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We have previously analyzed the amplitude issue corresponding to wave patterns, and the amplitude is sufficient, but the current rebound is indeed unsatisfactory. After so many days of rebound, it can be seen that the corresponding range is a slow rise, and given the time, the magnitude is far from the expected. After such a long period of slow rise, the corresponding trend should be a sharp decline, which is not optimistic for bulls.
Since the counterattack against the decline is insufficient and the bulls have failed to effectively repair their losses, they are still being suppressed by the big bears in terms of strength comparison. So this week will be a high-altitude week, please pay attention.
Short term market analysis:
goldLast FridayNWord up, this Monday's trendNThe short-term continuity of the downward trend is not very strong. On the daily chart, the probability of oscillations around the mid track of the Bollinger Belt is relatively high today. However, if there is still no good rebound tomorrow, it is sufficient to short and enter the market whenever there is a high.
Operational ideas:
1、1720Long, stop loss1715, Objective1740-1746(Keep light warehouse)
2、1746Short selling, stop loss1750, target not set
The early decline of silver directly entered25.40-25.25Area, this position is also the previous wave of upward retreat61.8%After the second launch, there will be a rebound and upward trend, and it is expected to exert upward pressure on the channel26.00Frontline operation. Structurally30.04The beginning of the downward descent has undergone a new wave deduction,CExpected to appear in the waves5The ending wedge trend of wave decline, currently from26.63Start running onCwave5The probability is relatively high. Upper pressure25.90and26.00, lower support25.40and25.30。 Silver this weektdFor the time being, the trading strategy of maintaining range fluctuations is still being maintained, Silvertdupper5480/5500Pressure in the area, below5220/5200Support of the area. Within this range, the altitude is much lower. Friends who currently have orders in their positions, as I, Chen Yibo, do not know the location of your orders and the detailed information of the positions, it is difficult to provide corresponding unwinding strategies. If you need to unwind, please contact me on a single line
silverT +DOperation suggestions:
silverTD 5360-5380Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5410, look at the goal5310-5250nearby
silverTD 5220-5240Batch long nearby, stop loss5190, look at the goal5290-5350nearby
Paper Silver:
During the day, the US dollar index continued its upward trend, and silver as a whole fluctuated downward along the short-term moving average. Under the strong pressure of the US dollar index, silver was unable to maintain a strong upward trend, and the market did not break the pressure above5.7Starting to enter the technical callback. fromKFrom the perspective of line technology, there is a decline and engulfment pattern at the hourly level, and a short-term correction is inevitable. Silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a fluctuating downward trend, starting fromKFrom a structural perspective, the current downward trend of the oscillation is still ongoing,KThe line runs on the lower track of the Bollinger belt, and theoretically it also runs in a falling or oscillating structure, with the high point in the figure5.6-5.76Element is pressure,5.1-5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to the early stage5.0The yuan support has not been damaged, so Chen Yibo believes that the probability of a rebound in paper and silver after a rebound is high. The short-term downward trend of silver is relatively obvious, and we will focus on it below5.2-5.0Regional support, holding onto multiple central lines that can be laid out. Friends who currently have orders in their positions, as I, Chen Yibo, do not know the location of your orders and the detailed information of the positions, it is difficult to provide corresponding unwinding strategies. If you need to unwind, please contact me on a single line
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This article is exclusively planned by Chen Yibo. Please indicate the source when reprinting. There is a delay in the online release, and the intraday market is volatile. The above analysis will not provide specific entry points for reference only. The financial field is vast and profound, and the market fluctuates constantly every day. I hope the above analysis and theory can provide you with some help. Finally, I wish everyone a pleasant trading experience.
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