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Chen Yibo:3.9Analysis of Today's Gold Market Trend

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Investment is a long-term process, accompanied by losses and gains. It is normal to make profits. If you lose confidence or hope due to a temporary loss, I personally feel that the gains and losses outweigh the losses. Temporary losses do not represent investment failure, but can only indicate that you have not really mastered the control of funds during this period. Losing confidence due to losses undoubtedly gives you a way out, I have found an excuse for my temporary failure, and I think everyone doesn't want it to be like this. They all hope to find a sense of achievement and joy in investing successfully! I think you should adjust your mood now, summarize the reasons for your past failures more, and think about how to do well in order to make money. Leaving quietly will only cast a shadow on your psychology, leaving a lasting regret in your heart! If that's the case, it's better to be bold, stay brave, believe in yourself, believe in each other, the market is very fair to everyone, you just haven't achieved it yet. Believe that this day is not far away!



  goldMessage surface parsing:



    Monday(3month8In Japan, the international gold price surged and fell, far from last week's hit of last year6Low point since the beginning of the month1687.44dollar/Ounces are not far. Mainly due to the United States1.9The trillions of dollars in stimulus packages for the pandemic have passed the Senate, providing short-term support for gold prices. However, the combination of the US stimulus bill, faster economic restart, and greater consumer firepower has boosted US bond yields, which is not conducive to gold prices. U.S.A10The yield of one-year government bonds runs at(3month5The high reached by Japan in over a year1.1623%Below. Last year recorded by the US Index rising up last week11High since late month92.201。



Technical analysis of gold:

    The situation on the Golden Week is particularly clear. At present, three consecutive negative movements have opened up the space for the Bollinger Belt to go down,5day-10Daily moving average dead cross downward*Running, with the middle and lower rails of the Bollinger belt opening downwards,MACDThe green column can continuously increase volume, indicating that there is still a certain amount of downward space and momentum for bearish positions. According to my own thinking1650There is some support nearby, and this position is also100Daily moving average, expected to matchSTOThe indicators resonate, and currentlySTOWe are already in the oversold zone and need to rebound and correct. The trend remains unchanged, and the idea of rebounding into the short market remains unchanged. Continuous Exploration of Gold Short Term Daily Chart1700At the critical juncture, there was still a bearish attack, and Powell's astonishing words stimulated the US Treasury yield to hit a new high, causing gold to fall below1700Dashing towards the Great Pass1687Nearby, set a new low. The moving average still maintains a bearish position,5Daily moving average maintains a dead cross downward stay1714The position of the Bollinger three tracks is maintained with downward opening operation, and the downward channel is maintained in good condition, with no reduction in short head kinetic energy. In additionETFThe position has gradually decreased, but the operation remains short. Let's take advantage of the situation and pay attention to it below1687Support situation, once it breaks the limit, it will open up downward space to1650Nearby. Overall, Chen Yibo suggests that the short-term operation of gold today should focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback and long trading, with the top following1690-1695One line of resistance, pay attention below1675-1670Frontline support. Friends who currently have orders in their positions, as I, Chen Yibo, do not know the location of your orders and the detailed information of the positions, it is difficult to provide corresponding unwinding strategies. If you need to unwind, please contact me on a single lineQQ:1467450473



  crude oilMessage surface:



Monday(3month8day),ICEBrent crude oilfuturesJump up to each barrel70Above the US dollar, for the first time since the outbreak of the epidemic, US crude oil touched2018year10New high since late month67.98dollar/Barrel, with the largest daily increase of nearly3%。 Previously, there were reports of attacks on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia. But as the US dollar regained strength, oil prices took back most of the day's gains. Baker Hughes, an energy service company, said that the rise in prices encouraged American energy companies to add oil and gas drilling platforms for the second week in a row. But Chen Yibo believes that,OPEC+The decision to maintain production quotas unchanged indicates that the group intends to further reduce inventory and is not concerned about excessive market tightening, as they hardly see the threat of increased output elsewhere.



