1.31Analysis of the trend of gold next Monday, gold's long short unwinding to welcome the final opportunity

Preface: To achieve investment success in a lifetime, one does not need exceptional intelligence, extraordinary business foresight, or insider information. Instead, one needs a more comprehensive knowledge framework that can help oneself make decisions, and the ability to eliminate emotional interference. I just want to say one thing to myself and all traders: Don't work hard to make money, learn to let money work hard for you! If it weren't for investment, I wouldn't have known I was so diligent; If it weren't for investment, I wouldn't know how persistent I am; If it weren't for investment, I might not understand why I still have such a clear love hate relationship. Investment allows us to understand the world, and investment also allows us to recognize ourselves. Investment makes us rich, and investment makes us mature. Don't give up hope for spring just because winter is coming; Don't doubt your adherence to investment just because most people speculate; Don't stop pursuing truth and value just because it's false and expensive. Life is exciting due to differences, and investment is outstanding due to independence.

Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends enter rashly, often covered in bruises. Every day, friends come to me and seek help. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to Xiaohan. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.!!! I, Li Xiaohan, will always be there and have a heart to help everyone, but if you don't even reach out, how can I help you? (Free group entry experience, provided daily3-5Single)

Daily InternationalgoldInternationalcrude oilPaper gold, paper silver, gold silverTDComprehensive online guidance and analysis 【 Guidance WeChat:lxhq281】Suggestions for the operation of the gold and silver series, real-time consultation and interpretation of gold and silver, and early layout of short-term and medium to long-term plans.

The US dollar index may only be one step away from a periodic bottom

The daily chart of the US dollar index shows that it has risen above last year11month4After the downward channel since the daily high hit the track, prices have attempted to rebound further but have been hindered multiple times by potential neck lines at the top and bottom of the shoulders, or are building a right shoulder. Interestingly, the low point of this potential right shoulder is affected by0.5Backward level supported and held onto90The gateway provides further conditions for the composition of the head, shoulder, and floor structures. The current neckline level is90.86Nearby, if the price rises and stabilizes above the neckline, it is expected to form a head to shoulder bottom structure, indicating that the market may have bottomed out in stages, and further upward trend is not ruled out92.80Nearby. However, if it is not possible to break through the neckline for a long time, then be wary of the bears' counterattack.

If the descent falls behind89.58The potential head, shoulder, and floor structures mentioned above may fail, and the market may further decline in the future89.21Even lower.

Analysis of the latest trend of gold:

Why Gold Surges: The recent decline in short-term borrowing costs in the US dollar has led to a global benchmark interest rate falling to a record low on Friday. Friday3One month USD London Interbank Offered Rate(Libor)Set at0.20188%Below11month20The previous historical low reached on the day0.20488%. Due to the abundant cash in the short-term market, the interest rates on US Treasury bills and repurchase agreements have been lowered, resulting in the US dollarLiborUnder pressure. The US index is under pressure and is heading downwards, giving gold a chance to soar.

Why gold plummeted: The Bank of England is unlikely to implement negative interest rates in the current economic cycle, and may come to the conclusion at next week's meeting that although negative interest rates should be part of the toolbox and the current interest rate floor is below zero, negative interest rates will not appear soon and are unlikely to be implemented in the current economic cycle. The Bank of England's monetary policy meeting gave the pound to the US dollarGBP/USDThis brings dual risks as the market will weigh the possibility and timing of falling into negative interest rates. Although this is not our baseline expectation, recent signals may significantly weaken the pound. We believe that the relatively outstanding performance of the pound in recent times may be coming to an end as its reversal position and valuation have become a concern. This news directly led to a decline in US stocks, a sharp rise in US indices, and a rebound in gold.

