Chen Yibo:3.31国际黄金，白银TD纸白银还会跌吗？能做多吗

goldInformation analysis:



　　现货黄金跌逾1.5%to3month9New low since the beginning of the day1683dollar/盎司，因疫苗接种加快以及美国大规模刺激引发通胀担忧，美债收益率升创14Month high1.774%，提升了非孳息黄金的持有成本。美债收益率上涨使得美元的投资魅力提升。资者担心对冲基金垮台的潜在影响，也强化了美元的避险作用，几乎没有迹象显示美元指数涨势已经结束，这导致黄金市场资金大量流出，金价重启跌势，或跌破前低1676.91dollar/盎司。本周稍晚将发布的美国月度非农就业报告将是本周关注焦点。目前为止，美联储官员仍称劳动力市场闲置是继续保持长期低利率立场的一个理由。荷兰合作银行在一份报告中写道：“本周市场对即将出炉的非农就业数据乐观，美元似乎很有可能得到强劲支撑。但市场可能消化了过多的通胀风险，这意味着我们认为未来几个月美元有走软空间。”更多做单策略及中长线布局可联系陈亦博


Gold trend analysis:



　　日线图看，昨日金价收阴下跌，金价跌破近二周震荡区域，显示金价短线表现疲弱，5Daily moving average and10日均线死叉向下，目前金价已经跌破1700关键支撑位。指标看，日线MACD向上黏合有拐头向下趋势，红色动能柱逐渐缩小，KDJRun down,RSI指标下移至31位置，布林带三线持续走平未开口，指标无明显方向但侧重偏空。目前金价持续在布林中轨和下轨之间运行，今日金价跌破1700触及下轨1695附近，形态上即将迎来转变。



From gold1小时周期图可以看出，本周开市后黄金波动幅度较大，周一在亚欧盘小幅下探后美盘大幅跳水，从形态上看，黄金属于破位1720关口加速下跌，有效跌破整理通道打开下方空间。周二延续跌势破位关键支撑位1700关口下探1695附近。指标上看，MACDRun down,KDJ向下但有拐头向上趋势，RSIbe in20下方显示已经超卖区域，指标显示黄金短期有反弹的概率。综上所述，短期黄金存在反弹，但方向上仍是偏空，在操作上陈亦博建议上方先关注1718-1715区域压制，其支转阻1720压制，下方1700关口已经破位，那么下方支撑需关注1673-1676区域。关于今日的操作，本人将会在威辛 在线指导，准确率百分之九十以上，陈亦博指导(Every day, the Asian, European, and American markets provide timely analysis and direction)Free guidance.



　　国内白银TDTrend analysis:



SilverTD技术面：周一(3.29day)silvertdThe opening performance has once again been under pressure, and the global stock market's upward trend and the strength of the US dollar have put pressure on silver pricest+dLatest trading in the market5150element/Around the kilogram, but in the early morning trading of the Asian market, silver is available in ShanghaiTDRemaining above the support of the mid track suggests that there is still some buying momentum and short-term bullish sentiment. silvertdMarket decline5110After the support of the first line of the yuan, it bottomed out and rebounded, but it cannot be stated that the price has completely fallen, and the upper level bottomed out and rebounded to the middle track30The daily moving average resistance is still bearish again. Today's Silvert+d钜财建议上方关注5225Yuan, and5300Resistance; Follow Below5050element/Support around kilograms, and5000Meta support.


Paper Silver:



Paper silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, and the upward structure of the four hour chart level fluctuation is extremely obvious. The moving average system presents a bullish pattern arrangement, and the thinking continues to be firm and bullish. Paper silver1The latest situation at the hour level. belong to1The overall hourly level maintains an upward trend, and there may be short-term setbacks within the day. The short-term operation maintains a much lower mentality, with the high point in the figure5.57-5.53Element is pressure,5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to5.0The yuan support has not been damaged, so Chen Yibo believes that paper and silver have risen again to5.32-5.57The probability is high. The paper silver cycle is still bullish, and there may be a rebound in the short term. In terms of operation, the main focus is still on low level layout.