Midline band-Li Xiaohan3.12Analysis of Gold's Trend Today, Operation of Crude Oil and Silver Today...

Preface: Li Xiaohan has a saying that I want to give to investment friends. When investing, the first thing you need to do is to wait for good opportunities to enter the market. In today's investment market, you must not use your beautiful imagination to estimate how much return the market can give you. You will be educated by the market very miserably, and even lose everything. Therefore, if you really want to make money by investing well, please do not constantly complain about how much you have lost, If the market is all a trap, reflect on what is causing you to continue losing money. Finding and solving problems is the key. In order to be responsible for your own funds, please take every entry seriously. Planning well before doing it, observing with composure after doing it, keeping a balance in losses, and making profits are all things that happen sooner or later. Being eager for quick success and instant benefits is always a taboo. If you can inspire, I believe that you will soon be able to break free from losses and slowly embark on the right path of investment. What I want you to remember is: fine water flows long, and the aftertaste is endless. Maintain one's original intention and remain green forever.

Investment friends who have poor market control or want to learn can add Li Xiaohan on WeChat【lxhq281】Communicate and discuss with the teacher. You can also obtain dailycrude oilOperational recommendations,goldMarket,TDgold,Daily analysis of silver, unwinding of long and short positions, latest strategies

Gold Price Analysis:

Thursday(3month11day)The gold market once rose, but the evening decline erased the gains and approached1720dollar/Ounce support level. Data display,COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time3month11day22:44Instant trading within one minute2007Hand, total value of trading contracts3.45USD100mn

On Thursday evening Beijing time, the European Central Bank took action to "rescue the market" and announced that it would accelerate the pace of bond purchases starting from the next quarter to avoid tightening financing conditions, injecting a "booster" into the market. The European Central Bank maintains the three major interest rates unchanged in its interest rate resolution, while also maintaining the emergency anti epidemic bond purchase plan（PEPP）Scale in1.85Trillion euros, in line with market expectations. The European Central Bank will continue to maintain its main interest rates at current or lower levels until the inflation outlook solidly shifts towards fully close but below2%The level of. At the subsequent press conference, European Central Bank President Lagarde once again voiced support for the market. Lagarde reiterated that next quarterPEPPThe purchasing speed of the bond will significantly accelerate, and the decision on the change in the purchasing speed is unanimously decided by the management committee, but the specific number is not yet clear.

Lagarde also emphasized that an increase in market interest rates will bring risks to the broader financing environment, and if left unchecked, the rise in bond yields may lead to premature tightening, which is "unwelcome". It is worth noting that although inflation in Europe sharply increased in the first two months of this year and may continue to rise in the coming months, long-term inflation expectations remain sluggish. The European Central Bank raised the price for this year and next two years on ThursdayCPIExpectation2021yearCPIby1.5%Previously expected to be1%； estimate2022yearCPIby1.2%Previously expected to be1.1%； estimate2023yearCPIby1.4%Same as before.

At the same time, the European Central Bank has also slightly raised the price this yearGDPExpectation2021yearGDPincrease4%Previously expected growth3.9%； estimate2022yearGDPincrease4.1%Previously expected growth4.2%； estimate2023yearGDPincrease2.1%Same as before. For the first quarter of the economy, Lagarde expects the upcoming data to continue to be weak and the economic development will remain unbalanced. Therefore, she called on governments in the eurozone to implement economic stimulus measures in a timely manner, emphasizing the need for the EU Recovery Fund to operate immediately.

The core principle of market fundamentals trading is that the decline in gold prices is almost over. In the long run, gold is very interesting. Our model shows that the fair price of gold is1761dollar/Ounces, the decline is unlikely to continue. Real interest rates have once again fallen, which is good for gold. In addition, the recent strong performance of the US dollar has also come to an end, which is also positive for gold.

Technically, due to the resumption of a corrective decline in US bond yields, the widespread decline in the US dollar has boosted gold prices to rebound close to1740USD, expected to challenge1750Psychological barrier. The approval of the US stimulus bill and the easing of inflation concerns have failed to increase yields, providing support for gold.

From a mid-term technical perspective, JapankLine continues to rise on Wednesday and encounters obstacles1740The daily line rose and fell, ending with a negative column with a longer upper shadow line, indicating that there is still strong pressure above, and gold prices are still operating below the middle track. The overall structure is still relatively empty, butMA5The daily moving average has shown signs of turning around, which to some extent supports the rebound in gold prices,KADJThe golden fork opens upwards,MACDThe fast and slow lines form a golden cross below the zero axis, which has not yet diverged upwards. Green Energy continues to shrink, indicating that there are still signs of a rebound in gold prices. Focus on this todayMA5/10Daily moving average1715-1710Regional support, Teacher Li believes that if the gold price can effectively operate above, it will increase bullish signals and continue to be monitored above1740Resistance, further focus on the middle track of the downward trend line1755Resistance!

