Li Lianying:3.10今日黄金原油、纸白银最新行情趋势及操作建...

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  todaygoldMarket trend analysis;


Tuesday（3month9日）现货黄金小幅上涨，周一（3month8日）金价大跌1%to1683.56dollar/盎司，创九个月新低，因美元和美债收益率持续上升，促使投资者抛售无收益黄金。另外，刺激案即将推出的预期、耶伦等官员对美债收益率上涨的容忍以及疫情的显著消退对金价形成一定的拖累。短线金价接连创新低后可能继续延续跌势，李联赢从中长期来看，金价目前的熊市可能只是一个开始。疫情的大幅降温给了经济复苏更多的希望，同时也极大地打击了市场的避险情绪，削弱了黄金对疫情避险资金的吸引。预计随着疫苗推广进程的加速，全球经济去疫情化将在下半年取得明显的效果，这意味着黄金目前的熊市可能只是开始。日内可以适当关注德国1月未季调贸易帐和欧元区第四季度季调后GDP季率终值。


　　黄金从技术面看，黄金周线局势特别明朗，目前三连阴下行，从而打开布林带下轨空间，5day-10Daily moving average dead cross downward*Running, with the middle and lower rails of the Bollinger belt opening downwards,MACD绿柱能连续放量，代表目前空头还有一定的下行空间与动能，李联赢认为下方1650There is some support nearby, and this position is also100Daily moving average, expected to matchSTOThe indicators resonate, and currentlySTO已经处于超卖区，也需要反弹修正，趋势不改，反弹入空思路不变。黄金短期日线图连续试探1700At the critical juncture, there was still a bearish attack, and Powell's astonishing words stimulated the US Treasury yield to hit a new high, causing gold to fall below1700Dashing towards the Great Pass1687Nearby, set a new low. The moving average still maintains a bearish position,5日均线维持死叉向下在1714The position of the Bollinger three tracks is maintained with downward opening operation, and the downward channel is maintained in good condition, with no reduction in short head kinetic energy. In additionETFThe position has gradually decreased, but the operation remains short. Let's take advantage of the situation and pay attention to it below1687Support situation, once it breaks the limit, it will open up downward space to1650Nearby. Overall, in terms of short-term operation ideas today, Li Lianying suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback to the low end, supplemented by a rebound to the high end, with a focus on short-term operations above1725-1730Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1700-1695Frontline support.

  纸白银、crude oilMarket trend analysis:


During the day, the US dollar index continued its upward trend, and silver as a whole fluctuated downward along the short-term moving average. Under the strong pressure of the US dollar index, silver was unable to maintain a strong upward trend, and the market did not break the pressure above5.7Starting to enter the technical callback. fromKFrom the perspective of line technology, there is a decline and engulfment pattern at the hourly level, and a short-term correction is inevitable. Silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a fluctuating downward trend, starting fromKFrom a structural perspective, the current downward trend of the oscillation is still ongoing,KThe line runs on the lower track of the Bollinger belt, and theoretically it also runs in a falling or oscillating structure, with the high point in the figure5.6-5.76Element is pressure,5.1-5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to the early stage5.0元支撑并没有受到破坏，所以覃连胜认为纸白银回踩过后反弹上涨概率较大。白银短线下行趋势较为明显，但随着动能的逐渐释放，低位反弹概率亦较大，操作上依旧低多布局思路为主。


　　原油方面：目前油价受益于经济复苏的预期进一步走强，特别是美国财政刺激法案的推出，进一步让市场对原油需求的预期增强。再加上美国原油库存正以史上最快速度减少，油价涨势仍然会继续，但是强劲的美元和沙特石油设施遭到袭击导致石油供应中断的担忧消退限制了油价上涨，所以日内油价延续了短期下跌的态势。

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying solves a set online, returns losses, and provides real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.