3.8黄金原油独家行情策略分析及最新TD白银纸黄金实时操作...

3.8goods in stockgold、伦敦金行情分析



　　上周，现货黄金延续跌势，最低曾触及1687.44dollar/盎司，为近九个月新低，收报1700.64dollar/盎司，周线跌幅约1.93%，也是连续第三周下跌。美联储主席不会立即出手压制收益率，投资者大失所望，美债收益率重拾涨势，再创逾一年新高，带动美元上涨，对金价形成打压；另一方面，美国非农等经济数据表现靓丽，提振经济复苏前景，削弱黄金的避险买需。市场对黄金的看空预期有所增加，但仍需留意美国1.9万亿刺激计划的进展。黄金投机性净多头减少26095Hand contract, to189638手合约，表明投资者看多黄金的意愿降温。整体来看，基本面状况暂时偏向空头，金价后市进一步下探的风险较大，但市场仍憧憬美国的1.9万亿刺激计划，这在中长线限制金价的下行空间，而且金价本周守住了1689.32附近的关键支撑，这是1451-2075Upward trend61.8%回撤位，暗示金价近期的跌势仍可能只是深度回调而已，金价中长线仍有进一步走高的机会。



　　黄金从技术面看，日线级别：单边下跌；均线空头排列，MACDDeadfork signal continuation,KDJThe dead cross signal continues, and there is still a risk of further downward exploration in gold prices, with short-term attention still being paid1689.58Nearby support, this position is1451-2075Upward trend61.8%The ability to maintain this support during the closing of a pullback will affect the judgment of the medium to long term trend. If left behind1689.58Nearby support, the short term may further fall towards2020year5month1Rihe6month5Daily low point1670.98Nearby support;5month6Daily low point1682There is also some support nearby. If we can hold onto it1689.58Nearby support suggests that the recent decline may only be a deep correction of the long-term upward trend, and there is still a chance for gold prices to fluctuate and rise in the future. becauseKLine andKDJThe downward momentum seems to have weakened, please pay attention to it from above5Daily moving average1713.42附近阻力，如果能够回升至该位置上方，则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看，周一短线操作思路上陈亦博建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1728-1733Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1680-1685Frontline support.

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GoldTDMarket analysis:



GoldT+D: Friday(3month5day)亚市午后，黄金t+d仍维持疲软态势，小非农爆冷，黄金不涨反跌，美债收益率再度攀升拖累金价走低，截至目前黄金tdPrice trading354.80element/克，今日黄金tdOpening report358.27element/克。黄金td仍有再度走低风险。黄金td昨日晚盘低开至360.24element/克后，虽延续至今日周五白盘触及3.8.00element/克，但仍未转阳，指标上，看空信号仍未有减弱迹象，暗示仍有再度走低的风险。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上陈亦博建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方关注360、361.5One line of resistance, pay attention below3.8/351.5Frontline support.



SilverTDMarket analysis:



SilverT+D: Friday(3month5day)亚市盘中，美元指数保持坚挺，白银t+d承压低位徘徊，截至目前白银tdPrice trading5147element/千克，今日白银tdOpening report5305element/千克，今夜投资者将以迎来备受关注的美国非农就业报告，预计将引发市场剧烈波动。白银td在昨日晚盘开于5305element/千克后，反弹遇阻5日均线压力5367元回落，延续至今日周五白盘，走势已较大幅下行，最低已触及5110元。虽有所止跌反弹，但力度欠佳，指标上，KDJandMACD的空头信号仍处于增强中，重点关注5100的破位情况，跌破将进一步下探至5850元附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上陈亦博建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方关注5250元初步阻力及5350Near the element resistance; Follow Below5050Yuan, and4950element/Kilogram support.



　　3.8futurescrude oil、美原油行情分析



　　上周油价先跌后涨，早些时候市场担忧OPEC+会增加产量，而且API原油库存意外增加，但EIA汽油库存录得出现1990年以来最大降幅，OPEC+意外将石油减产延长至4月，沙特将继续额外自愿减产，而且中东形势趋于紧张，美国非农就业报告表现靓丽，最终帮助油价扭跌为涨，收涨7.49%，美原油最高触及66.42，创为2019year2019year4month24日以来新高；收报66.28dollar/桶。目前，至少四个著名投行已经在OPEC+会议后也纷纷上调了油价预期。布伦特原油本周上涨7.83%, highest touch69.69, for2020year1month9New high in recent days, closing69.69dollar/桶。周末和未来有关美国1.9万亿刺激计划的消息，投资者也需要予以关注，偏向利好油价。本周，EIAandOPEC还将公布原油市场月度报告，投资者需要重点关注。美原油能否顶破2019Annual high point66.60关键阻力，也将是市场关注的焦点所在。原油看多意愿升温；原油投机性净多头增加7179Hand contract, to519019Hand contracts indicate an increasing willingness among investors to be bullish on crude oil.



　　原油开盘就回落下探63.8Nearby, exploring the rebound all the way66.4Nearby, closing66.3Nearby, daily lineKDJReestablish the golden cross, and the oil price will increase20After gaining support near the daily moving average, the market attempted to rise again. The moving average returned and diverged upwards, and oil prices broke through last week's high63.81Nearby resistance, there is further upward opportunity in the short term, pay attention to65.65and66.60Key resistance. Due toMACDThe signal of divergence from the top is still present, and there is strong resistance to suppress oil prices. Investors still need to be cautious of the possibility of oil prices rising, falling, and fluctuating to reach the top. Last week's high point63.81It has been transformed into the initial support,10The daily moving average is supported by62.15Nearby, if it falls below that position, it weakens the short-term bullish signal. Strong support in20Daily moving average60.59附近，一旦回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号。综合来看陈亦博认为，非农数据好于预期，进一步表明经济好转，支撑油价需求，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注67.8-70.0dollar/Bucket, follow below64.5-63.8dollar/Bucket support.


I am Chen Yibo, born for trading. If you have any questions, please follow me at any time. This article is exclusively written by Chen Yibo. Investment is risky, and trading needs to be cautious. Rushing into the market is a fool, finding the right person is a wise person. A small boat is drifting in the sea, if you don't set sail, then you will always drift in the sea. Currently, global financial markets (such as international gold,TDGold and silver, crude oil,foreign exchange和期货市场）具有深入而独特的见解。每次分析都不是一种情感游戏，也不是一种情感释放。每个开仓和平仓都是专业表现。陈亦博认真写好每份分析报告，并传达了宝贵的投资思想，希望物有所值，值有所得。