Wang Decheng:1.18London GoldTD黄金期货黄金准备迎接中长线布局

    What I want to emphasize this time is a99%The fatal mistake that all investors make is to only operate in the short term. The author can confidently tell investment friends that any trader who only operates in the short term will definitely lose, and it is basically impossible to make a profit. Only by focusing on medium to long term trading and supplementing it with short-term trading can you have a profitable opportunity. Otherwise, you will find that in the end, all of your principal has become transaction feesfuturesFortunately, the first-hand handling fee is only a few tens of yuan. If you do itgoldforeign exchangeThe handling fee of 300 or over 600 yuan per day is too high for frequent short-term transactions. Investment friends who have been trading for a long time must have a deep understanding of a phenomenon, which is that earning three orders is not enough to offset the loss of one order. However, once you turn an order into a medium to long term profit of several hundred points, you will find that the profit of one medium to long term order can offset the loss of about ten short term orders. This is the flaw of pure short term trading. So I advise everyone to stay away from the kind of teacher who makes you frequently operate short-term orders every day. You must adjust your mindset and learn to gradually turn short-term orders into medium to long term orders. Futures products such as coke, coke, coal, iron ore, apple glass, etc. are now in a unilateral market, which is a good opportunity to layout the medium to long term.

    好了，现在开始分析伦敦金、黄金TD和期货黄金的下周行情走势。

   伦敦金方面：1month11Day to Day1month17日当周，黄金白银反弹遇阻之后，走势震荡下跌，回吐周初全部涨幅，整体呈现低位盘整。笔者认为，尽管美国经济数据表现令人堪忧，全球疫苗推广进展缓慢，美国新任总统拜登计划推出接近2万亿规模的刺激计划，美联储维持宽松政策，但美元最近一周的大幅反弹，削弱了避险黄金对市场的吸引力，这使得金价的上涨受限，周初以来多次向上试探，均以遇阻回落突破失败而告终。

　　美元的上涨，可以说打了美元空头一个措手不及，新年伊始，市场上基本没有人看好美元，这种情况在近期似乎有所改善。长期以来，美元一直都被投资者视为一种避险资产，不过在目前因疫情导致的全球经济衰退时期，美国不断推出大规模的财政刺激计划，且未来还将持续，市场认为美国经济将会加速复苏，投资者希望能够在美国经济复苏的过程中获利，这导致美元成为市场押注美国经济复苏的资产，投资者需要美元资产，资金的涌入提振了近期美元走势，笔者认为这种情况增加了市场的复杂性，加大了黄金短期走势的不确定性。

　　本周国际黄金低位盘整，小幅承压，延续了上周跌势，周五金价大跌令走势相对偏弱，短期下行风险有所加大，不过金价并未跌破周一低点位置，若价格企稳仍有再次上探可能。短期来看，黄金下方支撑关注周五低位位置1823美元附近，周一低点位置1817美元附近，继续新低则重点关注1800美元关口位置；上方阻力关注1hour10Daily moving average1832Around the US dollar,4hour5Daily moving average1837美元附近，日线5Daily moving average1842Around the US dollar.

　　总体走势来说，上周国际黄金向上反弹失败，走势遇阻回落承压，短期下行风险有所加大，若金价向下跌破本周低位，则主要关注1800美元整数关口位置，倘若跌势放大，金价进一步向下回落，则将试探去年8月份金价回落以来的低点位置1764美元附近，这是一个十分关键的点位，此前受疫苗利好等因素影响，金价大跌回落在这里企稳反弹，一度将要冲击2000美元关口，在技术层面上，这里也是去年三月金价回落低点1451美元，到去年高点位置2074美元，在黄金分割线0.5position1763Around the US dollar.1800USD and1763美元附近，是当前黄金在回落过程中的两个强支撑位置，若金价有机会试探这里，笔者认为可以考虑中长线布局黄金多单，如果实破1763，则可以考虑中长线空单布局。

   goldTD方面走势跟随伦敦金，后市重点关注366.3一线附近的得失，实破就后市可以考虑中长线空单布局，不破则这轮回调结束，后市可以考虑中长线布局多单。

   期货黄金方面走势也是跟随伦敦金，对于沪金主力合约，重点关注368.28一线的得失，破与不破走势分析参考黄金TD。

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    写在文末：做交易我一直在强调理性投资，何为理性投资？笔者一直认为理性投资的第一点就是要认识到投资理财的风险性，不管你是做黄金Foreign exchange transactions还是期货交易，他都有很大的风险，所以你们一定不要投入太多资金去玩这东西，炒外汇或者炒期货没那么好赚钱，特别是你们在什么都不懂得情况下，就更不要投入太多钱去交易。我看见有些业务员的文章里今天晒单盈利几千美金，明天翻倍多少资金,I feel embarrassed when I look at it myself. A simulated transaction created by a simulated account is deceiving people. It's not like making so much money when it comes to trading. If it were to make so much money, wouldn't it be like becoming a multimillionaire long ago? Why bother writing articles here. So all investment friends must remain rational, open their eyes to distinguish between truth and falsehood, and use a small amount of funds to trade. Do not let investment affect your normal family operation, let alone be forced to increase funds and continuously lose money when the position is about to explode.

   Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。