1.25gold999原油今日最新走势分析，沪金银、天然气走势预测

Article Summary:2021.1.25goldcrude oilTrend analysis.Recommendations for Operation of Gold Crude Oil.2021.1.25goldTDCrude Oil Strategy.Investing in international gold, crude oil, and silverTDHow to analyze the market situation?2021.1.25Today's Gold, Crude Oil, SilverTDWhat do you think when you're free?2021.1.25How to recover losses from investing in spot gold?2021.1.25goldTDsilverTDHow to operate the short line?2021.1.25当前黄金阻力位和支撑位在哪里2021.1.25Novice investing in gold and silverTDHow should I make the order?2021.1.25Will London gold prices continue to rise today? silverTDWill it still fall?2021.1.25What recent news will affect gold and silverTDTrend?

　　一个成熟的交易者不会认为交易有独到的秘诀，只有完全分类及完全应对，即使有最赚钱的交易策略，在这个信息裸体的地球上也早就是公开的了，而能抵御无时不在的诱惑而恪守自己的信仰成了赢家和输家的唯一区别，除此之外没有其他秘诀了。

　　=====天然气篇幅======

　　天然气方面：日线图，外围天气一变暖就不行，基本面最近一周差了点，周线，三连阳之后没有延续，收阴线，MACDShort energy column release,KDDead fork trend, never standing firm2.8Above, bears dominate, daily chart,MACDShort energy column release,KDDead cross down, clear bearish trend, need to go down2.26Strong regional support, only fortunate that the trend channel has not temporarily broken through. It is recommended to focus on the range first2.8--2.25Mainly in the interval, suppressed above2.6and2.7as well as2.81, lower support2.4and2.2as well as2.1，稳健短线观望等待下方企稳布局短多。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微：lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota

　　=======黄金篇幅=====

　　看涨，先思跌!未言胜，先思败！

　　黄金市场正处于一场拉锯之中，一方面是对经济复苏强于预期的预期不断增强，另一方面是对通胀的担忧不断加剧。然而，根据最新的Kitco黄金调查，华尔街和普通投资者都预计通胀将扭转局面，推高金价。

　　金价下方支撑方面，下周国际黄金首先关注1837美元附近，这是最近三周金价波动，一条主要的水平支撑线位置，倘若金价继续下探，走势趋弱，则向下关注1800美元关口整数位置，此时黄金将处于明显下跌趋势，短期下行风险加大，市场应当出现利空消息推动，可以关注刺激法案进展是否继续遭遇挫折，比如严厉的拒绝措施，或者是刺激规模大幅减少等，另外就是美国长期国债收益率，是否出现大涨的情况。

　　金价上方阻力方面，国际黄金首先关注日线布林带中轨位置，目前价格依旧在1874美元附近，这也是本周黄金高点位置，倘若金价继续上涨，走势趋于强势，则向上关注1900美元关口整数位置，是今年1月份黄金最后的可交易时间，最近十年来，每年一月份金价走势都是收涨的，今年1月份黄金开盘价在1903美元，从走势规律来看，本月黄金要录得涨幅，金价就要站上1903美元上方，按照目前黄金收盘价1854美元来看，金价上涨要超过50美元才能达到，此时市场必然出现大幅利好消息推动黄金上涨，可以关注刺激法案是否取得重大突破进展，或者是疫情疫苗等因素，推动市场对黄金的避险买需。

　　黄金消息面：由于美国国债收益率和美元持稳，黄金价格周五(1month22day)一度下跌逾1%，但市场对美国出台大规模财政刺激措施的预期使金价有望录得三周来的首周上涨。周五(1month22day)美市尾盘，现货黄金盘中在触及1870.80dollar/盎司高点之后一度大跌逾30USD, and hit a new daily low of1837.22dollar/盎司。本周，现货黄金仍收涨27.16USD.

　　本周关注：两大利空突袭黄金上演“惊魂一跳” ！美联储决议携重磅数据来袭！

　　拜登周三宣誓就任美国第46任总统后，随即在椭圆形办公室签署了15个行政令以及2个机构命令，内容覆盖诸多国内、外政策，包括重返世贸以及世卫组织、撤销Keystone XL石油管道的许可、移民等内容，这远远超过近期的任何一位前任总统。拜登上周公布了一项1.9万亿美元的紧急救援计划，其中很多项目都是佩洛西和众议院民主党人早些时候提出的议案中所希望看到的，市场对此也相当期待。拜登这份计划包括数千亿美元，用于开发和分发疫苗，提高失业救济金，向符合条件的美国人提供1400美元的直接支付，并帮助州和地方政府从财政上应对这场持续的危机，而最后一项正是共和党人强烈反对的。

