Li Xiaohan3.8The stimulus bill has been passed, resulting in both safe haven sentiment in the gold market and bearish sentiment on the US index...

　　goldDissection of message surface:

Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate maintained at0%-0.25%The probability of the interval is100%Interest rate hike25Bps to0.25%-0.50%The probability of the interval is0%；4Monthly interest rate maintained at0%-0.25%The probability of the interval is96%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is4%。

Details

A huge explosion was heard over the city of Zahran in eastern Saudi Arabia. Zahran City is a major oil town in Saudi Arabia and the headquarters of the world's largest oil company, Saudi Aramco. Multiple social media users in different locations in the city have reported hearing the sound of a suspected missile being intercepted. At almost the same time, the Yemeni Hussein armed forces issued a statement stating that they had launched attacks on multiple areas in the Saudi capital Riyadh, the east, and the south8Ballistic missiles and release them14A drone is used to launch attacks on oil and military facilities in Saudi Arabia. As of the time of publication, Saudi Arabia has not provided an official response to this. US Embassy and Consulate in Saudi Arabia7A warning was issued in the evening, requiring all American citizens in Saudi Arabia to be vigilant and take preventive measures against similar incidents.

In summary, the Federal Reserve has made it clear that it will not raise interest rates to support the upward trend of gold prices. In the face of the Saudi Arabian incident, risk aversion sentiment has increased, and gold is still bullish in the future. Coupled with the uncertainty of the Iran nuclear agreement, gold is bullish in the white market today.

Anatomy of the Golden Technical Surface:

At the monthly level, gold prices have initially fallen below the support of the medium track, according to itsKDJDead fork retention,MACDThe strengthening of bearish signals, coupled with the beginning of this month, is also optimistic about further downward risk expectations. If the rebound fails to stabilize the track line, further attention can be paid below30Weekly moving average1570-1580Near the US dollar.

Weekly level, support on the downside of breaking through bullish clouds1760After the US dollar, if the negative line is still charged again and the strength remains unchanged, it is optimistic that further touching will occur100Weekly moving average1650Around the US dollar. At that time, the band rebound can be captured.

Daily level, unilateral decline; Short positions on the moving average,MACDDeadfork signal continuation,KDJThe dead cross signal continues, and there is still a risk of further downward exploration in gold prices, with short-term attention still being paid1689.58Nearby support, this position is1451-2075Upward trend61.8%The ability to maintain this support during the closing of a pullback will affect the judgment of the medium to long term trend. If left behind1689.58Nearby support, the short term may further fall towards2020year5month1Rihe6month5Daily low point1670.98Nearby support;5month6Daily low point1682There is also some support nearby. If we can hold onto it1689.58Nearby support suggests that the recent decline may only be a deep correction of the long-term upward trend, and there is still a chance for gold prices to fluctuate and rise in the future. becauseKLine andKDJThe downward momentum seems to have weakened, please pay attention to it from above5Daily moving average1713.42Nearby resistance, if it can rebound above that position, will weaken the bearish signal in the future. On the point, follow from above1713Near the US dollar, and1736-38Resistance near the US dollar; Follow Below1687Near the US dollar, and1668-71Support around the US dollar.

　　4Hour level, following last year8After setting a new historical high on a monthly basis, gold has continued to fluctuate and decline, and it seems to be approaching important support. This important support interval is the downward trajectory of the downward channel starting from historical highs and61.8%The interval constructed by the Fibo retreat level1690-1686Nearby. meanwhile,RSIThe indicator shows signs of bottom deviation and rebounds from the oversold range, releasing a signal that action can weaken. If the closing price of this week successfully holds this important support range, it is expected to rebound and rebound in the future, and the resistance above is important1760Frontline50%Near the level of Fibo retreat; On the contrary, if it falls below this important support, it may further fall towards1650First line or even1600Integer off.

In summary, gold prices will definitely rise first at the beginning of the week and not break the highest point of the previous wave1742Gold will plummet even more fiercely, so on Monday, we will still focus on the upward trend of volatility. Long term and medium term orders can be placed on a bargain hunting basis, and short term orders will be considered during the week. Follow below today's opening1688-1683Frontline support. Follow Above1713-1720A line of resistance.

Gold meets expectations, pay attention to above1742A line of resistance, breaking the level means continuing to rise, but not breaking means falling back in response.

Wen, Li Xiaohanlxhq281