Xiao Qiansheng:3.23黄金原油晚间最新行情走势分析

　　投资是个长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。聪明人总是结伴而行，把握做单时机，掌握行情动向，方可百战百胜。无论成功还是失败，都让我们明白，人生需要一个好的心态。人生的进退，生活的好坏，有时取决于我们的心态，努力是一种结局，放弃也是一种结局。只是不同的心境，有着不同的结果，你笑天是蓝的，你哭天是阴的。学会投资，需要一个好的心态，走好人生，需要一个好的心境，心态有时决定着你投资的成败。

I am Xiao Qiansheng (レ Xin:xqs59168）Currently, there is a significant impact on global financial markets (such as internationalgold，TDGold and silver,crude oil，foreign exchangeandfutures市场）具有深入而独特的见解、如果你有什么烦恼，苦闷可与我来聊聊。

　　　黄金市场交易消息及行情分析：

Tuesday（3month23日）现货黄金小幅下跌，周一（3month22日）金价下跌0.35%，美债收益率几乎没有提供喘息的机会，美国股市上涨，削弱了黄金的吸引力。但拜登进一步的经济刺激计划及美联储的超宽松货币政策将有可能给黄金带来支撑，另外比特币的大幅回落也可能支撑金价。大规模的经济刺激通常有利于黄金上涨。另外，大规模的征税能降低美国政府的发债，或将有利于降低美债收益率进而利好黄金。另外关注美国第四季度经常帐，经常帐指数是衡量进出口货物、服务和利息支出之间的价差（出口减进口）的指标。美国经常账户赤字在2020年第三季度飙升，原因是消费者支出创纪录的反弹拉动了进口，超过了出口的复苏。美国商务部表示，三季度美国经常账户赤字扩大10.6%to1785亿美元。市场预期四季度经常账户赤字将继续攀升至1863亿美元，可能拖累美元，提振金价。日内关注美联储官员讲话及美国四季度经常帐数据，尤其是鲍威尔在国会作证时的讲话。

　　黄金从技术面看，日线级别，低位震荡；金价周一的走势基本符合之前的判断，不过跌幅略微小于预期，增加了后市的一些变数。布林线中轨持续压制金价，1960以来的下跌趋势线阻力也在该位置附近，KDJ有重新结成死叉的趋势，需要提防金价重回跌势的风险；初步支撑在周一低点1727.54附近，然后是上周低点1719.33附近，若失守该支撑，则增加短线看空信号；进一步支撑在3month10Daily low point1708.32，强支撑在1700整数关口附近。上方布林线中轨阻力目前在1744.97附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号，上周高点阻力在1755.49Nearby,2month19Resistance at daily low points1760.81附近；仍需顶破1760关口，才能吸引更多的买盘入场。4小时级别震荡，布林线轨道水平运行，留意布林线轨道1723.83-1749.77Regional breakthroughs; at presentMACDDead fork,KDJ轻微死叉，但信号都比较弱，后市略微偏向空头，需要跌破布林线下轨1723.83附近支撑，才能予以进一步确认。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上萧乾升建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1750-1755Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1725Frontline support.

　　原油最新行情走势分析：

　　原油消息面解析：美油小幅下跌，跌幅0.05%，因市场再度担忧欧洲的封锁措施可能减缓预期中的油品需求复苏步伐。“德国延长封锁以及法国实施部分封锁，继续压制欧洲的消费信心，”萧乾升认为“现实是我们距离需求全面复苏仍有一段长路，产能创纪录的回撤才是油市的主要支撑。”根据一份提议草案，德国防疫封锁势将持续进入第五个月，因感染率超过了当局所说的医院可负荷水平。尽管欧洲的疫苗问题以及中国原油进口步伐的减缓致使原油期货价格周四下跌了7%，但是来自世界各地的数据表明，需求的复苏虽不平衡却依然稳定。市场的不安可能仍有它的理由。意大利重启封锁表明，一旦疫情蔓延加速，市场的任何涨幅很快便会化为乌有。同样，新病例增加后，德国的限制措施可能也会再延续四周。然而整个夏季的形势可能会持续好转，通常那也是原油需求的旺季。

　　原油技术面分析：原油周线小阳线慢涨，价格于周线MA10average59.5上方运行，周初的防守点就是在此。日线上布林带三轨偏向下发展，上周62.5一线大箱体支撑转变为目前关键阻力，至于下方关注布林带下轨59.5一线支撑以及MA60Daily moving average58.5一线支撑情况。原油4小时盘面上显示原油经过暴跌后陷入低位盘整阶段，国际原油价格实时交投于布林带中轨下方运行，周出波动不大，等待数据行情止盈方向。附图指标上MACD快慢线粘合量能转多，KDJ随机指标金叉上探但接近超买区域，短线不排除小周期上涨后承压，再次转空下行修复。综合来看，原油今日晚间短线操作思路上萧乾升建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注60.3-60.8One line of resistance, pay attention below58.0-57.5一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者萧乾升WeiXinNumber（xqs59168）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!

Group welfare:Letter:xqs59168

① Daily updates: market trends, intraday reminders, and opportunities to build positions.

② Special column: private chat, Q&A, solution τ， Analyze the trend of the day.

③ Welfare delivery: golden short line opportunity layout, continuous tracking (band opening).

④ New fan welfare: trading tactics《KThe King of Online Trading,Teach you how to do a good job in the short term

When you finish reading Qian Sheng's article, Qian Sheng will understand that you are looking for a teacher who can lead you to make stable money. I am not only a guiding teacher, but also a friend worth making in your life. We welcome like-minded people to come and have a long conversation! There are no unsuccessful investments, only unsuccessful trading models. The market is constantly changing every day, and every order team teacher is very cautious in their thinking, ensuring that every order must make a profit and exit. Every order is made through thoughtful judgment, and a day or two is luck. What about a week? How about two weeks? Whether it's internal or group posting strategies, or major financial websites, team teachers are all asking for orders at current prices, with evidence to check and evidence to rely on! The operation of two to three orders every day does not require overnight wealth, only the safety of falling into the bag! The profit is very high, I take nine points alone, one point depends on luck, and eight points depends on strength! I am so confident. If you sincerely accompany me, I will do my best.

This article was submitted by Xiao Qiansheng. I have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Professional and technical director Xiao Qiansheng has provided online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.