This week(3month29Solstice4month3日),市场需要关注的数据包括英国和加拿大去年第四季度GDP, USA3monthADP就业人数和非农就业报告,以及中国制造业PMI数据。大事需关注OPEC+部长会议,以及美联储高级官员和美国总统拜登的讲话。此外,市场还要关注苏伊士运河货轮脱困进展,拜登基建计划,全球疫情和疫苗接种等一些重要事件。4month2日迎来耶稣受难日,全球多国交易所休市或调整交易时间,另外中国多个交易所因为清明节假休市或不进行夜盘交易,投资者也需对此保持留意。
上周金价震荡小幅走低,金价下跌12.71USD, decline0.73%, closing at1732.52dollar/盎司。金价下跌,主要受到以下几方面因素的影响。首先,美债收益率持续维持高位,这削弱了非孳息资产金价的吸引力,不利金价;美国疫情局势向好,但全球疫情局势严峻,这推升美元,不利于金价。此外,一些新兴市场国家央行升息、拜登的基建计划预期以及美联储官员对经济的乐观言论都给金价带来压力。投资者仍然需要密切关注美债的最新动态。同时,美国方面也会公布3月份的非农就业报告,而美联储诸多重量级官员也会发表讲话。此外,有关疫情进展和疫苗推广的相关动态都有可能给市场指引方向。美国商品futuresTrading Committee(CFTC)Friday(3month26day)The published report shows that as of3month17Solstice3month23日当周:黄金投机性净多头减少6129Hand contract, to174067手合约,表明投资者看多黄金的意愿降温。
3.29Gold market analysis:
From4From an hourly perspective, the gold price of the Bollinger Belt has flattened and narrowed in three tracks, and the gold price is currently oscillating between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Belt. Short term moving averageEMA5AndEMA10Maintain a cementing situation on both tracks,MACDIndicator kinetic energy column0Extremely reduced near the axis, with double-line bonding and leveling,RSIIndicator in43Near the location,KDJRunning downwards, the indicator is empty.4After the hourly gold price bottomed out and rebounded, the high level was hindered and fell back. Currently, it is still fluctuating within the triangular range, please be patient and wait3.29-1760区间突破即可,鼎昭认为稳健的等待突破后顺势跟进一波趋势,激进的突破前可以在区间内高抛低吸。形态上看震荡的同时日内需要谨防破位的出现,当然这里的破位并非说行情将进入单边上涨或者单边下跌格局。在低点1700and1676On the premise of not breaking and not opening the daily distribution belt, the breaking of the short line is seen as a stretching of the long short range rather than a reversal of the overall pattern. This requires a clear boundary, otherwise the subsequent operations will easily fall into the pursuit of orders. Only need to test again1700-1676这里不跌破才会真正筑底成功,对于未来上涨才更加有利。
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Wen/Chen Dingzhao (Guiding Weixin:cdz885)
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