入，逢低15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when gold experiences a rebound, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method.
　　
　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.
　　
　　本文由李钜财供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银、等大宗商品等有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。