Xiao Qiansheng:3.15黄金原油最新走势分析建议

　　前言：不可只观鲜花，不看荆棘，不可只看利润，不看风险，月有盈亏，花有开谢，为昨天流的眼泪远不如为今天奋斗的汗水。不必太纠结于当下，也不必太忧虑未来，经历过一些事情的时候，眼前的风景已经和从前不一样了。山有峰顶，海有彼岸，漫漫长途终有回转，余味苦涩终有回甘。总有些人，生来就努力做自己，从来没打算讨好过谁，用毫不遮掩的锐利锋芒，惊艳了时光。

　　我是萧乾升（官微：xqs59168）我为交易而生，如果你有什么不懂得可以随时关注我，目前对全球金融市场（例如国际gold，TDGold and silver,crude oil，foreign exchangeandfuturesThe market has in-depth and unique insights, and you are welcome to consult at any time.

Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:

　　黄金消息面解析：黄金周一（3month15日）亚洲时段，现货黄金小幅上涨，交投于1725附近。上周五的生产者价格指数仍然显示出美国潜在的通胀压力，可能对本周金价走势进一步施压。本周重点关注的是美联储利率决议，经济学家大多预期美联储将在2023Annual interest rate hike50个基点。上周五，在美国国债收益率走高的情况下，金价最终守住了每盎司1700美元的关口。美国总统拜登上周四签署1.9万亿美元的经济刺激法案后，债券市场继续下跌。美国10年期国债收益率上周一度飙升至1.6%以上。除此之外，市场开始计入更多刺激措施的价格，包括基础设施支出。本周将迎来美联储利率决议在内的三大央行的利率决议，以及美国2月“恐怖数据”零售销售及初请失业金等重要数据，投资者需密切关注。

Technical analysis of gold, from a daily perspective, touched last Friday1700Near the checkpoint, it bottomed out and rebounded, swallowing up all the losses and making a strong recovery5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average records Xiaoyang with a long shadow line,5The daily moving average is also about to wear10The daily moving average forms a golden cross,MACDFast slow line0Under the axis, a golden fork is formed, and green energy is initially converted into red energy,KDJOpening up, it is expected to continue to rise this week. However, the overall medium-term structure is relatively short, with the daily chart alternating between yin and yang, and the relative price fluctuation is relatively large. Gold lacks continuity regardless of how long or short it is. This week's opening focus is on this week's high point1740Pressure, and1715Support, further attention1700Integer level support, with opportunities for both long and short positions before prices break through significantly.

From a four hour perspective, gold started to fluctuate and stabilize after hitting the lower track last Friday, breaking through the middle track. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is about to close,MAThe moving average tends to turn upwards after stepping out of the double dead cross,KDJThree lines of random indicators converge upwards,MACDThe indicators deviate from the bottom, and the fast and slow lines have an upward trend of hooks. Gold still has a rebound trend, but it is important to note that this week's high point1740Pressure level at the gateway, presenting goldVAn upward trend is likely to occur at this position, and a reversal will occur. If a breakthrough occurs, it will have an impact1750-1760前期高点位置，这个位置也是一个大阻力！综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上萧乾升个人建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注1735-1740One line of resistance, pay attention below1715-1710Frontline support.

Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;

　　隔夜油价维持窄幅震荡，早盘开盘虽小幅高开，但上攻乏力。原油基本面上有压力，下有支撑。上周欧佩克会议结果硕果累累，同意将大多数产油国的石油减产延长至4月，助长了市场多头信心。市场也相信，随着全球经济增长以及疫苗接种范围扩大以及即将到来夏天出行高峰，原油需求将持续乐观。但综合来看，世界原油库存依然充足，数据显示，主要陆地和海洋中心的原油库存上周仍在增加。石油需求的复苏将集中在今年下半年，四季度全球石油需求的预测提高9710000 barrels/天，同时下调了上半年的预期。所以短期内世界原油上行又面临不小库存压力，空头或就此展开阶段性反扑。

　　原油技术面来分析，日线上，上周五原油整体持于震荡，录得带上影线的小阴，日线上，今日早间油价依托MA5日均线呈现上涨，日内有进一步走高趋势；4小时上，上周五原油受阻上轨位置展开横盘缓慢下跌，当前布林带处于开口期，MA均线在走出死叉后拐头向上平行向前，KDJThree lines of random indicators converge upwards,MACD指标红色动能柱继续放量，快慢线金叉向前，综合来看，原油目前仍有上行趋势，但上涨力度缓慢，仍存在下行趋势，日内操作建议同黄金回撤做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注66.5-67.0一线阻力，不破可空，下方关注64.5-64.0一线支撑。添加老师乾升临指导微信：【xqs59168】可享有每日实时在线指导。

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

Withdrawal64.5-64.0Long nearby, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target66.0-65.5Nearby;

Rebound66.5-67.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target65.0-65.5Nearby;

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