1.18黄金还会涨吗？今日外汇黄金美原油白银走势分析操作...

Preface: To continue in this market for a long time, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. In this way, it can provide you with clear guidance in a volatile market, even if the profit is small, it is very easy and there is a sense of achievement; In a unilateral market, it can make you have a trend in your mind. If you are right, strive for maximum profit, but when you are wrong, you can control risks and objectively adjust your thinking to turn losses into profits, instead of blindly and subjectively sticking to your own thinking, blindly adding positions to reverse orders, and placing positions on the edge of risk.

Every day is a starting point, there must be some progress every day, and there must be some gains every day!Don't complain about why it wasn't you who succeeded. If you want to satisfy your desires, sink your heart. Expect victory, don't retreat when faced with setbacks. There is no success for nothing and no occasional profit. The best state is to stick to your dreams, listen to professional advice, and avoid making a few mistakes. Let time be the best proof.

　　=======goldMarket trend analysis=======

　　黄金消息面：拜登公布1.9万亿美元刺激案并没能再次拖累金价下跌，而初请失业金人数的陡升和鲍威尔的鸽派表态给金价提供了部分动能。另外，IMF敦促各国继续货币大放水，全球2021年或继续加码量化宽松，这将为金价中长期上涨提供支撑。不过，投资者仍然需警惕目前市场看空情绪较浓，美债收益率仍处于2020year3月以来高位，黄金后市仍有下跌空间。日内关注美国12月核心零售销售月率，这被称为恐怖数据，数据能直接反映消费情况，对经济有重要指引作用。此次数据预计将好于预期，不过仍处于负区间，可能对黄金造成一定的拖累。

　　黄金技术面：日线级别，MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，黄金多头短暂的反攻势头被空头扑灭，黄金周四录得十字星，本周行情陷入横盘状态，短线多头可能继续发力，但空方依然占据优势地位，后市有望继续发力带动金价下跌。下方关注200日均线所在初步支撑1842，李潇翰认为若跌破200日均线，空头有望稳固自己的优势地位，进一步支撑看向76.4%Fibo retreat position1809附近。上方初步阻力关注50%Fibonacci retreat1861Further attention38.2%Retreat position1884。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李潇翰建议反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1838-1842Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1810Frontline support.

　　黄金今日操作策略：

　　1.Empty Order Strategy: Gold Suggestion1838-42附近分批短空，止损1846.5, Objective1830-20；

　　2.Multi order strategy: golden advice1820-23Batch long nearby, stop loss1817, Objective1835-38；

　　======TD黄金白银最新行情分析======

　　金价在上周探底回升后，走势开于392.20元，最高触及392.70Yuan, lowest hit377.32元，回升收于385.78元；力度并未得到延续，而是在先行开于下周的本周五晚盘时段，金价小幅低开至385.21元后，再度承压走低并收跌。指标上，周线级别的空头信号再度转强，日线级别也有再度走低的风险，不过下方有两道上升趋势线支撑，故此在进一步看跌的同时，也需关注触及支撑后的反弹空间。小时线级别，下方关注380.80element/G, and377.20element/克，上方关注386element/G, and388.70element/Gram resistance.

Monday（1month18日）亚盘时段，白银t+d小幅反弹后高位震荡，今日白银TDOpening report5205element/千克，截至目前白银TDThe highest price hit5240element/千克。本周美国将迎来新一届总统就任，市场对拜登推动美国经济复苏期望甚高，美债收益率及美元指数节节攀高，这给白银多头当头棒喝。因美国当选总统拜登就职典礼在即，美国50个州恐出现暴动，首都华盛顿布下重兵维稳，市场担忧挥之不去，避险助攻白银多头起死回生！纽约证券交易所休市一日，CME旗下贵金属、美国crude oilandforeign exchange合约交易提前于北京时间19Early morning of02:00结束，投资者需要留意休市期间市场流动性匮乏问题。银价探底回升，不过对比金价则反应甚小，不过根据其指标信号看，则整体仍偏向看空，故此操作上建议；上方关注5350element/Preliminary resistance in kilograms, further attention5500element/克附近阻力，下方关注5050element/Kilograms, and5000element/Kilograms.

　　======Analysis of crude oil market trend=======

Monday(1month18day)美原油窄幅震荡，油价上周五创三周最大跌幅，因美元走强，且美国经济数据疲弱引发经济忧虑，但机构分析师依然保持油价上行的观点。分析师称，美元从上周开始由三年低点反弹，如果经济状况恶化，这一趋势可能还有进一步持续的空间。以美元计价的原油受到美元走势的影响，可见原油短期或还有上涨空间，但分析师也称，美元的较长期前景依然疲弱。总体来看，美国疲软的经济数据依旧拖累油价的上涨，虽然或因市场看多情绪的影响，油价短期有上涨的空间，但疫情的严峻形势，以及疫苗的风险严重化或成限制油价的致命稻草，分析师称，虽然极寒推高了石油需求，但封锁措施会再次使石油需求下降；美元指数的大涨令美油大幅下跌，另外，全球疫情的不断恶化及封锁措施的加码也促使投资者看空油价，不过沙特减产造成的供给端缺口依然在中长期主导着市场对油市走势的判断。

From the perspective of crude oil technology, daily level,KDJDead fork,KLine break5日均线，并测试10日均线支撑。若跌破10日均线，短线可能进一步回调。李潇翰从中长期来看，油价看涨趋势不变，短线的下跌并不改变逢低做多的交易逻辑，反而是低位入场的机会。上方初步阻力关注5Daily moving average52.81Further attention1month13Daily high point53.93。 Preliminary support and attention below51关口，进一步支撑关注1month5Daily high point50.2and1month4Daily high point49.83。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李潇翰建议以回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注53-53.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51-51.5Frontline support.

Crude oil operation strategy:

　　1.空单策略：原油建议52.5-52.8附近分批短空，止损53.15, Objective51.8-51.5；

　　2.多单策略：原油建议51.3-51Batch long nearby, stop loss50.6, Objective52-52.5；

　　寄语：投资理财好比是一座金山，里面蕴藏着数不尽的财富。我们没有必要也不可能把它的财富在一朝一夕都收入囊中。我们为什么不能放下急于发财的心态，踏踏实实、一个点一个点地去赚取财富呢？我一直都坚持这样的投资理念：炒金最重要的不是你一次能够赚取多少，而是你能不能稳定地获利，长久地立足生存。这就好比滚雪球，时间越久雪球就会越大，最后自身的扛外界干扰就会越强。

Teacher Li Xiaohan's comprehensive guidance time: early8：00In the early morning of the next day2：00；

Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Xiaohan's analysis team;

This article is written by Li Xiaohanlxhq281Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself!