zLi Jucai:4.2黄金下周是涨是跌？原油上看80美元？原油操...

SpotgoldLondon Gold, Market Analysis:
　　
Thursday(4month1day)黄金价格延续从9个月低点附近反弹的势头，因在投资者权衡拜登2.25万亿美元刺激计划的影响之际，美债收益率与美元下跌。纽约商品交易所6Monthly goldfuturesrise in price12.80美元，涨幅近0.8%, closing per ounce1728.40美元，周三该期货收高1.8%。钜财认为，这是结构性熊市中的向上修正，并补充称，金价可能攀升至1740美元，随后国债收益率恢复升势将推动金价再度下跌。美国劳工部公布的上周初请失业救济人数增加6.1万、升至71.9万，远高于市场预期的67.5万。初请失业救济数据“非常差”，提高了市场对黄金的避险需求。金价第一季度表现是数十年来同期最糟糕的一次，因全球经济复苏和疫苗接种使避险需求下降，同时美元和美债收益率上升也削弱了黄金的吸引力。
　　
　　黄金个人观点：盘面来看，月线价格在22The monthly moving average is supported, with expectations for this month rising first and then falling later. Looking at the daily chart, the strong buying power of the Great Yang has eaten up the lost land on Tuesday, so this power will continue. At least the strong Yang on the daily chart has limited the space for today's decline. The Great Yang on the daily chart is only a significant correction of the downward trend, but it is still too early to say a reversal because the positive line has been excessively pulled up, and the moving average cannot keep up, which is the second significant upward trend, The daily chart still needs to be confirmed again and again. As the market is closed on Friday, it is expected to be confirmed by next Tuesday. Therefore, in terms of time, bulls will continue. From a four hour perspective, the current price has experienced a setback after encountering obstacles. In this situation, there are expected to be two situations: one is a slight decline and a direct upward trend, forming a sharp upward trend; the other is that the gold price has undergone a downward trend. For the moving average, a direct significant upward trend is not enough time, and at least two to three factors need to be correctedKThe confirmation of the official daily chart after a single upward trend can only be carried out, so for next week, there is a bias towards correction and the overbought space repair index is traded for time. Therefore, a single upward trend is not scary, and whether it can continue is the key. From the perspective of multi cycle quantification, the focus above the daily line is suppressed1738-1740Here, the upper limit is1760For the upcoming week60That's not realistic either. And the four hour chart is expected to repeat two to three timesKFrom a horizontal to vertical perspective, if the price rebound is too deep, it directly affects the continuity of the upward trend, so for the expected decline1705就是比较理想的多单入场点。综合来看，下周操作上价格控盘李钜财建议上方重点关注1738-1740Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1705-1700Frontline support.
　　
Internationalcrude oilUS crude oil, market analysis:
　　
United StatesWTI 5Monthly crude oil futures electronic price Thursday(4month1day)Closing up2.08USD, increase3.52%Report61.24dollar/桶。油价周四上涨逾3%, becauseOPEC+达成逐步增产协议，对需求持续增长的预期是一种肯定。OPEC+Agree on5Month6Month and7月分别增产3510000 barrels/Day3510000 barrels/Rihe4010000 barrels/日左右。李钜财认为，具有讽刺意味的是，市场认同OPEC+的说法，即需求将增加，原油将被需要，尽管OPEC在会议前几天多次呼吁保持谨慎。根据周四的协议，从5月起，OPEC+的减产幅度将略高于65010000 barrels/Day,4月时为略低于70010000 barrels/日。另外，沙特还将分阶段撤回10010000 barrels/日的额外减产。沙特人很了解需求情况，因此此举表明他们对反弹很有信心。即使OPEC+提高产量，而且美国产量回到110010000 barrels/日以上，也会赶不上原油需求。
　　
　　原油个人观点：今天是2021year4month2Number, as proof! Our small goal for crude oil this year is80美元，必到！从4From an hourly perspective, the Bollinger Line track operates horizontally, and we will continue to pay attention to the Bollinger Line track62.2-63Regional breakthrough situation. Although oil prices have previously been hindered near the Bollinger Line track and have fallen back, they have currently received support from the Bollinger Line mid track. It is necessary to be cautious of the possibility of oil prices testing the Bollinger Line track resistance again. If this resistance is exceeded, it is expected to open up new upward space. Focus on63.88Nearby resistance, this position is67.98-57.25Downtrend61.8%Retract position. Stay tuned below60Integer level support, with the middle track of the Bollinger Line also near this position. If this support is breached, the oil price may be higher and further exploration of the lower track of the Bollinger Line may occur58.41附近支撑。综合来看，原油下周操作上价格控盘李钜财建议上方短期重点关注62.2-63Frontline resistance, short-term focus below60-60.2Frontline support.
　　
　　纸白银个人观点：纸白银4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, with some short-term setbacks. In terms of short-term operations, maintain a much lower mindset and a higher point5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以价格控盘李钜财认为纸白银重新上涨到5.32-5.57The probability is high. The paper silver cycle is still bullish, and there may be a rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, the main focus is still on low level layout.
　　
　　本文由李钜财独家策划，分析文章只是对市场未来可能的描述，只是观点的表达，不作为投资决策依据，投资有风险，交易务必注意合理的仓位配置、资金管理和风险控制，无风控不交易，不要让交易失控！