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Core values of trading: Long short trading is not right or wrong, but only makes corresponding strategies at the appropriate time. Many people find that setting a stop loss will always be lost because they have not grasped the correct position. Courage is to control fear, not to have no fear in the heart. Everything can be lost, hope cannot be lost, everything can be lost, confidence cannot be lost. How to grasp the trend in this market is to follow the trend. When the trend comes, intangible forces are pushing you forwardgoldforeign exchangeIt is still important for the market to make profits. What is the secret to profitability? The answer is very simple, and the simplest is also something that people overlook. The most precious things are also free, just like the air we breathe and the sunlight shining on us. What is the secret to making money? It's actually very simple. Throw aside all the news and fundamentals, return to rationality, analyze independently, and follow the trend.
Analysis of the Latest International Gold Market
Tuesday(3month16day)In the early trading session of the Asian market, spot gold maintained an upward trend, and gold prices are currently reported1733dollar/Around ounces. Gold prices continue to rise and correct, currently in1730The US dollar hovers above. The Federal Reserve and the US Treasury both abandoned short-term concerns about inflation, and the rise in US bond yields did not have much impact, indicating that their speech was effective. Zero Sales and Federal Open Market Committee Meeting in the United States(FOMC)We will lead this week's risk guidance, and the market is expected to remain calm before the announcement. American1.9The trillion yuan stimulus plan provides support for gold prices, but the vaccination and the general rise in the stock market also dampen gold's safe haven sentiment. Gold prices remain volatile in the short term, and the market is generally concerned about this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. At present, the US dollar and the stock market may still lean towards bulls this week, which is unfavorable for gold prices. Last Friday's producer price index still indicates potential inflationary pressure in the United States, which may further pressure the trend of gold prices this week. This week's focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and most economists expect the Fed to2023Annual interest rate hike50Basis points. The rise in inflation may trigger concerns in the market about the Federal Reserve's early tightening of monetary policy, thus having a suppressive effect on gold prices. All reprints pay attention to reprints of "Wang Tianbao" in the circle of friends and official account/Article, Enjoy beginner courseware explanations and free access tokOne copy of online teaching
Technical analysis of gold: Compared to the recent Monday in the past month, the fluctuations on Gold Week were relatively flat and did not follow a trend of broad opening and closing. The daily volatile market continued for a day, and it rose in the morning1733The first line of oscillation fell back, and the lowest point in the Asian session was reached1721Nearby, followed by a downward trend and a rebound in volatility, with European and American stocks pulling up to1734Nearby, it falls back again, and the tail end is1722-1734The range fluctuated slightly and ended with two pressure measurements yesterday1735Nearby, double retreat5Near the daily line, the overall market remained in a high and volatile state, but due to the continued rise of gold at midnight1730The gold daily closed positive, maintaining a strong state, relatively positive for bulls, as the sideways trend resisted declines!
Technically speaking, yesterday's gold1720-1735The action of fluctuating within the range and circuitous within the range, while overall belonging to a bottoming and rebounding, is a horizontal trend after a second bottoming and rebounding, commonly known as a high level horizontal trend. Because the price has always been at the high point of the rebound, the high level horizontal trend does not give bears the opportunity to retreat, thus highlighting the strength of bulls.4Hold on to the hour level and organize horizontally above the middle track of Bollinger Road. Bollinger closes, and the pressure point on the upper track happens to be1740Nearby, strong oscillations are seen in the rebound, causing1740Our defense is weakened, and once we break it up1740The short term will construct a stepped rebound,1The random indicator at the hour level fluctuates upwards, indicating that gold will continue to oscillate upwards. Yesterday1721There have been two dips and rebounds in the vicinity, making this level an important support point for the day. Therefore, in terms of operation, we adhere to the low multiple approach and observe a continuous rebound1740Through multiple tests, I believe there has been a breakthrough1740It's a high probability event! Overall, in terms of today's gold trading strategy, Wang Tianbao suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback and long selling, supplemented by a rebound and short selling. The top focus should be on1743-1745Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1720-1716Frontline support. internationalcrude oilLatest Market Analysis
Monday(3month15day)The rise in international oil prices,ICEBrent crude oilfuturesRedirect to each barrel70The US dollar has advanced as data shows2021At the beginning of the year, China's accelerated economic recovery boosted the energy demand prospects of the world's largest oil importing country. Senior Indian officials have criticized in recent weeksOPEC+Artificially reducing oil production and driving up oil prices. OPEC and its allies(OPEC+)Earlier this month, it was decided to extend most of the production reduction plans to4This month, it sparked dissatisfaction from India, the world's third largest crude oil importer. India's fuel demand has almost recovered to the level before the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic, but the rise in oil prices and fuel taxes have made the country's fuel prices hit a record high, threatening the recovery of consumption. India approximately80%China's oil consumption relies on imports, but has always been uneasy about the rise in oil prices, which has pushed up its oil import costs and domestic inflation, and may undermine the monetary policy implemented by the Bank of India to support economic growth this year.
According to crude oil technology, crude oil has jumped since Monday morning last week, with the highest increase reaching68, but failed to continue the continuity2The world fell, reaching its lowest point on Wednesday63.1Afterwards, it began to rebound and fluctuated on Thursday and Friday, reaching a maximum of66.2, ultimately received at65.58Weekly closing with a cross star, oil prices have been continuously rising nearly5Six months ago, and the current price of oil has returned to pre pandemic levels, although the current trend is still bullish66We still need to be cautious in pursuing more from above. Although there is room for an increase in oil prices on the monthly line, they are nearing the upper bound70Suppression, limited space above, focus on this week first68Whether the frontline can break through or not depends on the correction and volatility of the bulls, with weekly oil prices relying onMA5Going up in multiple directions, from a morphological perspectiveMA5brace63.5The top will continue to rise, while last week's low was at63.1So this week, let's take a look at the ideas first63-68Range, see long instead of chasing long, high altitude low, break level and then look forward to extending, the four hour line and hour line are parallel to each other, and the oil price shows a short-term trend67-63.5Oscillation, last Friday at65.5-66.2Narrow range oscillation, you can focus on the breakthrough of this range first, and pay attention to it above66.8Frontline. Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy today, Wang Tianbao suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback to lower positions, supplemented by a rebound to short positions, with a focus on short-term operations above66.0-66.5Resistance, short-term focus below63.8-64.2Frontline support
This article is provided by Wang Tianbao. I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trends, and analyze the impact of crude oil, gold We have conducted in-depth research on commodities such as silver and others. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at our own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.
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