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Preface: A good market is not a momentary waterfall that makes you despair or arrogant, but a one-way compound interest and running of fine water and long flow. It is to move forward better, and to let go is a higher realm. A master is not to play a bad hand well, but to be able to abandon the card at a critical time, not to take everything from the past, to gamble on an uncertain future, be good at preaching, in order to stand undefeated, Don't always disappoint everything you have experienced just to deserve your own ambition.
InternationalgoldLatest Market Analysis
Golden News: Tuesday(2month2During the Asian period, spot gold bottomed out and rebounded, initially dragged down by the decline in silver. However, the decline in the US dollar supported the price of gold. In addition, the hawkish stance of Federal Reserve official Bostek has raised concerns among gold bulls, and the strong manufacturing data in the United States to some extent confirms Bostek's expectations. The Biden stimulus bill has also been questioned within the White House, facing the possibility of downsizing, and these factors are not conducive to the rise of gold. Another noteworthy point is that the Zhishang Exchange willCOMEXsilverfuturesIncrease in margin18%. Zhishang stated in a statement that the margin for silver futures trading will be deducted from each contract1.4Upgraded to $100001.65Ten thousand US dollars, from2month2Effective from [date]. This decision is based on a normal assessment of market volatility to ensure sufficient collateral coverage, which will be detrimental to the rise in silver prices. Pay attention to the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision and the fourth quarter of the Eurozone within the dayGDPdata The Federal Reserve of Australia is expected to stabilize interest rates in the EurozoneGDPThe price is expected to decline slightly.
Technical aspect of gold: In terms of gold's upward trend, the initial resistance lies in1870USD, this is12Monthly upward trend50%Fibonacci pullback and20At the confluence of daily moving averages. Standing at that level, then100Daily moving average1880The US dollar will be the next upward target, followed by1890US dollars. In terms of the downward trend, preliminary support is located in1851dollar(200Daily moving average)And then1845USD and1831US dollars. From the one hour chart of gold, it can be seen that the price of gold has recently shown a volatile trend. From a morphological perspective, it is highly likely that gold will build an upward channel. Yesterday, gold opened high and then rose1871Nearby obstructed fall, follow below1847If the support effect in the vicinity can stabilize, test upwards again1875The probability of pressure level is high, and if the third breakthrough is effective, it is expected to further push up to the upper track of the channel1905Pressure level; But if the gold price chooses to fall below1842Nearby support may result in downward testing1832Support position. Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy today, Li Xiaohan suggests that the rebound should be mainly high, and the correction should be mostly low as a supplement. The short-term focus should be on the upper level1856-1860Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1837Frontline support.
TDGold market analysis:
GoldTD; goldt+dContinuously observing a range of fluctuating prices, the opening price this morning was still relatively light, with a wave of bottoming out and rebounding, and continued to be monitored from above within the day390element/Suppressing the front line, supporting attention from below384element/Ke Yixian. The current gold market is on the upper track in a range of volatile areas, with a bearish trend followed by a bullish trend within the day. Below384element/If it breaks, the short-term trend will weaken. You should see below382-380element/K, the lower orbit of the interval oscillation area.
TDAnalysis of Silver Market:
SilverTD: SilvertdFollowing the soaring trend of international silver, the highest test6022Region, rose and fell yesterday evening, lowest test5740Nearby support has been received, stabilizing and rebounding, and the overall trend is showing a bullish pattern. However, international silver has corrected and rebounded, and our silvertdIt is expected to follow the trend of decline, please pay attention below5600element/Kilogram support, further attention5520element/Kilogram support; Follow Above5900Yuan, further attention6040element/Kilogram target resistance.
