消息解读:周一(3.8日),市场在本周伊始就遭到重击现货黄金冲高回落回吐全部涨幅。早间跳空高开高走于1714附近止涨,此后持续震荡回落截止完稿已到1689附近,距离上周触及的去年6Low point since the beginning of the month1687已经不远,短期低位支撑则依旧面临着被击穿风险。本周六美国1.9万亿美元疫情刺激方案在参议院过关,这对全球经济复苏是个好消息,但也给美国公债带来了新压力。美债继续遭到抛售,10年期美债数益率持续走高,盘中再度触及1.6%关口,这令风险情绪逆转,现货黄金全线下挫。同时,美元指数继续走强,也限制了金价反弹。美债收益率仍然是本周关注的焦点,在这一点上,不会从美联储官员那里得到任何帮助,因为这段时间是“噤声期。将于明天和周三(尤其是周三)举行的美国国债拍卖,将是值得关注的关键风险事件。美债收益率和美元强势牵动市场,仍需关注买预期卖实际的走势。
技术分析:日线级别:单边下跌;均线空头排列,MACDDeadfork signal continuation,KDJThe dead cross signal continues, and there is still a risk of further downward exploration in gold prices, with short-term attention still being paid1689.58Nearby support, this position is1451-2075Upward trend61.8%The ability to maintain this support during the closing of a pullback will affect the judgment of the medium to long term trend. If left behind1689.58Nearby support, the short term may further fall towards5month1Rihe6month5Daily low point1670.98Nearby support;5month6Daily low point1682There is also some support nearby. If we can hold onto it1689.58Nearby support suggests that the recent decline may only be a deep correction of the long-term upward trend, and there is still a chance for gold prices to fluctuate and rise in the future. becauseKLine andKDJThe downward momentum seems to have weakened, please pay attention to it from above5Daily moving average1720附近阻力,如果能够回升至该位置上方,则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看,黄金今日短线操作思路上陈亦博建议回调低多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1725-1720Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1685-1670一线支撑。目前仓位上有单的朋友,由于笔者陈亦博不知道你们套一单的点位以及仓位的详细情况,不好给出相应的解一套策略,需要解一套的可找到陈亦博(QQ:1467450473)
Monday(2month22day)欧盘时段,原油小幅下跌至59.4美元,虽然美国原油产量的缓慢回升引起了人们对供应的担忧,但需求逐步从新冠病毒疫情的低谷恢复。而消息人士表示,沙特阿拉伯周日联系了几个石油输出国组织(OPEC)Member States, Discussion4The conditions of the production reduction agreement in January and the disagreement with Russia's position. Saudi Arabia plans toOPEC4月份的石油产量维持在目前的水平。随着全球能源需求复苏速度超过OPEC+联盟的供应应对、页岩油以及伊朗因素的影响,原油的反弹之势将会比此前预期来得更早且幅度更大,此外,关注美国1.9万亿美元援助计划议案,在疫情持续不断的情况下,叠加寒潮的破坏,援助计划通过的概率有所增加,原油的上涨空间依然存在。
原油早盘高开高走,表现较强上攻欲望,午后测压至60.1一线,欧盘时段原油小幅下探至59.4一线,上周延续震荡走高,上方测压至62.2附近,但随着原油的逐步走高,多头动能消耗殆尽,积压的回修调整需求最终还是在下半周得到释放,周四周五连收两阴,跌回至5、10日线下,本周着重需关注61附近压力测试,日线上,上周五原油延续前一个交易日跌势,再次受MA5日均线阻力下行,并跌破MA10日均线,录得中阴,上周原油一路大涨新高,上涨遇阻后开启调整,虽然回调幅度较大,但依然站稳在57支撑上方,4小时上,上周五原油呈现震荡下行趋势,并在触及日内低位后位于低位横盘,当前布林带处于开口期,MA均线在走出双死叉后MA5日线拐头向上,KDJThree lines of random indicators converge upwards,MACD指标绿色动能柱开始缩量,快慢线平行向前,原油短期内有反弹需求,晚间操作上建议回落低多为主!
Suggestions for crude oil operation:58.5-58.2Loss57.0, Objective60.5-61.0
最后我想说每个进入这个市场的朋友,想的绝不是一夜暴富,因为这是天方夜谭,长久稳定的盈利才是根本,这是一个遍地开花捡钱的市场,这也是一个转身就可以灰飞烟灭的战场,你的资金,金融行业,形态万千,由我来为你保驾护航!稳定的平台+Layout of strength=盈利。我是分析师陈亦博QQ:(1467450473)An analyst who can accompany you to fight until the market stops!