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[Abstract] Investment Internationalgoldcrude oilHow to analyze the market situation? What do you think of the bullish and bearish outlook for gold and crude oil today? How to recover losses from investing in spot gold? How to operate gold and crude oil in the short term? What are the current resistance and support levels for gold? How should beginners make orders when investing in gold and crude oil? Will London gold continue to rise today? Will crude oil continue to fall? What recent news will affect the trend of gold and crude oil? What impact does the rise and fall of the US dollar have on gold? Analysis of today's market trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions: Will spot gold continue to rise today?
Preface: To continue in this market for a long time, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. In this way, it can provide you with clear guidance in a volatile market, even if the profit is small, it is very easy and there is a sense of achievement; In a unilateral market, it can make you have a trend in your mind. If you are right, strive for maximum profit, but when you are wrong, you can control risks and objectively adjust your thinking to turn losses into profits, instead of blindly and subjectively sticking to your own thinking, blindly adding positions to reverse orders, and placing positions on the edge of risk.
======Analysis of Gold Market Trend======
Gold Message:2021年开始不过几天时间,全世界见证了又一部美国政治“魔幻大片”的诞生。以枪击、暴力和流血为主要情节,以政客、特朗普支持者、特工为主要演员,这出“大戏”,向人们清晰地展现了一个事实,即“民主自由灯塔”美国自我塑造的形象,已经崩塌;从戴着“让美国再次伟大”帽子的民众打碎玻璃冲进国会的那一刻起,美国政治制度,失去了最后的体面。最新消息显示,美国国会正式确认,拜登在2020年美国总统选举中击败特朗普,当选美国第46任总统。接下来,面对仍不肯服输的特朗普,拜登1month20日的就职典礼又能否顺利开展?
昨日走势复盘:周四金价小幅下滑,受美元走强和美债收益率上升拖累,现货黄金一度跌逾10美元,刷新日低至1907.06dollar/盎司,不过考虑到美国民主党政府出台进一步财政刺激的前景,黄金ETF资产连续11天增长,金价短期跌幅或有限。较高的美债收益率正让一些“避险资金撤出黄金市场”。不过他补充称,尽管美元走强令金价承压,但美元的上行趋势可能是“短暂的”。李潇翰认为,交易所买卖基金(ETF)持有的黄金规模连续第11天增长,持续时间接近四个月以来最长,缓解了有关投资者的黄金需求可能正开始减弱的担忧。黄金ETF的资产周三攀升至3341.1吨,是11月末以来的最高水平。去年10月,黄金ETF的持仓量创下近3460吨的历史新高。
目前来看,前几天黄金下跌的位置技术上合情合理正好1965压力之下,空头借助压力配合消息完成对多头的绝杀!最低至1900关口,理论上节后的缺口回补,并且抵达1764以来上涨趋势支撑位置,同时1900关口是前期重点压力区域!因此的话,接下来上方1960-1965区域已经不再关键,在节后第一天大涨已经预示着1965迟早要突破,但是这次的暴跌会把时间推后。
接下来我们需要关注哪里可能再次成为二次上涨位置,第一1900关口有这种可能,所以重点关注;如果这里失守空头将会重新测试1870-1860区域,重点就是今日非农就业数据值得关注!整体操作而言,黄金先是暴跌,然后当天尾盘强势反弹,上有强阻力,下有买盘,加上本周五非农,在数据之前更大的可能是震荡修正,单边基本不会有有。今天亚欧盘依旧以1920为中心,小区间1910-1930Large interval1940-1900,整体操作上区间进行即可,不追单,不贪心。
黄金技术面:日线收带上影大阴线,并将上一个交易日的小阳线反包,形成类似黄昏之星K线组合,短期对市场心理打击较大。4小时级别,一根大阴线下打,全部吞没早盘上行空间,收出乌云盖顶形态,看跌。小时线级别,K线始终运行在均线MA100之下,反弹空间受到积压,上升五浪结束,价格击穿前期初步支撑,均线系统已经走坏,短期内大概率继续下跌。30分钟级别,布林线,均线同步协调向下运行,整体走势看空。综合来看,日内短线操作思路上李潇翰个人建议高位做空为主,以回调多为辅,上方初步关注1935-1940一线阻力,强阻力在1950,1960US dollars; Follow Below1905-1900Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Li Xiaohan to learn about the latest market situation. The specific entry points for order making strategies are subject to the guidance of the actual market! Li Xiaohan's WeChat:lxhq281。
======Analysis of crude oil market trend======
原油消息面:美国股市并未受美国动荡的政治局势影响再次创新高,使得投资者押注民主党控制的国会将推出更多刺激支出,引发燃料需求,构成油价上涨的因素之一,而美国12月服务业指标的意外增强,叠加沙特减产的提振,增加了油价上行的空间,但需要注意就业市场或为油价上行或添一大阻力,周五(1month8day)将公布的非农就业人数预计2020year12Month will increase7.1万个工作岗位,不到2020year11Month increase24.5万个工作岗位的一半。如果这个预测是准确的,就业机会将在四个月内从2020year9Month and10month66.1万的平均水平下降89%。投资者需谨慎晚间非农数据引发的油价波动。
原油技术面:日线上看,原油继续展开上涨,盘中录得带上下影线的中阳,今日行情大概率或将继续上涨;4小时上看,昨日原油持于MA5-10日均线不断上行,当前布林带处于开口期,MA均线走出双金叉后三线向上,KDJThree lines forward for random indicators,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量,快慢线金叉向前,原油再昨日早间一度再刷新高位,短期内有小幅回落需求,回撤完毕后会再次上涨,综合来看,原油操作思路上李潇翰建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方阻力关注52.0-52.5First line, support attention from below50.0-49.5一线。中线来看,行情并无筑顶迹象,油价仍有望冲高,上方压力也较小。上方初步压力在65.5-65.6Interval76.4%Fibo retreat position51.75,进一步压力在52。 Follow Below50Gateway,1month4Daily high point49.83as well as5日均线支撑位49.43。行情千变万化,点位仅供参考,如若出现破位亦可咨询李潇翰了解最新行情,具体做单策略进场点位以实盘指导为准! Li Xiaohan's WeChat:lxhq281。
Message: Any market trend will have a track to follow, and seizing opportunities is called an opportunity. Profits are real, and losses are also unbearable. Many people are eager for non agricultural products but ignore the pre non agricultural market trend. Many people say that non agricultural products are a turning point, an opportunity, but for more people, it is a crisis. Many people want to sell non agricultural products, causing pain and suffering, but the market also makes you anxious, There are many people who have gone through one, two, three times, but still do not know how to repent. People cannot live in the past, the past has become history; People cannot live in the future, the future is still very mysterious. We can only do well in the present moment, and what we can grasp is only the present moment. The present moment is precious. Give yourself an opportunity, and also give the future an expectation. Non agriculture is not the only criterion for judging your success or failure, but it is indeed a great opportunity. You give me a trust, and I return you an unexpected profit.
Disclaimer: The above is my personal opinion and I am responsible for any profit or loss. Trading carries risks, entry into the market requires caution
Article Writing: This article is written by Li Xiaohanlxhq281Please indicate the source when publishing and reprinting.
Release date:2021.1.8 Interpretation of synchronized market updates
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