From a short-term technical perspective,4From an hourly perspective, gold prices are breaking through and stabilizing1720After the checkpoint, a bullish pattern has formed in the short term, and currently gold is under trend line pressure1740After the checkpoint, there was a correction correction in the indicatorsKDJDead fork down,MA5The moving average has turned downwards, indicating that further adjustments are needed in the short term, but gold prices are1720Li Xiaohan believes that there is strong support here and the short-term moving average gold fork is still there, despite multiple stops and rebounds in the vicinity,MACDThe fast and slow lines are still golden forks, red can continue to increase volume, and gold is still bullish. Preliminary attention below1719First line support, further focus on the middle rail below1715Support, hold onto the medium track and continue to see bullish shocks1740On the other hand, it increases the risk of falling back. Gold price1The hour chart confirms the formation of a golden cross, triggering a strong price increase. But bulls need to break through the horizontal trend line1741Only then can the US dollar further rise. Next resistance at1750Breaking through the US dollar barrier will challenge3month1Daily high point1760USD. On the downside, bullish21Hourly moving average1728The US dollar will provide some temporary support for bulls. And then for the ascending50Hourly moving average1719USD. Lower support located at200Hourly moving average1715USD. Based on the above complaint, attention should be paid above the gold price1740First line break situation, follow below1715-1719Frontline support situation. Li Xiaohan's operational approach today is still based on a low to high approach, with a midline band: it is recommended to withdraw the gold price1715-1719Multiple entry targets1740-1755Stop loss1707。 Short term recommendations1719Multiple entry targets1726，1732,1738。 The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only, and specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add Li Xiaohan's official WeChat account:lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota

Silver Price Analysis:

On the daily line, the silver daily line takes in the shadow line and is currently operating near and above the short-term line,5Japan and Japan10The daily moving average is flat and adhesive, while the mid-term line is flat,MACDSmooth bonding,KDJRunning upwards, the indicator direction is not obvious. Looking at the fundamentals of silver2020The most severe period of the epidemic in has passed, and the economy was greatly affected by the epidemic last year. Enter2021In, due to the obvious nature of silver commodities, monetary easing will continue for a period of time. In addition, the future economic recovery will bring about a rebound in demand and inflation expectations, and the downward space for silver will be limited. In the medium to long term, it will still be beneficial for silver bulls. The silver daily line continued to fluctuate and rebound yesterday, closing up with a positive line, while the short-term line remained flat and sticky. Today's attention26.3Nearby pressure, this is more critical, if the daily line breaks through26.3Stand firm or stick to the golden cross in the short term, and it is likely to rebound further. That depends on27Under pressure, if we continue to rise, we should be able to break out of the bullish trend again.

　　4The hourly fluctuation rebounds, currently operating above the short-term line, with the short-term line moving upwards and the medium-term line moving flat and downward,MACDRun up,KDJGoing flat and bonding, indicators are bullish.4After the hourly high oscillation, it continued to rise to create a small new high, continuing the rebound pattern of short-term high and low points moving upwards. However, there are still26.3The pressure needs to break through, otherwise there may still be another downward trend and a bottoming out trend. If an upward breakthrough can be achieved, it is expected to have an impact27Focus on the pressure at the checkpoint today26.3Under pressure, there is no competition. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only, and specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add Li Xiaohan's official WeChat account:lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota

Crude oil price analysis:

Thursday(3month11day)In the European market, the price of US crude oil futures rose slightly65The US dollar was boosted by the launch of the COVID-19 vaccine, and the US fuel inventory fell sharply, but the rise was limited by the surge of crude oil inventory after the Texas storm last month. The decline in gasoline inventories in the United States has offset bulls' concerns with strong demand for end products, ultimately pushing up oil prices and driving economic recovery.

Specific data shows that as of3month3Day and WeekEIAIncrease in crude oil1379.80Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease83.3Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value2156.3Ten thousand barrels; by3month3Day and WeekEIAGasoline reduction1186.90Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease416.7Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased1362.4Ten thousand barrels; by3month3Day and WeekEIAReduced inventory of refined oil550.40Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease366.7Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased971.9Ten thousand barrels.

On a daily basis, crude oil continues to close at a negative level, with real-time oil prices falling above the Bollinger band66.5Below, the upward sentiment has been severely affected, and the market further confirms that Li Xiaohan's analysis of yesterday's high-altitude approach was correct. CurrentlyMA10The moving average is supported by63.5Nearby, combined with the perimeter entity's large Yin line, rebounding66.2The region is expected to be short again.4Gradually close the upper and lower tracks of the Bolin belt during the hour, and temporarily determine the large section67.9-62.5Shake and organize, there is space for both up and down, and make orders as close as possible to the upper and lower tracks for entry. On the attached indicatorsMACDThe intersection of fast and slow lines extends downwards, and the kinetic energy slows down,KDJLow level consolidation storage,STOLow level cross detection, combined with hourly line closure and compression to65.8-64.2Range, the evening market tends to rise first and then fall. Overall, today's market is closely watched by the top66.5-67.9Resistance, pay attention below64.0-62.8In terms of support and operation, Li Xiaohan suggests that high altitude should be the main approach, while low altitude should be the secondary approach.1Suggestions for crude oil66.5Short selling, stop loss67.0, Objective65.4-64.5；2Suggestions for crude oil63.8-63.2Long, stop loss62.6, Objective64.9-66.2； The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only, and specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add Li Xiaohan's official WeChat account:lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota

Message from Li Xiaohan:

A beautiful day, starting with my greetings! If you want things to change, you must first change yourself. Only by changing yourself can you change the world. The biggest enemy of people is not others,But oneself, only by defeating oneself can we overcome difficulties!Defeat one's own thinking, execution, and mindset. When others don't understand, you understand; when others understand, you act; when others act, you succeed; when others succeed, you become rich. This is: extraordinary thinking, foresight! Choose more than effort, follow the right people, and do the right things.

This article is written by Li Xiaohanlxhq281Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!