2.3黄金宽幅震荡会破位吗？今天国际黄金、美原油走势分...

　　前言：所有交易原则的东西必须遵守且不可逾越，比如仓位管理，比如风险控制中的止损，剩下的是方式方法的问题，而方式方法因人而异，世上没有完全相同的两片树叶，同样也没有完全相同交易方法的两个人，不同的性格，不同兴趣，不同的品行都会导致方法的多样性，但对于自身而言，坚守一种方法且通过交易经验的累积不断的优化固定下来是对交易有帮助的！如果一天一种交易方法，那么想要稳定的盈利轨迹就会很难。交易之道：紧随趋势，宏观共振，不要孤注一掷，铁一般的交易纪律，欢迎交流技术、方法、心得。

　　与其追求战胜市场，不如放下高傲，用谦卑的姿态去顺从市场，用心去感知市场。不争，则天下莫能与之争；无为，则无所不为。不求智名，不争勇功，方达若水之境。对每个交易者而言，市场里的机会大致可分为三类：看得懂，看不懂，似懂又非懂。对于完全看不懂或看得懂的机会，相信多数人不会犯大的错误。最容易犯的错误，是我们常把精力放在那些似懂非懂的机会上。交易不是单纯的自我挑战，更不是骑马找驴的游戏，专注你能搞得明白的机会，并全力以赴，才是正道。

Daily InternationalgoldInternationalcrude oilPaper gold, paper silver, gold silverTDComprehensive online guidance and analysis 【 Guidance WeChat:lxhq281】Suggestions for the operation of the gold and silver series, real-time consultation and interpretation of gold and silver, and early layout of short-term and medium to long-term plans.

　　现货黄金行情走势分析

　　国际现货黄金周一走高，最高触及1871.81dollar/盎司后重回1870美元下方，白银在散户热情的推动下大幅上涨，这令黄金也搭上了顺风车，但整体涨势依然受限，因目前依然存在两大风险。一方面，疫情下美元需求依然旺盛，这对黄金造成压力；另一方面，能给黄金带来通胀提振的大规模财政刺激方案屡屡受阻，这不利于帮助黄金多头打开更大的上涨空间。因此，金价可能依然会维持区间震荡。

　　黄金昨日亚盘表现比较活跃，受白银的上涨联动，黄金早间高开走高测压至1867一线后回撤调整，下方回补至1850附近缺口后再度震荡反弹，欧盘时段行情测压至1871上方，但未能保持偏强状态，而是震荡回落至1856附近，美盘我们可以看到黄金在1866-1869区域连续震荡后再度迎来回落走低，最终收盘重回1860关口震荡报收，日K线继续以震荡中阴收盘，整体思路一致，维持1875下方偏空运行。本周将迎来非农，或许是这个原因，导致黄金迟迟不能打破既有的区间运行的魔咒。那么本周五来临之前，我们暂时的交易思路将继续保持区间交易思路不变，双高压力1875，下方重点密集支撑区域1833，短期位于这个区间内继续整理！

　　技术面分析：日K线报收中阴，昨日早间小幅高开后快速回补缺口并延续窄幅震荡整理，最终依据承压前一日高点1875一线压力震荡运行，细心的朋友可以发现，最近几个交易日黄金的走势就是一个不断冲高回落的过程，上方1875属于强力压力位置，所以在黄金没有有效站稳1875上方之前，势必不断重复这一过程。再加上日线的探高不破高，收低显示日内短线可能会向下轨回落寻求支撑，久攻不破高，谨防多头疲软后的回吐。小时线级别反复的探高承压后无力破高，收在中性偏低的位置，K线形态显示多头量能相对减弱，今日来看黄金整体依旧处于承压偏空运行，操作上很简单，李潇翰建议继续逢高做空，上方1875不突破，我们不言多，每一个单子都需要有明确交易信号，日内压力关注昨日4Hourly opening and closing1870一线，下方支撑关注昨日颈线位1850-1845区域！行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，如若出现破位亦可咨询李潇翰了解最新行情，具体做单策略进场点位以实盘指导为准! Li Xiaohan's WeChat:lxhq281。

DomesticfuturesGold, SilverTDMarket analysis:

GoldTD：金价周一探底回升收阳，自开于386.70element/克后，先行走低触及支撑线处的383.51element/克，后反弹至389.50Yuan, final payment received388.57元，日振幅5.99Yuan.

　　自昨日晚间先行开于389After reaching the Yuan level, it followed the international market's upward trend and touched390.20The yuan reached a high point and then fell again, continuing until now with clear signs of pressure. There is a risk of testing the Bollinger Bands medium track and short-term moving average in a downward trend, but it can still be bullish after reaching support. On the point; Follow Below386Support near Yuanguankou, further attention385Support near Yuanguan Pass; Follow Above389.20element/G resistance, and391.60Yuan.

SilverTD：银价周一高开至5573element/千克后，最低触及5440元，最高触及5896元，收于5892元，日振幅456元，收涨319元，相对于上周收盘价5384元，收涨508Yuan.