Technical analysis of crude oil:



Crude oil technology: Affected by news, prices continue to break through upwards,D1The level continuously retracts the positive line, forming a triple positive patternKLine combination. Today, the price is expected to rise for a period of time as it jumps short and opens high. It is important to note that there may be a correction in the relatively high jump short and open high, so do not chase too much.H1LevelMACDIndicator in0The extreme position above the axis is passivated, and the overall trend shows an upward adjustment wave. This information tells us that bulls occupy absolute advantage, and will fall back in the short term. So, for today's intraday trading strategy, the first consideration is to buy long on dips, wait for prices to fall below the trend line to see the signal layout of multiple orders, and target the resistance position above. Overall, Chen Yibo's personal suggestion for short-term crude oil operations today is to prioritize low to high, with high altitude as a supplement. Top short-term focus67.0-67.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below64.0-64.5Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidanceQQ:1467450473Obtain guidance slots.



Gold and SilverTDMarket trend analysis:



   goldTDThe trend chart shows that the daily line has reached a stage bottom after two dips last Friday, and there is a bottoming signal at the turning point of the daily channel, indicating a bullish trend. Combined with four hours, goldtdThis wave of upward short-term target highs will challenge360-362element/Ke Yixian, this is the periodic reverse resistance range in the early four hours, and there will be a wave of consolidation here.1Short term pressure within hours360element/Resist resistance, but the probability of breaking at this price level is high and not enough to change the bullish trend. But it can serve as a reference for short-term technical pullback buying, and the key support below is firstly354element/Ke, get close to the optional opportunity to enter and buy in the day! Further support is provided through352element/Nearby K, it is also an ideal range for entering long, with defense in the350element/Just below gram, the target is bullish360-365element/Gram.



SilverTDSilver prices closed lower last week292Yuan, amplitude5.4%After. This week, the trend has continued to strengthen after the late opening of last Friday, and has continued to strengthen until today's white market. The trend has recovered from last Friday's decline, although currently encountering5The daily moving average pressure test, but the bearish signals on the indicators have weakened,4The hourly bullish signal is strong, indicating that there is still room for further rebound. last week5120Multiple orders entering nearby will continue to be held for release. On the point, follow from above5340Preliminary resistance level of yuan, further attention5460Yuan, and5620Element resistance; Follow Below5260Preliminary support from Yuan, further attention5200Support near the yuan. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Chen Yibo to learn about the latest market situation. For specific order making strategies, please refer to Chen Yibo for entry pointsQQ:1467450473Based on actual offer guidance!



Paper Silver:



During the day, the US dollar index continued its upward trend, and silver as a whole fluctuated downward along the short-term moving average. Under the strong pressure of the US dollar index, silver was unable to maintain a strong upward trend, and the market did not break the pressure above5.7Starting to enter the technical callback. fromKFrom the perspective of line technology, there is a decline and engulfment pattern at the hourly level, and a short-term correction is inevitable. Silver4The hourly cycle is currently in a fluctuating downward trend, starting fromKFrom a structural perspective, the current downward trend of the oscillation is still ongoing,KThe line runs on the lower track of the Bollinger belt, and theoretically it also runs in a falling or oscillating structure, with the high point in the figure5.6-5.76Element is pressure,5.1-5.0Yuan is the support.4According to the hourly chart, due to the early stage5.0The yuan support has not been damaged, so Chen Yibo believes that the probability of a rebound in paper and silver after a rebound is high. The short-term downward trend of silver is relatively obvious, but with the gradual release of kinetic energy, the probability of a low rebound is also high, and the operational approach is still dominated by a low and high layout. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Chen Yibo to learn about the latest market situation. For specific order making strategies, please refer to Chen Yibo for entry pointsQQ:1467450473Based on actual offer guidance!



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Chen Yibo's personal feedback on making orders:



  1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.



  2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.



  3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.



  4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.



  5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.



This article was originally submitted by Chen Yibo


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