王德诚：顺势为王，3.2白银甲醇豆粕鸡蛋期货行情分析

    市场用最朴实无华的的现实告诉了我们颠扑不破的真理：投资市场永恒的规律是70%的人都亏损的规律，任何人都不可能改变投资世界的自然法则，因为这是投资世界永恒的铁律！并不是说这个神秘的行业有着像传说那么难，而是因为我们绝大多数人都有着一种无法抗拒的天性——怀疑系统。

　　正是这种致命的天性最终导致我们投资的失败。而信任系统却恰恰是交易中最最重要的一环。信任和严格遵守一个良好的交易系统是艰难的，现实中，总会因实际交易中的种种不如意而变得难以执行。投资的成功就是简单的盈利模式重复做，而且是大量做。只有这样才能显示出这种模式的大概率特征，才能实现稳定盈利。

    好了，言归正传。现在开始分析白银、甲醇、豆粕、鸡蛋主力futures的后市行情走势。

　白银主力合约：

　　今日白银探底反弹100Multiple point reporting5572长下影阳线，美债收益率全线走低，3Monthly US Treasury yields decline0.5Basis point report0.041%，2The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has fallen1.6Basis point report0.117%，3The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has fallen3.2Basis point report0.211%，5The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has fallen3.1Basis point report0.551%，10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has fallen4.5Basis point report1.276%，30The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has fallen5.6Basis point report2.039%. In late New York trading, the US dollar index rose0.35%newspaper90.9146, rising for two consecutive days; Non US currencies mostly fell, with the euro falling against the US dollar0.53%newspaper1.204The pound fell against the US dollar0.29%newspaper1.3862The Australian dollar fell against the US dollar0.07%newspaper0.775USD/JPY down0.17%newspaper105.86。

　　短线操作上，白银2106The contract and the adjustment of silver's potential range are highly volatile and will continue to rise in the market trend. It is expected that the broad consolidation and strong market trend will continue. The author, Wang Decheng, suggests that silver should make a correction5480支撑上方分批进场多单，所有单子都严格带上止损。

　 甲醇主力合约：

　  今日甲醇强势拉升140点左右小幅回落报收2532大阳线形态，2月初至今西南整体开工一路攀升至53.62%，伴随着冬季用气高峰的结束，气温回升，居民用气需求减弱，西南气头装置通气重启陆续展开，后期泸天化、江油等气头企业亦有望在年后逐步复产，川维年后检修计划将推迟至3月，待后续跟踪；港口来看，节后港口进口船货到港依然有限，加之近期港口持续去库，春节后港口供应端暂无压力，不过随着外盘装置陆续恢复，3月份进口量存增加预期。需求端来看，节前二甲醚、甲醛开工环比继续大幅走低，受春节临近及终端需求减弱影响，传统下游开工进一步走低，压制甲醇需求。

　　短线操作上，甲醇2105合约，目前甲醇蓄势逐渐走强上涨整理形态，甲醇还将延续上攻走势为主，笔者王德诚甲醇回调2505支撑上方分批进场多单，所有单子都严格带上止损。

   Soybean meal main contract:

　　豆粕小区间波动整理70Report at around o'clock3422小阳线一带，印度大豆加工商协会（SOPA）Weighing,1The export volume of Indian soybean meal reached336,390Tons, year-on-year growth484%. Due to the global rise in soybean meal prices to a six-and-a-half-year high, India's soybean meal exports to Europe and Asia have become profitable. Although the outbreak of avian influenza in India has damaged domestic feed industry demand, an increase in Indian soybean meal exports has helped support local soybean prices and may lead to a decrease in soybean meal exports from South America to Asia.SOPAWeighing,1India's soybean meal exports to France, Germany, Indonesia, and Bangladesh increased in the month. stay2020/21Annual（10From month to year9The first four months of a month, i.e10Month to1In the month, the export volume of Indian soybean meal is950,134Tons, more than doubled compared to the same period last year.

On short-term operations, soybean meal2105合约，豆粕目前日线级别破位下跌阶段走势，整体形态有望延续下挫行情，笔者建议豆粕冲高3490压力下方分批进空单，所有单子都严格带上止损。

　　

   Egg Main Contract:

　　鸡蛋大幅放量破位下跌200点左右报收大阴线走势，基本面：2month8The stability of spot egg prices nationwide is the main focus. The average price of eggs nationwide is3.95, compared to2month7day+0.00. Among them, the average price in the sales area4.35Average price in production area3.75. The supply of eggs in the main egg producing areas nationwide remains low. Before the Spring Festival, the market had sufficient stock and supply, but consumption also declined after the peak of stocking.

On short-term operations, eggs2105合约，鸡蛋整体趋势逐渐破位下跌行情，鸡蛋蓄势发力下行还有空间行情，笔者建议鸡蛋冲高44550压力下方分批进场空单，所有单子都严格带上止损。

   Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。