　　银价自昨日晚盘再度高开至5968Yuan, but when refreshing high points to6024element/After the kilogram, there is a drop, and currently during the white market period, the highest drop is close to300Meta space, the trend still maintains its strength, and therefore6000Short orders entering the vicinity of Yuanguankou immediately made significant profits. Although the weekly level tends to be bullish, there is a risk of a pullback in the daily and below cycles. Pay attention to its downside potential. On the spot, follow from above5900Resistance near the element, and6000Resistance near or above the element; Follow Below5640element/Kilogram support, and5460Meta support.

Analysis of crude oil market trend

Message analysis: Tuesday(2month2day)International oil prices have risen by over1%，此前主要产油国表态称，他们正在削减原油供给，以履行其减产承诺，从而支撑市场摆脱因疫情导致的需求疲软所带来的困境。尽管疫苗接种工作不尽如人意、不断有人染疫以及新病毒变种的发现为油价带来下行风险，但因美国原油库存下降，且数年来最严重暴风雪之一侵袭美国东北部，导致冬季燃料需求上升，提振了油价。总体来看，疫苗推动的经济和旅行活动回升步伐缓慢，新毒株的增加和疫苗的接种缓慢引发的一些担忧情绪拖累了油价上涨，但库存的下降，加之暴风雪的袭击，导致冬季燃料需求将上升，对短期油价的上涨构成强有力的动力，拜北京的刺激计划也对油价上涨构成有利因素，短线油价或还有进一步上涨的空间，但今年多数时间油价或将盘旋在当前水准附近，之后随着疫苗帮助石油需求摆脱疫情造成的影响，在临近2021年年底时油价反弹将获得动能。

　　技术面：从日k线看，原油已经在均线附近震荡十几天了，期间均线也一直处于粘连状态，本以为53.9已经是最高点了，没想到今早直接从布林带中轨下方打破双均线压制，直达54.2，并且在上方维持了几个小时，目前是受到了布林带上轨54.2的压制。之前在文章里说过，如果打破前高，就说明原油又有了新的上涨空间，而现在布林带收口，不排除原油再维持一阵子高位震荡的局面，MACDThere is a possibility that the fast and slow lines may intersect to form a golden cross, and the green energy column will shrink. Today, we will not consider short orders, and can focus on low orders.1Hour level,K线紧贴5日均线上方运动，受到了支撑，两根均线的金叉十分给力，从52.1持续到54.2，MACD快慢线也从零轴之下涨到上方，红色能量柱持续时间长，上涨动能非常强，多头非常诱人。而且5日均线到布林带上轨之间还有空间，虽然有追高风险。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上李潇翰个人建议以低多为主。上方短期重点关注56.0-56.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below52.0-52.5Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Li Xiaohan to learn about the latest market situation. The specific entry points for order making strategies are subject to the guidance of the actual market! Li Xiaohan's WeChat:lxhq281。

Most spot traders have experienced losses, which is actually an inevitable thing in spot trading. To do a good job, you always have to pay some tuition fees. But smart traders will summarize their experiences and lessons after paying tuition fees to continuously improve themselves. This is also the reason why some people, after exploding their positions, reorganize their thoughts and start over again, can gradually expand in the market, while others do not accept the lessons, and ultimately explode and lose everything. Li Xiaohan has summarized three reasons that can easily lead to investors' short positions here as a reference for everyone.

　　1Go against the market and trade with a broad mindset. After opening a position, many investors do not set a stop loss and block the market direction like everyone else. Fortunately, I hope the price can align with my expected direction. But trading is not gambling. The market has its own rules of operation, which are not transferable by anyone's will. Luck and luck cannot exist forever. To achieve stable profits, one must rely on one's true strength.

　　2Psychological issues. One is too greedy, and the other is unwilling to face one's own mistakes. Once the direction is wrong, one cannot decisively close the position. Instead, they resisted until their positions were sold out and all their principal was lost, forcing them to close their positions without hitting the south wall or turning back. Some people may say that this is called the Ming Mountain with a tiger, and leaning towards the Tiger Mountain is a manifestation of perseverance and perseverance. Each of us traders comes to this market for the sake of making money, not for the sake of standing tall and upright, and no one will struggle with money. If the warehouse bursts, there will be nothing to talk about and nothing to stand up for. So investors must first learn to survive at breakeven before considering how to make money.

　　3Frequent trading and heavy position operations. Some investors want to quickly make money in the market, so they do not consider their trading level and the instability of the market. They frequently place orders in the trading, resulting in overweight positions. In the end, most of them lose more, set deeper, and lose nothing.

My name is Li Xiaohan (WeChat:lxhq281）I am born for trading, and if you have any questions, you can always follow me. This article is exclusively written by Li Xiaohan. Investment is risky, and trading needs to be cautious. Rushing into the market is a fool, finding the right person is a wise person. A small boat is drifting in the sea, if you don't set sail, then you will always drift in the sea. Currently, global financial markets (such as international gold,TDGold and silver, crude oil,foreign exchangeAnd futures markets) have in-depth and unique insights. Every analysis is not an emotional game, nor is it an emotional release. Each opening and closing position is a professional performance. Li Xiaohan carefully wrote each analysis report and conveyed valuable investment ideas, hoping for value for money and income.