　　甚至一些自由派民主党人也明确表示，他们不会对新总统的做法盲目背书。国会的一些信号显示，拜登提出的规模庞大且希望得到两党支持的刺激法案可能胎死腹中。缅因州共和党参议员Susan Collins和犹他州参议员米特·罗姆尼质疑刺激法案的紧迫性。Collins周四表示，考虑到刚刚通过9000亿美元的援助法案，我难以理解为什么我们还需要再推一个规模这么大的纾困案？值得注意的是，之前大规模刺激所带来的通胀预期增加了黄金对市场的吸引力，尤其在周三黄金受到资金热捧，金价当日大涨1.72%，本周前两日也录得不同程度上涨。

　　黄金技术面：上周五黄金亚盘行情金价回撤到1862Bounce to1871附近，欧盘行情金价回落1866附近，反弹至1875Backfall1868附近，美盘行情金价冲高至1871Fall back to1858, rebound to1867受阻，1862-1867区间震荡，暂收线于1850上方，日kOnline viewing,MACDDead fork,KDJ金叉，黄金近期主要以震荡行情为主，多空双方势力强弱不断转换，显示市场对进一步金价走势失去方向，并等待基本面消息的进一步指引。短期金价或继续宽幅震荡，区间震荡对待，等待黄金下一步突破的方向，4hourk线来看，周期空头红柱持续放大，MACD死叉向下行情表现的非常弱势。布林线水平运行，继续留意布林线轨道1851.05-1864.93区域突破情况；目前金价受阻于布林线上轨附近压力，短线偏向试探布林线下轨1850.36附近支撑，若进一步下破，则增加短线看空信号。1hourk线周期中，金价小幅刺透前期高点支撑1837后，迅速回到支撑位上方，表明该支撑点依然有效。从1小时均线来看，MA20均线有所走平，但MA60均线仍然在向上运行当中，上升趋势不改，而且K线接近MA60均线支撑。同时，1Hourly cycleMACD快慢线在零轴上方运行，回调再次接近零轴，表明短期调整可能结束，李潇翰建议反弹做空为主，上方关注1872-1863Follow below1843-1833支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微：lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota

Gold1.25最新操作建议：

　　策略一、黄金上方反弹不破1868-1870Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1858-1855frontline; Break the position to hold;

　　策略二、黄金下方回调不破1843-1845Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1862-1864frontline; Break the position to hold;

　　=======原油篇幅=====

　　原油基本面：周五(1month22day)美国原油跌2.16%to51.98dollar/Barrel,EIA数据显示美国原油供应量意外大增，另外近期疫情感染人数激增，也引起市场对石油需求的担忧。美油周线跌0.73%，连续第二周下跌，拜登大规模刺激计划的出台一度提振了市场对经济复苏的信心，令油价周三(1month20day)涨至近期高位53.83，不过，随着各国疫情近期的加速恶化以及更多共和党人对拜登刺激案的质疑，油价在后两个交易日加速回落。

International Energy Agency(IEA)Downregulated2021年石油需求预期，该机构指出，今年下半年原油需求将回升至年均966010000 barrels/日，国际能源署(IEA)周二表示，在疫苗推广和刺激措施在2021年下半年有所帮助之前，全球石油需求将受到新冠病毒病例激增的打击。由于全球石油需求的改善在去年12月出现逆转，IEA将第一季石油需求预估下调5810000 barrels/Day, and will2021年的需求预估下调3010000 barrels/Day.2021年石油供应和需求步入复苏轨道，加上主要产油国通过控制产量来平衡市场的努力，正在帮助减少全球石油库存。然而，考虑到2021年下半年预期中的增长，届时“可能将需要更多的石油”。

　　原油技术面：周k线图上周收出第二根十字星，虽然价格仍处于布林带上轨运行，但上涨动能明显不足；日线走势图来看，油价近期在震荡盘整中，形成了高点下移，低点抬高的三角形整理形态，油价昨天在上轨受阻回落后，预计将要测试三角形下沿支撑，三角形下轨位置在51.7Frontline, in terms of indicatorsMACD指标快慢线形成初步死叉，绿色能量柱初步放量，4小时盘面上美原油价格从布林带中轨跌至下轨附近，各均线指标有所收敛，配合附图指标上MACD以及从底部开始反弹，KDJ下跌力度变小，那么今日仅以前期51.7附近支撑点当做今日多空分界线去对待交易思路，1hourk线上来看，原油在47.18Initiate an upward trend, this wave of upward movement53.93可能已经结束，原油展开了高位震荡模式，目前看多次在高位受阻，综合来看，1.25原油短线操作思路上李潇翰个人建议以高空为主，低多为辅。上方短期重点关注52.5-53.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below50.0-50.5一线支撑。分析文章只是对市场未来可能的描述，只是观点的表达，不作为投资决策依据。具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微：lxhq281Get guidance quota!

