Gold and silver continue to fluctuate long and short strategies, with analysis of operational ideas attached!

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——————Message surface



3month17Japanese Asian period, spotgoldNarrow volatility, currently trading at1732.30dollar/Near the ounce mark, even though US retail sales data fell significantly short of expectations, gold prices failed to surge overnight, suppressing the market's bullish expectations; The market is generally concerned about the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell during the New York session of this trading day. Currently, market expectations are relatively neutral. In addition, the evening in the United States2Attention should also be paid to the data of monthly new house construction and construction permits.



crude oilA slight decline is due to concerns in the market about rising inventory in the United States, and the suspension of vaccination against the AstraZeneca virus in countries such as Germany and France also poses a threat to demand recovery. Bank of America analysts point out that the global crude oil market is2021The average daily rate will be recorded throughout the year130The supply gap of 10000 barrels will mean that oil prices will remain stable until the end of the year, and the annual average price of Brent crude oil and US crude oil will be63USD and60The level of the US dollar. The bank pointed out that,2020Affected by the pandemic in, global demand for crude oil plummeted87010000 barrels/Day, but in2021In, the daily demand for global crude oil will significantly rebound600Ten thousand barrels, then to2023In the year, global fuel consumption will continue to increase300An additional increase of ten thousand barrels from1970The fastest level since the era.



——————Gold Trend Analysis



From the daily chart, gold closed with a cross at the upper shadow line yesterday. Recently, it has fluctuated slightly horizontally for several consecutive trading days, and yesterday it broke upwards1740We have regained the gains and established the effectiveness of resistance in this region. For the future, in order to change the trend, we must effectively break through1740Only then can the rebound space be opened, despite being affected1740Barrier resistance*But also subject to5Daily moving average and10The support of the daily moving average, combined with indicatorsMACDGolden fork,KDJGolden Cross, currently looking at the daily chart, there is still a rebound, but due to repeated upward movements and significant pullbacks, the rebound force has weakened. Follow below today5Daily moving average1729Bullish, further attention10Daily moving average1716Bullish, while the upper sector continues to focus on the mid track1740Nearby resistance, further focus on early highs1760Nearby resistance!



Looking at it from a four hour perspective, yesterday's price surged and fell back, and the gold price continued to fluctuate narrowly1730Nearby, the Bollinger Bands maintain a flat three track pattern,5/10The daily moving average is running with no directional guidance at the moment,KDJThree lines forward for random indicators,macdFast and slow lines run to the golden fork0Above the axis, the red can maintain a small fast-paced volume increase, and the overall gold price is in a volatile and strong operation. Tonight is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and it is expected that the market will break the balance of two consecutive days. Before the announcement, it is temporarily treated as mainly low and mostly high, supplemented by high!



3.17Suggestions for Gold Operations:1Radicals1728-1730Go long;2Moderator1725-1723Go long;





——————Analysis of Crude Oil Trends



From the daily chart, crude oil continued its downward trend from the previous two trading days, fell again the next day, and then rebounded after hitting the intraday low. The daily chart closed with a bearish star line with a downward shadow. In terms of daily chart structure, the overall oil price remained at5、10Daily line65-65.3The downward movement indicates that the short-term technical structure is still tilting downwards, with a significant expectation of a pullback adjustment. We will continue to pay attention to the medium track below63In the situation of frontline competition, if the market falls below this level, oil prices may undergo a mid line level adjustment and correction. However, if the mid track is not broken, short-term oil prices may still fluctuate and rise!



From a four hour perspective, the next day's crude oil showed a fluctuating downward trend, and after falling below the lower limit in the short term, it rebounded. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are in an open period,MAAfter moving out of the double dead cross,MA5The daily chart shows a turning trend,KDJRandom indicator three line ice dragon upward,MACDThe green kinetic energy column of the indicator is starting to shrink, and the fast and slow lines are parallel downward. Overall, crude oil is affected by early morning fluctuationsAPIPositive news, short-term rebound, but still exists above*It is recommended to continue high-altitude operations within the day.



3.17Suggestions for crude oil operation:1Radicals65-65.3Directly short selling;2Stable66-66.4Short selling;3Stable63Go long nearby!

Investment is a serious job, don't pursue huge profits, because huge profits are unstable. What we pursue is stable trading. The essence of trading is not to consider how to make money, but to effectively control risks. With good risk management, profits naturally come. Trading is not about hard work to get rich, but about risk management to get rich!