陈鼎昭：3.18利率决议即将公布，黄金涨跌如何选择?

　　很有幸你有缘点进这个帖子，别急着看分析，更不要急着看建议！我趋势看的再对，点位看的再准，你做不好也是白看，行情机会每天都有，你如果在操作过程中的思路、理念和手法存在问题，点位抓不好，止损不带，恣意扛单，仓位管理不好，那么再好的行情都没有意义。所以请带着这些问题再去看我的文章。大浪淘沙，沉者为金，陈鼎昭愿和您共同前行！借用释迦牟尼的一句话：“伸手需要一瞬间，牵手却要很多年，无论你遇见谁，他都是你生命该出现的人，绝非偶然”。我每写一篇文章，也是希望能遇到有缘人，我能帮助到他。佛度有缘人，我带有心人。

　　goldMessage surface:

Wednesday(3month17day)The international gold price has risen, approaching the record of the previous trading day3month1Daily high1741.20dollar/Ounces, influenced by the prospect of rising inflation. However, the strong US dollar and US bond yields have limited the rise in gold prices. Gold prices are expected to remain fluctuating in the range until the resolution of the Federal Reserve meeting is announced. However, the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase is significantly ahead of schedule, and vaccination may progress more rapidly with the support of Trump. These factors may limit or depress the gold price. It is also worth mentioning that the Wall Street Panic Index fell to13A new low of six months objectively indicates that investors' risk aversion is not strong, which is related toSPDR黄金持仓数据连续下跌相契合。鼎昭认为一些投资者将黄金视为对刺激措施可能导致通胀上升的对冲工具，但随之而来的美国公债收益率上升，往往会削弱黄金吸引力，一旦联邦公开市场委员会会议结果，黄金市场将迎来真正的考验。

Gold technology:

　　日线收取上引线很长的小阳十字K，这样的收线意味着行情反弹开始无力，毕竟目前还是处于一个下降趋势运行。月线上是一个很明显的大空走势，预计金价真的可能会去1560附近，月线布林带的收口动作依然在继续，那么金价的下跌也就会顺势延续，所以空头趋势依然在。只不过短线上的操作会有点纠结，毕竟行情不大，周线上来看金价也是一个下跌走势，反弹的极限位置估计也就是1758附近，这里也是靠近下降趋势线的压力了，所以最近只要把防守放在1760做空就可以了，上破了再回踩做多。黄金4小时来看，黄金短线突破再次测试了1740的压制位，并且再次遇阻回落，可见1740的压制还是非常明显的，那么从盘面来看，黄金很明显是在走反弹之后横盘运行，这种情况一般都是下跌中继形态。技术指标来看，MACDThe fast and slow lines are on0轴上方先死叉再金叉，这本来是一个多头放量的走势，但是可以看到黄金并没能走出上行，并且快慢线再次萎缩粘合。12小时上，黄金MACD快慢线低位金叉之后快速发散，但是黄金在反弹至1740之后就开始横盘运行，同时RSI也快速运行至超买区，行情的反弹幅度和技术指标的反弹幅度明显不匹配，这是典型的利用行情的横盘等待技术指标的修正。日内的短期压力依然关注1740-45去做空，防守1751Look1730-21。关注1720分水岭得失，可以以此位置为防守布局多单。

　　综合来看，今日操作思路上陈鼎昭个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅。

　　上方重点关注1745-1750Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1715Frontline support

　　本文由陈鼎昭（指导微信：cdz781）Contributing, I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trends, andcrude oilWe have conducted in-depth research on commodities such as gold and silver. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at our own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.