Tan Xinsheng:3.3黄金日内走势技术分析前瞻及操作建议部署

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goldInformation analysis:

隔夜，金价自逾八个月低点1707美元展开反弹，最终收于1738美元。周三(3month3day)亚市盘中，市场交投较为平静，美元延续昨日自三周高位下跌的势头，现货黄金在触及1740美元后回落，现货黄金回吐昨日部分涨幅，目前交投在1730美元附近。因美元和美债收益率回落提振对避险黄金的需求，同时华尔街三大stock market index集体下跌也支撑了金价。

各国官员陆续开始表达对债券收益率大涨的关切，欧洲央行官员态度鲜明地表达了政策干预的可能。另外，周三拜登的1.9万亿美元刺激案将继续在参议院推进，投票可能在周四进行，这对金价仍有一定的支撑。而拜登对疫苗接种的乐观预计继续拖累金价，黄金ETF的规模不断缩水也预示着金价将面临更大的麻烦。短线金价暂时企稳，但黄金的前景仍然充满坎坷，多头也很难在短期获得太多的动能。

今日需要关注的重要数据较多，经济数据方面，21:15To be announced in the United States2monthADP就业人数，预计增加17.7Ten thousand, the previous value is an increase17.4万人，这一数据将给近期关于经济复苏的争论带来更多依据与周五公布的非农有较强关联。另外今日中国、法国、德国、英国、美国等国家的服务业PMI数据将相继出炉，投资者可从中把握全球经济复苏情况。另外，周四凌晨2:00芝加哥联储主席埃文斯将就经济与货币政策现状发表讲话，3:00美联储将发布经济状况褐皮书；4:15新西兰联储主席奥尔也将就未来货币政策发表讲话。

Technical analysis of gold:

昨日黄金价格从低位1707出现大幅反弹，反弹最高到1738附近承压。从形态上看，目前金价属于破位超跌技术反弹，表明行情已经止跌，后续有较大概率进入调整期。今日金价亚市最高上行至1740，金价尝试突破看空通道阻力，但是在此位置受阻出现回落。目前只要金价保持在1740-1742区域下方，那么看空预期仍将有效。而金价只要守住1700关口，那么黄金短期内料反弹向1740-1748。而金价只有在短期内持续上升到1760上方，才能消除进一步下跌的可能性。黄金目前交投在1730附近，在接下来的行情当中下方关注1725-1720支撑，下破则看1707-1700关口；上方关注1740-1742区域的阻力压制，上破则看1748and1760关口的高阻区域。

黄金操作参考思路：

1Gold1730附近先多，止损1725Next, let's take a look at the target first1740-1742Area, look up1748-1760区域高点压制，破位持有

2、若黄金反弹1740-1742附近受阻轻仓做空，止损1748Go ahead, let's take a look at the target first1730-1725Area, take a look down1720-1710-1707as well as1700Area, break hold

3Gold rebound1748or1760区域受阻做空，止损6USD, target1740-1730-1720Area, break hold

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