2.4Will gold continue to rise? Gold and Silvertd美原油走势分析操作建议

　　与其追求战胜市场，不如放下高傲，用谦卑的姿态去顺从市场，用心去感知市场。不争，则天下莫能与之争；无为，则无所不为。不求智名，不争勇功，方达若水之境。对每个交易者而言，市场里的机会大致可分为三类：看得懂，看不懂，似懂又非懂。对于完全看不懂或看得懂的机会，相信多数人不会犯大的错误。最容易犯的错误，是我们常把精力放在那些似懂非懂的机会上。交易不是单纯的自我挑战，更不是骑马找驴的游戏，专注你能搞得明白的机会，并全力以赴，才是正道。

Every day is a starting point, there must be some progress every day, and there must be some gains every day!Don't complain about why it wasn't you who succeeded. If you want to satisfy your desires, sink your heart. Expect victory, don't retreat when faced with setbacks. There is no success for nothing and no occasional profit. The best state is to stick to your dreams, listen to professional advice, and avoid making a few mistakes. Let time be the best proof.

　　goldLatest market trends

Thursday(2month4day)亚市盘中，美元指数保持坚挺，现报91.15附近。贵金属市场遭受卖盘打压，金价日内下挫逾10美元，目前正逼近1820dollar/盎司。现货白银也持续下滑，日内跌幅超过1%。香港时间周四晚间，投资者将迎来英国央行利率决议，预计将引发英镑汇率的波动，分析师指出，假如英国央行今日没有给出负利率的暗示，英镑有望大幅攀升。现货黄金周三收报1833.89dollar/Ounces, down3.99USD or0.22%。周四欧市盘中，金价短线持续下滑，最低触及1815.02dollar/盎司。潇翰认为美元走强及美债收益率上升对黄金形成短期阻力。由于市场对疫苗接种和刺激措施感到乐观，黄金的避险吸引力有所减弱。投资者购买黄金ETF的热潮也停滞。与此同时，以美国2年期损益平衡通胀率衡量的通胀预期在近期大幅上涨后正在失去动能，这可能会给实际收益率带来上行压力，并进一步打击金价。

　　黄金从技术面看，黄金从日线上来看，KDJ死叉，金价目前处于暴跌后的向上盘整阶段，且在大趋势上仍处于2020year8月历史高位回落以来的下跌通道中，大方向整体偏空运行，短线可能在上行盘整通道中收涨，不过多头仍然显得比较谨慎。潇翰认为尽管市场一直看好金价重归大牛市，但盘面上看，空头似乎更游刃有余，多头却被动挨打。激进投资者可以轻仓做反弹行情，保守者等待逢高做空的机会。上方初步阻力关注50%Fibo retreat position1862，进一步阻力关注38.2%Retreat position1885and1900整数关口。下方初步支撑关注趋势性所在1832Nearby, further attention76.4%Retreat position1810and1800关口。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李潇翰建议回调低多为辅，反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1830-1835Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1805-1810Frontline support.

Gold and SilverTDanalysis:

GoldTD：金价自昨日低开至381.58element/克后，先行走高至382.86元，之后承压走低，延续至今日周四白盘，金价回落触及布林带下轨下方，KDJ死叉向下明显，MACD绿色看空信号也在增强，暗示走势仍有继续走低风险。点位上，上方关注381.10element/G, and382.50element/Gram resistance; Follow Below377.60element/G support, and374.90element/K support.

Silvertd：银价自昨日晚间低开至5481element/千克后，先行冲高至5550元遇阻后回落，延续至今日周四白盘，走势继续承压下行，测试30Daily and10日均线支撑力度，根据其附图指标KDJ保持死叉以及MACD红色柱缩减迹象看，有跌破的趋势。整体偏向高空为主级级下看支撑。点位上，上方关注5560element/Resistance near kilograms, and5680element/Kilogram resistance; Follow Below5340element/Kilograms, and5250element/Kilogram support.

　　crude oilLatest market trends:

　　原油小幅上涨，因美国原油库存意外减少，且OPEC+预估全球油市今年将出现供应短缺。有消息称美国国会议员更接近在没有共和党支持下批准拜1.9万亿美元的纾困法案。市场人气因而受到提振。目前市场受到石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友的最新评估支撑。OPEC+最新预计，到6月石油库存将降至五年均值下方。这表明产油国的减产正成功地让油市回归平衡。美国石油协会(API)在周二市场收盘后公布的数据显示，上周美国原油和汽油油库存意外骤降。这也进一步支撑了油市。

　　原油从四小时来看，多日横盘震荡最终选择上破，周一自下轨回升反弹，周二延续，一度突破上轨，沿着布林带上轨震荡上行，走势极为强势，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern with three lines pointing upwards,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching overbought,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量，快慢线金叉向上，暗示原油涨势依在，但是短期内有回撤需求，晚间依旧是建议回踩做多，谨慎做空。下方关注中轨53Support nearby, pay attention above56.5附近阻力。小时线来看，原油沿着MA5、10均线震荡上涨，回调的空间较小，这种时候如果做多的点位保守得话，极容易踏空点位，所以晚间思路上李潇翰建议激进者回踩54-54.3附近做多，稳健者则耐心等待回踩53附近做多。

The market is fair to everyone. Since some people make money, others must also lose money. The most important thing about investing is not how much money you can earn in a week. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits in the long run. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods and strategies. As long as they are suitable, achieving stable profits is a good method, but there is really no shortcut to profit in investment, Only like an ascetic monk, do homework diligently every day and accumulate diligently. Only by steadily grasping short-term returns on a daily basis can we go further on the investment path. Do not rush for quick success or profit, go against the trend, and compete with the market for long or short.

Because of our profession, we are ahead, without any deceit or deceit, and only have a sincere heart; There is no 100% accuracy, only stable profitability; Don't be a hindsight, let every profit truly and truly make you feel and benefit from it. If I can't find you all the time, then I can only stand in the most prominent place and let you find me. Li Xiaohan focuses on analyzing spot gold and silver goldT+D, US crude oil, London goldforeign exchangeFinancial investment products such as gold and crude oil. A professional team conducts online analysis and provides one-on-one real-time guidance to help investors avoid risks, expand profits, and keep you informed of international market trends anytime and anywhere, making the most robust orders. Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end!

This article is written by Li Xiaohanlxhq281献给还在市场中挣扎的新老朋友,I don't have much technical knowledge, let alone basic knowledge. I only hope that everyone can establish their own trading system, so that they can have a clear direction no matter where they are, not so confused, and achieve your dreams. In this article, I will provide you with some suggestions based on my experience, and I hope you can go on the road of Gold as an investment relatively smoothly.