Tan Xinsheng:4.1黄金临近关键压制位 走势操作上警惕突然转折

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goldInformation analysis:

Thursday(4month1day)亚市尾盘，受美元回落推动，现货黄金短线突然急涨，并逼近1720关口，目前金价交投在1718附近。拜登提出2.25万亿美元的刺激计划，可能为金价提供新的上涨动能。欧洲疫情的再次失控也可能促使欧洲避险资金进入金市。不过，美股及美债收益率的强势将持续压制多头的上涨空间。短线尽管多头暂时得势，不过需警惕空头反扑。日内重点关注初请失业金数据，美国3monthISMmanufacturingPMI也值得关注。

美国总统拜登周三公布了其基建计划的第一部分。美国参议院少数党领袖麦康奈尔表示，考虑到“大规模增税”以及其对国家债务的潜在影响，不太可能支持拜登的基建计划。白宫将在当地时间上午10:30(Tonight Beijing Time22:30)向参议员介绍基础设施计划，警惕美债收益率和美元走高对金价产生压力。

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*****Risk statement*****

Today, Thursday is the last trading day of the week, and the market is closed on Friday due to Good Friday. However, the normal release of non farm data means that the impact of Friday's non farm data will directly show a bearish situation when opening next Monday. Although the performance of small non farm stocks on Wednesday is relatively flat, it is not ruled out that other unexpected news will affect the bearish situation when opening next Monday. Therefore, after the end of trading today and Thursday, try to avoid leaving orders for the weekend (three days) to avoid unnecessary risks and accidents caused by short selling next Monday.

黄金行情分析操作策略安排：

黄金日线图看，昨日金价小幅盘整过后前低1676没有能进行有效下破反而企稳出现技术性大幅反弹拉升，昨日金价反弹重新突破1700Gateway and1710关口上方，但金价仍反弹然受制于1720关口压制，目前金价走势还是在空头掌控范围内。日线布林带三线走平，金价重新回到布林中轨与下轨之间运行，金价承压于中轨和10Daily moving average1722-1725区域压制。指标看，5Japan and Japan10The daily moving average has a dead cross downward,MACD双线粘合，红色动能柱缩小，KDJ粘合向上，RSIIndicator in55位置附近，指标无明显方向。

gold4小时图看，金价布林张口开始收窄，布林上下轨向中轨靠拢，金价在布林下轨反弹向上并突破中轨上方，短期均线EMA5AndEMA10双线拐头向上，MACD双线向上运行，红色动能柱持续放大，KDJ向上运行但有向下拐头的态势，RSI指标现在处于反弹回升后的超买态势中。指标显示看涨的同时需要警惕回落风险。

综合分析，谭鑫晟认为对于大涨大跌过后的行情，我们在操作中都要警惕。首先需要考虑其延续性，其次是突然的转折！今天黄金小幅回落1705附近后开启慢牛上涨的行情，也就是说今天黄金行情已经出现了延续，那么在接下来得行情当中我们就需要关注其转折。目前已经上涨到了1718附近已经接近关键压制位1720关口，破位站稳与否是后市走势的风向标。谭鑫晟在操作上做如下安排：

1、黄金反弹受阻1720附近及下方则布局空单，止损1725Go ahead, let's take a look at the target first1710-1705-1700Area, break down and take a look17695-1690/88Area, break hold

2、黄金反弹破位1720关口并企稳则跟进多单，止损1715Next, let's take a look at the target first1725-1728Area, look up1733-1735-1737Area and1740-1745Area, break hold

Full day real-time online guidance WeChat:SCLC415】This article was written and released by Tan Xinsheng. Please indicate the source for reprinting. Because of the delay of network push and the timeliness of sending documents, the above content belongs to personal analysis. Real time market risk control needs to be flexible to deal with, and eliminate the risk of carrying orders. The content is only for reference. Investors should bear their own operational risk accordingly!

As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time we should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity. We need to avoid frequent entry, and do not attempt to capture all the volatility in our operations. We also do not expect to judge every segment of the market correctly. It should be rare and precise!