　　原油操作策略：建议52.5Short on the front line, stop loss53.1, Objective52.0-51.5，破位减仓持有；

　　=======沪黄金白银TD篇幅=====

GoldTD：金价当周震荡十字阳星，走势自开于385.21element/克，最高触及389.88element/克的5均线压力位置，最低触及379.90element/克的短期上升趋势线支撑位置后反弹，收于385.75element/克。本周五又先行下周开盘于385.75元，走势收涨于387.61元，指标上整体偏向震荡，多空信号不明，主图上形态显示上有空间但有阻力，下有空间也有支撑，故此震荡对待，哪边先到做哪边。点位上，上方关注389.75element/克初步阻力，进一步关注393.70Yuan; Follow Below383.10Preliminary support from Yuan, further attention380元关口。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微：lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota

SilverTD：银价当周也收震荡十字阳星，走势自开于5206element/千克，最高触及5周均线压力的5385Yuan, lowest hit5076元，收于5236元。本周五晚间又先行下周开盘于5235元，表现反弹收阳于5267元。指标上，多空信号不明，主图形态上方压力较为偏强，有偏承压走低风险。点位上，上方关注5360element/Resistance near kilograms, and5430element/Kilogram resistance; Follow Below5160element/Kilogram support, and5040element/千克支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可加李潇翰官微：lxhq281Obtaining guidance quota

　　寄语：不管行情大小，钱赚到手里才是真的，只要在市场就是数字游戏，但玩游戏就要懂规则，就要守规矩，就要明纪律。错过了没关系，做错了不要紧，不要让自己本不坚定的眼神变的更游离，让自己本无方向的交易变的更被动，看不懂就休息，总有一波行情，总有一道风景是为你而准备的，相信我，不懂的时候少交易，每一天的交易次数不要超过两次，尤其是在错误的情况下，如果当天盈利了那么就休息，把利润和机会留给别人的时候，同样把风险也双手送上。若是交易错误了，第二次的交易要多反省了总结，为第一次的失误弥补一次损失，连续两次在当天行情当中出现错误，一定不是行情有多恶心，一定不是耶伦有多讨厌，而是你已经出现了偏差，已经开始成为反向指标，这个时候，喝杯茶停止交易，出现错误不可怕，可怕的是明知道错误还将其蔓延…

At the same time, I also give a warning to all friends. The teacher can only guide you and cannot walk on your behalf. Young people do not pay for their dreams. What can we say when we get old? We raised our glasses to celebrate when we won, but if we lose, we will only rise again. A single flower withers and becomes barren, and one failure cannot replace the entire life. Many people's sadness is just to show that they are sad, and many people's joy is just to let others see that they are happy. The path of success is always wrapped in loneliness. To succeed, one must get used to it and accept it. Learn to enjoy the joy of making profits and soothe the pain of losing. Xiao Han can temporarily serve as your life mentor, but you must always be strong on your own. It's up to you to decide whether to be someone else's post dinner conversation or a successful person to look up to.

Most spot traders have experienced losses, which is actually an inevitable thing in spot trading. To do a good job, you always have to pay some tuition fees. But smart traders will summarize their experiences and lessons after paying tuition fees to continuously improve themselves. This is also the reason why some people, after exploding their positions, reorganize their thoughts and start over again, can gradually expand in the market, while others do not accept the lessons, and ultimately explode and lose everything. Li Xiaohan has summarized three reasons that can easily lead to investors' short positions here as a reference for everyone.

　　1Go against the market and trade with a broad mindset. After opening a position, many investors do not set a stop loss and block the market direction like everyone else. Fortunately, I hope the price can align with my expected direction. But trading is not gambling. The market has its own rules of operation, which are not transferable by anyone's will. Luck and luck cannot exist forever. To achieve stable profits, one must rely on one's true strength.

　　2Psychological issues. One is too greedy, and the other is unwilling to face one's own mistakes. Once the direction is wrong, one cannot decisively close the position. Instead, they resisted until their positions were sold out and all their principal was lost, forcing them to close their positions without hitting the south wall or turning back. Some people may say that this is called the Ming Mountain with a tiger, and leaning towards the Tiger Mountain is a manifestation of perseverance and perseverance. Each of us traders comes to this market for the sake of making money, not for the sake of standing tall and upright, and no one will struggle with money. If the warehouse bursts, there will be nothing to talk about and nothing to stand up for. So investors must first learn to survive at breakeven before considering how to make money.

　　3Frequent trading and heavy position operations. Some investors want to quickly make money in the market, so they do not consider their trading level and the instability of the market. They frequently place orders in the trading, resulting in overweight positions. In the end, most of them lose more, set deeper, and lose nothing.

Wen/Li Xiaohan (WeChat:lxhq281）Professional international market review, interpretation of world economic news, analysis of global investment trends, targeting actual market participants, considering that some market windows have certain timeliness for real trading, the author can be followed to choose appropriate strategies for operation. Because of focus, it is professional; Excellence is due to professionalism; Because of excellence, trust. If you have in-depth research on commodities such as gold, crude oil, and silver, and if your orders are not smooth or your investment funds are shrinking, you can follow Li Xiaohan himself.