Xie Hongyuan:3.26黄金走势分析最新消息,黄金还会上涨吗？

goldMessage interpretation:

3month25日，纽约时段盘初，COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time3month25day21:32Instant trading within one minute2163Hand, total value of trading contracts3.76亿美元，现货黄金自日内低点反弹，一度刷新周高至1745.52dollar/盎司后再度回落；

From the United States to3month20Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week68.4万人，为至2020year3month14日当周以来新低，四季度GDP终值上修至4.3%，数据公布后，黄金创出日内新低。另外，美元上涨也拖累金价下跌。谢鸿远认为，对黄金市场而言，基本面仍然很重要，而基本面并没有出现什么改变。10年期国债收益率的表现并不能预测美国经济走强，投资者们需要更谨慎一些。欧盟迎来第三波疫情浪潮，疫苗接种率相对较低，以及财政刺激冲动减弱，可能会导致欧元区的复苏落后北美2-3个月。并且在疫苗采购中大行保护主义之道，可能会永久挫伤投资者信心，美元避险地位有望在更长时间里得到巩固，并限制黄金价格上升势头。

纽约时段盘中，美油跌幅扩大至5%, to58.11dollar/桶；随着欧洲多国因新冠疫情再度实施封锁措施，燃料需求担忧再度出现，一艘巨型集装箱船搁浅，阻碍通过苏伊士运河的crude oil运输，导致上个交易日的涨幅收窄。虽然重点放在欧洲，但在印度和巴西等发展中经济体，病毒感染病例也在增加，这些国家对石油需求的可持续增长至关重要。

黄金从技术面看，昨日价格整体偏震荡回弹，连续多次测压5、10Daily line1735But in the end, it did not make it to the station. The daily line received a small yang, and in terms of daily structure, although the yang line was closed yesterday, it did not make it to the station5、10Above the daily line, it is still near the pressure of the medium rail. Currently, the market is trading within the middle layer of the moving average. According to the technical structure, although its performance is relatively strong, there is no effective rebound momentum, making it difficult to get rid of the overall weak situation. The smooth downward trend of the medium rail has laid the foundation for a decline. The technical indicators of the daily lineKDJThree line bonding downwards,MACD动能缩减，价格有进一步下行趋势。黄金从4From an hourly perspective, the current price trading is near the middle track, with signs of downward development in the moving average oil, with the Bollinger band facing downwards and upward1740Becoming a key resistance during the day, with attention below1725Short term support, currently gold is still in a narrow range of fluctuations. Can we take a new direction and pay attention to the situation of range breaking, technical indicatorsKDJThree line bonding upwards,MACD绿色动能柱缩减。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上谢鸿远建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1715Frontline support.

美原油走势分析：

因欧洲疫情影响盖过苏伊士运河停航的影响，美原油大跌逾3%，日图来看，油价在2month9Daily low point57.27附近的强支撑附近大量逢低买盘入场，给油价反弹提供了机会，而且油价守住了布林线下轨支撑，布林线带接近水平运行，K线接近吞没看涨信号，短线走势的变数大大增加，若能守住3month19Daily low point59.01附近支撑，则油价有望进一步试探布林线中轨62.40附近阻力，而一旦顶破布林线中轨阻力，则有望进一步涨向布林线上轨67.30Nearby. However,MACDandKDJ的死叉信号仍在，油价的短线下行风险依然存在，重点关注55Daily moving average58.50附近支撑，若失守该位置，则增加短线看空信号。强支撑仍在57.27Nearby, further support at2month4Daily low point55.30Nearby,33.64-67.98Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support54.84Near.

　　4Hour chartMACDandKDJ金叉，布林带收口后有水平运行的趋势，油价短线仍有可能会进一步试探布林线上轨62.59附近阻力，近期跌势的50%回撤位阻力也在该位置附近，进一步阻力在61.8%Retreat position63.88附近。不过，由于之前油价的反弹正好受到38.2%Retreat position61.35附近阻力压制，而且目前回落至布林线中轨60Below,KDJofJ线初步拐头向下，油价短线试探布林线下轨57.38附近支撑的可能性有所增加。中线走势关注布林带57.38-62.59区域突破情况。