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Wang Tianbao:3.16Gold, SilverTDWill paper gold continue to decline? strategic deployment

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I don't know if this post will exist in the market, or how long it will last. It's not important, what's important is that it can bring hope to you who are losing money and find the right direction for you who are lost. Regardless of the duration of its existence, I only hope that friends who need help can see this paragraph. Only by being able to help you can it have meaning, otherwise it's just a useless post! The saying goes, 'Ten years to sharpen a sword, I have witnessed too many things from nothing to existence, from existence to nothingness.'. This is a season of harvest. In addition to earning profits, you can also gain a lot in the investment market, such as friends, mentality, or me. You don't expect these few thousand words to dispel all your concerns, after all, practice is the only criterion for testing truth. What you and I need is only an opportunity. No matter how much you lose or what kind of point set, I will only accompany you to the stop and give you the most suitable advice, I will try my best to give reasonable advice in a steady manner. Meeting fate is fate, missing fate is fate, and fate is fate in your hands. If you want to find me, you can contact Wang Tianbao on a single line; Sincerely wish you can find the most suitable one and make money!



————Internationalgoldquotations analysis


Today's Focus on the United States2Monthly retail sales data, which is referred to as terrorist data by the market, is highly prone to causing market volatility and has an important guiding role for the economy. According to the survey, the United States2Monthly retail sales rate expected to decrease0.5%Last month was an increase5.3%。 U.S.A2Monthly core retail sales expected to increase0.1%Last month was an increase5.9%。2Monthly retail sales data may be affected by1The significant increase in monthly retail sales has had a significant impact on the base of US households1The month received additional pandemic assistance funds from the government, and Wang Tianbao analyzed that:2If the monthly US retail sales data performance falls short of expectations, the US dollar may be hit and gold prices are expected to rebound. U.S.A2Monthly industrial output can also be given appropriate attention. Production responds quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and is closely related to consumer spending, employment and many other industries. If industrial output rises, it is positive for the US dollar and negative for gold.


Technical analysis of gold: Currently, gold is in the4In the hourly level rebound correction, from the perspective of technical trends, the rebound has always been under pressure1740If the first line suppression fails to break through, as long as there is no breakthrough, it will still be a range correction pattern, and only after the breakthrough can the market continue to rise. Therefore, currently, the market is still defined as a low level bottoming correction. From a long-term perspective, the weekly chart shows that gold prices are under pressure5The daily moving average is suppressed, and the daily chart has already completed the conversion of excessive idle, but the weekly chart has excessive idle, which inevitably requires time and repeated revisions to complete the conversion of indicators. So, Tianbao believes that the current4There is also a correction for pullback in the hourly and daily levels, rather than a direct increase. Here, we need to establish that gold bottoms out and bottoms out. Next, the general direction is to go long, but when and where to go long, we need to find intervention points and timing from the small cycle. In terms of timing, I stepped back last Friday1700The first line is an opportunity to intervene, and there has indeed been a strong rebound. So, once there is still4The hour level retreat is the best time to intervene. Therefore, in today's operation, Wang Tianbao suggests paying attention to the resistance above1740-1745First line, support attention from below1717-1715frontline.


————futurescrude oilquotations analysis


Bank of America analysts point out that the global crude oil market is2021The average daily rate will be recorded throughout the year130The supply gap of ten thousand barrels will mean that oil prices will remain in place until the end of the year, and Brent crude oil will remain in line withNYMEXThe annual average price of crude oil will be63USD and60USD level; The bank pointed out that,2020Affected by the pandemic in, global demand for crude oil plummeted87010000 barrels/Day, but in2021In, the daily demand for global crude oil will significantly rebound600Ten thousand barrels, then to2023In the year, global fuel consumption will continue to increase300An additional increase of ten thousand barrels from1970The fastest level since the s; However, Bank of America also pointed out that although demand continues to increase, the shortage of supply is expected to be temporary, as global production capacity will accelerate and resume growth after the end of the epidemic. wrongOPECDaily production of oil producing countries2021Will increase within the year100Ten thousand barrels, to2022There will be another increase in the year200Ten thousand barrels, this is related toOPEC+The prospect of restoring production capacity will gradually eliminate the supply gap and balance the supply and demand in the oil market2022Convert back to daily surplus in the year17Ten thousand barrels. Against this backdrop, it is difficult for oil prices to record further dramatic increases from their current levels.


Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil reached a high and fell back yesterday, maintaining at66.40Nearby under pressure, lowest drop to64.15.Final closing at65.10.Closing at a neutral position, causing the daily line to still close in a skewed crossKThe small Yin line of the line. dayKThe entity of the line is not large, and there is currently no unilateral continuation visible. It can only be treated as a shock correction.4Houlin Road began to close, and yesterday it fell back from the pressure on the upper track to the lower track before rebounding and closing in the middle track. Short term double negative accompanied by a correction in the middle positive rebound, with some parts looking at it. Just a high level oscillation saw, Wang Tianbao suggested that the upper pressure pay attention to the operation today66-67-68。 Pay special attention to the support below63nearby.The market with a high level saw saw saw does not break the critical point, and the volatile style is difficult to change. In the short term, we still respond with a volatile approach.


Regarding gold investment, Wang Tianbao has three suggestions for investment friends!


Firstly, always maintain a clear mind and avoid being influenced by the market. The investment market itself is a mixed bag of good and bad, and do not feel that you can easily make profits by entering. If you do not have the ability to control risks, then100%It must be a loss of principal. The market will never allow you to make a profit.


Secondly, it is important to understand how to control risks. Generally, investors do not have the mentality and risk control ability of investment banks, as well as the ability to hedge profits. Profit is definitely obtained after controlling risks, and it is impossible to expect any profit by force.


Thirdly, if you are wrong, you should recognize it and not carry it to the end. Once a trend is formed, it is difficult to immediately turn the trend. If you carry it or do not hedge it in a timely manner, it will be a great risk. If you are wrong, stop loss in a timely manner, and the trend will be firmly grasped. No one can know where the market will fall and where it will rise. The only position you can know is prediction, achieving small losses to win big, and not big losses to win small.


  
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