crude oilLatest trend analysis:
Crude Oil News: Tuesday(2month2day)US crude oil rose slightly, with oil prices closing higher on Monday2%Although the vaccination work of COVID-19 is not satisfactory, people are constantly infected with diseases and the discovery of new virus variants bring downside risks to oil prices, the decline of US crude oil stocks and one of the worst snowstorms in recent years hit the northeastern part of the United States led to an increase in winter fuel demand, which boosted oil prices. It should be noted that OPEC+Joint Technical Committee(JTC)And the Joint Ministerial Supervisory Committee(JMMC)On2day-3Hold a meeting on the day. On the whole, the economy and travel activities driven by COVID-19 Vaccine have picked up slowly, and some worries caused by the increase of new strains and slow vaccination have dragged down the rise of oil prices. However, the decline of stocks, combined with the attack of snowstorms, will lead to an increase in fuel demand in winter, which will constitute a strong impetus for the rise of short-term oil prices. Biden's stimulus plan also constitutes a favorable factor for the rise of oil prices, There may be further room for short-term oil prices to rise. US oil rose to a new high in nearly a year, after major oil producing countries showed they were cutting production as promised, supporting the market to overcome the difficulties caused by weak demand during the pandemic. In addition, risk sentiment has also increased.
Crude oil technology: daily level,KDJGolden cross, oil prices rebounded after three weeks of consolidation and broke through previous highs53.93Implying that the bullish market has sufficient upward momentum and regaining control of the market, it is expected to continue the upward trend in the short term and challenge it55From a long-term perspective, the upward trend remains good, with the long-term moving average maintaining an upward trend. However, due to the accumulation of too many profitable positions in the previous uptrend, investors should not excessively pursue the high position and should be cautious of the risk of bulls hitting the market. Investors are advised to buy long on dips during the day. On the upward side, preliminary resistance is focused on intraday highs54.32Further, you can directly look towards55Gateway. In terms of downward trend, preliminary support is in the top high53.93Further attention5Daily moving average52.91and1month22Daily low51.44. Overall, in terms of short-term operation strategy today, Li Xiaohan suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback to the low and long positions, supplemented by a rebound to short positions, with a focus on short-term operations above54-54.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.8-52.3Frontline support.
1Go against the market and trade with a broad mindset. After opening a position, many investors do not set a stop loss and block the market direction like everyone else. Fortunately, I hope the price can align with my expected direction. But trading is not gambling. The market has its own rules of operation, which are not transferable by anyone's will. Luck and luck cannot exist forever. To achieve stable profits, one must rely on one's true strength.
2Psychological issues. One is too greedy, and the other is unwilling to face one's own mistakes. Once the direction is wrong, one cannot decisively close the position. Instead, they resisted until their positions were sold out and all their principal was lost, forcing them to close their positions without hitting the south wall or turning back. Some people may say that this is called the Ming Mountain with a tiger, and leaning towards the Tiger Mountain is a manifestation of perseverance and perseverance. Each of us traders comes to this market for the sake of making money, not for the sake of standing tall and upright, and no one will struggle with money. If the warehouse bursts, there will be nothing to talk about and nothing to stand up for. So investors must first learn to survive at breakeven before considering how to make money.
3Frequent trading and heavy position operations. Some investors want to quickly make money in the market, so they do not consider their trading level and the instability of the market. They frequently place orders in the trading, resulting in overweight positions. In the end, most of them lose more, set deeper, and lose nothing.
So, Li Xiaohan suggests to investors that losing money in trading is not scary in itself, but rather a fear of not accepting lessons and not summarizing experiences. The best way to prevent losses is to face transactions with a correct mindset. You can make as many orders as you have as much principal and as high a trading level as you can, and act within your capabilities. Don't have a mentality of being a traitor and make trades that exceed your ability to bear.
Wen/Li Xiaohan (WeChat:lxhq281)Professional international market review, interpretation of world economic news, analysis of global investment trends, targeting actual market participants, considering that some market windows have certain timeliness for real trading, the author can be followed to choose appropriate strategies for operation. Because of focus, it is professional; Excellence is due to professionalism; Because of excellence, trust. If you have in-depth research on commodities such as gold, crude oil, and silver, and if your orders are not smooth or your investment funds are shrinking, you can follow Li Xiaohan himself.
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