Golden Technology: Golden WeekkOn the line, gold prices have closed positive, but they are operating in the offline range of the Bollinger Belt. The Bollinger Belt is slowly closing with warnings, and in the future, gold is still bullish on fluctuations in the weekly offline range. daykFrom a linear perspective, gold prices are hindered by the central trajectory of the Bollinger Belt1875Region, gold price in1830Can be supported on the front line.4hourkOn the line, the gold price continued to fluctuate and fall after the opening, although there was a rebound in European prices1850Pressure has already formed in key positions on the front line, and the overall situation is still fluctuating and falling. Pay attention to the four hour levelMA5andMA10Moving average pressure, continue to follow below1830Nearby support effects.1hourkThe line exerts force directly on the support line, and the big positive line directly pierces the resistance level1845One line, crossing at the same time1855Frontline, come1875On the first line, the trajectory of the Bollinger Belt was strongly twisted into an upward tilt, with obvious signs of turning. The opening of the Bollinger Belt directly rose vertically, but was hindered after the US session1875Bolin Belt Middle Track, Echoing Back to the Closing Line1874Nearby. Looking at it in the short term, paying attention above gold1868-1870One line of resistance, pay attention below1833-1835Frontline support. Looking at the long wavelength band1875Bolin Belt Middle Track Resistance Layout Empty Single Entry, Target1852-1833Stop loss1881.

Friends who have just entered the market for gold, silver, and crude oil may not be able to obtain the top news or news in the international market due to work, life, and other issues, which is a great challenge for us to do gold, silver, and crude oil. Therefore, Li Xiaohanlxhq281Welcome investment friends to come and communicate and progress with me, so that everyone can stay informed of international market trends anytime, anywhere, and make the most stable orders.

Domestic gold and silverTDanalysis:

GoldTDThe gold price has been open since yesterday evening383.80element/After conquering, rush up first to387.30element/Ke, turning back and falling, reaching the lowest point381.60element/K, continued until today and Friday, although there has been a rebound, it still tends to operate under pressure. On the main image, the upper shadow line is longer, and on the attached indicators,KDJDead fork down,MACDStill in a bearish signal, suggesting there is still a downside risk, although testing is currently underway366The support line of Yuan Erqi, but if it falls, it will go to the lower track position of the Bollinger belt. On the point, follow from above385.70element/Resistance near gram; Follow Below382.90element/G, and382.00Yuan, break through and take a look379.80Yuan.

SilverTDThe silver price has shown relatively strong performance compared to gold, with a trend that has been high since yesterday evening5201element/After the kilogram, first walk up to the top of the Bollinger belt track and touch it5457element/The high point of the kilogram has fallen slightly since then, but it still closed at a relatively positive line and continued to run above the support of the medium track until today and Friday, indicating that silver bulls have strong strength and there is still a risk of upward trend in the future. Follow above and below the point5300element/Preliminary support for kilograms, further attention5260element/Around kilogram; Follow Above5440element/Kilograms, and5530element/Kilogram resistance.

Analysis of US crude oil market next week:

Analysis of crude oil news: Friday(1month29day)US crude oil fluctuated narrowly, with oil prices falling on Thursday as the market focused more on delayed vaccination and new travel restrictions that may suppress demand, rather than the impact of a weaker US dollar and a significant reduction in US crude oil inventories. Overall, the decline in the number of jobless claims in the United States indicates that layoffs may be slowing down, which is conducive to economic recovery and good for oil prices2021It is expected that the demand for crude oil will increase in and the Democratic Party of the United States will promote President Biden's COVID-19 rescue plan next week. If the rescue plan is implemented, it will further boost oil prices. The market's concern that a new variant of the virus may lead to epidemic lockdowns in Europe and Asia has intensified concerns about oil demand. Analysts say that "the market is in a balanced state and inventory is declining," but now "people are worried that demand may further weaken." Nevertheless, global supply restrictions are still driving crude oil into a bullish marketfuturesAdhesive structure. On Thursday, oil prices fell, and the intensification of the epidemic raised concerns about a slowdown in energy demand, shaking the United States on WednesdayEIAThe degree of decline in crude oil inventory is greater than the expected support.

