Li Lianying:1.15黄金最新走势分析，黄金白银TD行情操作分析

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  goldnews flash:

Thursday(1month14day)，黄金继续承压，因美债收益率和美元指数反弹。投资者正等待美国当选总统拜登即将在日内发布的新冠疫情纾困措施的细节。有消息称，拜登即将公布的救助计划规模约为2Trillion US dollars,10年期美债收益率快速反弹至1.1%附近，重新逼近本周稍早录得的近10Month high1.185%，并带动美元反弹，财政刺激将有助于推动经济复苏，导致实际利率上升，并提振美联储逐步退出宽松货币政策的希望；另一方面，这也将提高通胀前景。对于当前黄金基本面，刺激措施对其产生的影响喜忧参半，黄金将在当前价格水准附近挣扎，此外，美联储主席鲍威尔也将在北京时间周五(1month15day)1:30出席一场研讨会，并在普林斯顿大学线上活动发表讲话。投资者还将挖掘美联储货币政策前景的进一步线索。美联储周三(1month13day)公布的褐皮书显示，最近几周美国经济活动温和增长，越来越多的联储地区就业有所下降，因新冠感染病例激增导致更多地方政府实施封控措施。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金昨日多数时间基本维持在1850-1860区间震荡，最高1863，最低回测1849，凌晨时段下挫回落至1841低位，下跌近20美元，主因美元走强、风险偏好情绪抑制了黄金的上行空间，昨日行情冲高回落再次显示1865压力明显，其实1817反弹更多属于技术修复均线，经过反复震荡以后均线也是开始下移，整体走势状态有再度转弱的趋向。这就是说明黄金多头后期再次打开反弹空间必须突破1865区域才能走的更远。

　　技术面来看，日线级别昨日报收一根中阴线，这也是继周一、周二以来，第三次对上周大跌行情进行震荡修复，经过三个交易日的反弹消化，始终未能上破1860-1865这一关键阻力区域，这也是黄金分割38.2%的位置，基本确认了短线行情上方压力区域的存在，这样的震荡结构也基本可以视作为下跌中继结构，更加确立了新一轮空头即将开启。目前来看，本周初大跌探底1818之后的反抽止步于1863区域，也基本就告一段落了，没有避险刺激黄金上涨，那么就是弱不禁风，稍微一个风吹草动就会开始抛售，在多头未突破1863这一阻力之前，我们很难找出新的理由去做多。目前黄金已经暴跌至1828一线，日内自1852高点一波快速回撤至1830下方，空头力量不可谓不强，既然盘面已跌破阶梯式震荡上行的支撑位，综合来看今日黄金操作思路上李联赢建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1860-1866Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1836一线支撑。目前手上有低位空单和高位多单不知道如何处理或者近期出现严重亏损可添加李联赢老师微信yy57564Seeking help, I will take the time to give my fans the greatest help.

　　crude oilnews flash:

Thursday(1month14day)，欧盘时段原油走弱至52.4美元，此前公布的美国EIA原油库存连续第五周下降，中国数据也显示原油进口量激增。不过全球冠状病毒病例激增仍限制了涨幅。美国能源信息署(EIA)Wednesday(1month13day)As of1month8During the current week, crude oil inventory decreased324.8Ten thousand barrels, with a decrease greater than expected300万桶，但汽油和精炼油库存上升，因炼厂增产至8月以来最高水平。美国成品油供应过剩抵消了原油库存下降的影响。中国海关总署周四公布的数据显示，尽管受到新冠疫情的冲击，但中国原油总进口量在2020年仍增长了7.3%, reaching5.4239Billion tons(about108510000 barrels/day)。由于原油暴跌促使炼油厂扩张，二季度和三季度的原油到港数量创下纪录新高。石油输出国组织(OPEC)和俄罗斯等盟国本月同意将减产行动延续到3月，以使供应与因病例激增而下降的需求相匹配。OPEC事实上的领导国沙特阿拉伯宣布要在2Month and3Monthly additional production reduction10010000 barrels/日，令市场感到惊讶。

Technical analysis of crude oil:

　　今日原油开盘亚盘一直处于宽幅震荡中，欧盘原油小幅冲高至53.2一线，随后便快速回落至52.4一线，昨日晚间EIA原油数据公布，虽然利多原油，但市场表现却不是很积极，原油在54.0关口附近出现明显遇阻信号，本周原油一直都是延续上升，昨日单阴回撤，盘高开高走后触及53.9高位承压，欧美盘时段回落后尾盘未能收复失地，昨日回落收低，使得短线上行放缓，日线收盘小阴十字K线暂时局部震荡，但是整体价格还是处于MA5日线之上运行，日线上，昨日原油展开探高回落，自日内高位下行，并由涨转跌，录得带上影线的中阴，4小时上，昨日原油突破上轨后回落至中轨附近运行，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，原油目前仍有回落之势，但涨势依在。综合来看今日原油短线操作思路上李联赢个人建议以高空为主，低多为辅。上方短期重点关注53.5-54.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.0-51.5Frontline support.

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.