王德诚：合规制胜行稳致远，后市焦炭焦煤甲醇橡胶期货...

   One thing I want to teach you today is that you need to learn to set a principal loss. It is estimated that the vast majority of traders have encountered similar troubles, that is, many times orders have set a stop loss, but suddenly the market turns around and reverses, and orders that are clearly profitable turn into losses, so you don't get lost. In order to prevent such tragedies from happening, everyone must learn to set a principal loss, which means that after the order in hand has a small profit, you can set the stop loss point on your entry point shirt, or on the breakeven point with transaction costs added. This way, no matter how the market fluctuates in the later stage, your order will not lose money, and you don't have to constantly be nervous and stare at the market. If you are lucky, Perhaps we can gradually turn short-term orders into medium to long-term ones. After all, this is also a risk control method. Leaving aside the profit margin, at least it can prevent you from losing money.

     好了，接下来开始分析焦炭、焦煤、甲醇、橡胶等主力合约商品futures的行情走势。

   Coke main contract:

　　今日，大商所焦炭主力合约J2009上午以2651.5element/吨开盘，最终下午收盘价格在2605element/吨，较上一易日结算价下跌38.5element/吨，成交了288774手，持仓量为169241，较上一交易日增仓15027Hand.

　　今日焦炭市场氛围高涨，随着河北、山东主导钢厂接受焦企第十五轮提涨100element/吨，焦炭本轮上调正式落实执行，累积上涨1000element/吨，疫情区随着发运好转，焦企内库存逐步走低，目前大多已至低位水平；目前钢厂检修以及有检修计划的仍在增加，下游需求有所下降，个别钢厂已经出现亏损。综合来看，虽然近期新增产能逐渐释放，但焦炭供应缺口仍在，短期内焦炭将维持稳定运行。短线交易上，焦炭现在进入区间震荡，大趋势偏空运行，笔者建议依托2650and2700A line of resistance spreads empty.

   焦煤主力合约：

    今日焦煤主力合约JM2105Opening report1601.5element/ton ，最后收于1565.5element/吨，跌幅1.11%，全天交投区间介于1557reach1601.5element/Tons.

    现货市场方面：今日国内炼焦煤市场稳中偏强运行。供应方面，主产地煤企多维持正常生产，煤企鼓励员工原地过年，短期炼焦煤供应较为平稳。优质煤种需求持续良好，场内库存持续下降，长治地区低硫主焦上调80元至出厂价1580element/吨，受动力煤价格回落影响，部分可用作动力煤的跨界煤种价格有一定回调。需求方面，焦价十五轮提涨范围逐步扩大，但钢厂检修计划较前期增加，且部分钢厂已有亏损现象，因此十五轮提涨全面落地仍有一定难度。目前焦企开工高位，打高原料煤库存意愿较强。综合来看，笔者预计短期内炼焦煤市场稳中偏强运行，短线交易方面建议依托1550Long on the front line.

   甲醇主力合约：

  　郑州商品交易所甲醇期货主力合约上涨，尾盘收阳。今日MA2105合约开盘于2252element/吨，最高价为2269element/吨，最低价为2226element/吨，尾盘收于2259element/吨，较上一交易日涨11, with an increase of0.49%，今日合约成交量为1166014手，截止收盘MA2105合约持仓量为1044061手，较上一交易日增加61627Hand.

   今日国内甲醇市场盘整为主，局部走弱。临近春节假期，局部地区部分企业存排库需求，价格维持偏弱走势。受多方因素影响，物流车辆或逐步减少，运力不足对区域间货源流通形成一定限制。加之节前贸易商多谨慎采货，下游支撑同样有限，国内市场整体成交气氛稍显清淡。港口方面，期货盘面冲高回落，现货市场成交清淡，部分封盘不报，业者多观望为主，谨慎操作。笔者王德诚认为，短线国内甲醇市场或偏弱震荡为主。目前维持2350reach2230区间震荡，操作上建议区间对待高空低多，高空为主，低多为辅，如有盈利就设好保本损一直持有，看有没有机会拿成中线

   

   橡胶主力合约：

　  今日橡胶小幅回落下挫300Report at around o'clock14150一带小阴线，供给方面：国内产区全面进入停割期，浓缩胶乳和全乳胶生产线停工，其它类型天然橡胶加工线也将陆续停工，国内新增供应趋于零。2021 last year 2 个月，泰国天然橡胶产量同比增 20.9%，越南增 3.0%，马来西亚增 2.5%。我国进口量、库存量均处于较高位。需求方面：2020 year 1-11 月累计，橡胶与塑料制品业规模以上工业企业利润总额同比增 25.3%，行业整体效益提升，提振天然橡胶消费信心。用于医用手套的浓缩乳胶需求旺盛，英国、日本等陆续采取更为严格的疫情管控措施，抑制经济活动，国际订单向国内转移将持续，为统筹春节后生产安排，部分下游制品企业在节前增加天然橡胶等原料库存。短线交易方面笔者王德诚建议橡胶冲高14340Under pressure, enter the market in batches with empty orders strategy, short-term attention14050and13960止盈保护。

    Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat:wdckdj。