Technical analysis of crude oil: daily level,MACDDead fork,KDJDead cross, the market has fallen into a high level sideways trend, and the short-term direction is extremely uncertain. The market is generally optimistic about oil prices this year, but the previous surge has accumulated too much profit taking, leading to a heavy market trend. However, many variables on the supply side still support the high consolidation of oil prices. The short-term market may continue the previous volatile trend, and investors can temporarily wait and see. Li Xiaohan believes that in the medium to long term, bulls still dominate and the likelihood of the market continuing to rise is slightly higher. Preliminary resistance focus above53Pass, further focus on recent highs53.93If we can break through53.93Then further open the uplink space. On the downside, preliminary support and attention52Integer level, if oil prices fall behind52On the first line, short-term testing may continue to decline1.31Daily low51.44Further support on1month5Daily high50.2. Overall, Li Xiaohan's personal suggestion for the short-term operation of crude oil next week is to focus on a pullback and buy long, supplemented by a rebound in high altitude, with short-term attention from above53.0-53.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.0-50.5Frontline support.

At the same time, I also give a warning to all friends. The teacher can only guide you and cannot walk on your behalf. Young people do not pay for their dreams. What can we say when we get old? We raised our glasses to celebrate when we won, but if we lose, we will only rise again. A single flower withers and becomes barren, and one failure cannot replace the entire life. Many people's sadness is just to show that they are sad, and many people's joy is just to let others see that they are happy. The path of success is always wrapped in loneliness. To succeed, one must get used to it and accept it. Learn to enjoy the joy of making profits and soothe the pain of losing. Xiao Han can temporarily serve as your life mentor, but you must always be strong on your own. It's up to you to decide whether to be someone else's post dinner conversation or a successful person to look up to.

Most spot traders have experienced losses, which is actually an inevitable thing in spot trading. To do a good job, you always have to pay some tuition fees. But smart traders will summarize their experiences and lessons after paying tuition fees to continuously improve themselves. This is also the reason why some people, after exploding their positions, reorganize their thoughts and start over again, can gradually expand in the market, while others do not accept the lessons, and ultimately explode and lose everything. Li Xiaohan has summarized three reasons that can easily lead to investors' short positions here as a reference for everyone.

　　1Go against the market and trade with a broad mindset. After opening a position, many investors do not set a stop loss and block the market direction like everyone else. Fortunately, I hope the price can align with my expected direction. But trading is not gambling. The market has its own rules of operation, which are not transferable by anyone's will. Luck and luck cannot exist forever. To achieve stable profits, one must rely on one's true strength.

　　2Psychological issues. One is too greedy, and the other is unwilling to face one's own mistakes. Once the direction is wrong, one cannot decisively close the position. Instead, they resisted until their positions were sold out and all their principal was lost, forcing them to close their positions without hitting the south wall or turning back. Some people may say that this is called the Ming Mountain with a tiger, and leaning towards the Tiger Mountain is a manifestation of perseverance and perseverance. Each of us traders comes to this market for the sake of making money, not for the sake of standing tall and upright, and no one will struggle with money. If the warehouse bursts, there will be nothing to talk about and nothing to stand up for. So investors must first learn to survive at breakeven before considering how to make money.

　　3Frequent trading and heavy position operations. Some investors want to quickly make money in the market, so they do not consider their trading level and the instability of the market. They frequently place orders in the trading, resulting in overweight positions. In the end, most of them lose more, set deeper, and lose nothing.

So, Li Xiaohan suggests to investors that losing money in trading is not scary in itself, but rather a fear of not accepting lessons and not summarizing experiences. The best way to prevent losses is to face transactions with a correct mindset. You can make as many orders as you have as much principal and as high a trading level as you can, and act within your capabilities. Don't have a mentality of being a traitor and make trades that exceed your ability to bear.

My name is Li Xiaohan (WeChat:lxhq281）I am born for trading, and if you have any questions, you can always follow me. This article is exclusively written by Li Xiaohan. Investment is risky, and trading needs to be cautious. Rushing into the market is a fool, finding the right person is a wise person. A small boat is drifting in the sea, if you don't set sail, then you will always drift in the sea. Currently, global financial markets (such as international gold,TDGold and silver, crude oil,foreign exchangeAnd futures markets) have in-depth and unique insights. Every analysis is not an emotional game, nor is it an emotional release. Each opening and closing position is a professional performance. Li Xiaohan carefully wrote each analysis report and conveyed valuable investment ideas, hoping for value for money and income.