Wang Decheng:1.5黄金暴涨原因解读和今日行情分析

     我每天文章里一直在强调要绝对轻仓操作和严格止损，不知道投资朋友们都看进去了没。昨天gold单边上涨涨幅一天达到50多美金，你要是不轻仓操作或者不带止损我估计你仓位现在就危险了。这种不受技术面支撑的行情在现货和futures里经常发生，所以我经常劝谏各位投资者不要听某些业务员瞎忽悠去重仓交易或者频繁交易。最主要的事是建议你们不要投入太多钱去玩这理财投资，更不要极不理智的把所有家当拿来玩。想靠这行发家致富是不可能的，只能拿小资金去玩玩，当生活娱乐消遣即可。现在行情波动很大，你什么都不懂就投入很多钱去交易，最后的结局一定是爆舱。所以拒绝高利诱惑，选择理性投资，不要让投资影响了你正常的家庭运转。

    好了现在开始分析行情：截止投稿前，现货黄金报价1942.5dollar.

   

   黄金大涨基本面因素分析：

Monday(1month4day)yes2021年首个交易日，全球金融市场迎来大狂欢，欧股高开高走，美股期货也持续拉升，美元指数仍处于守势，刚刚跌破89.50Continue brushing2018year4月以来新低。现货黄金多头高歌猛进，日内接连攻克1910、1920as well as1930三大关口，最高触及1945美元附近。投资人看好疫苗最终能带来全球经济增长是这一波上涨的主要因素，本周来看，周二的乔治亚州参议院席位决选将是重头戏。

　　香港瑞银财富管理大宗商品暨亚太汇率主管表示，由于疫情肆虐，美国和欧洲的数据都有可能转弱，这令金价获得支撑。

   金价持续拉升的同时，比特币价格大跳水。比特币15分钟内走低近1000美元，日内跌破31000美元，日内跌幅扩大至8%。比特币的大涨也减弱了部分流入黄金的避险资金。此前知名投行摩根大通就表示，加密货币在主流金融圈中的兴起，将是以黄金的牺牲为代价。

　　摩根大通预测，随着数字货币作为一个资产类别被越来越多的人接受，黄金和加密货币市场将发生重大变化。投资者哪怕将很小的一部分投资从黄金市场转入加密货币，都将对贵金属市场的多头造成严重麻烦。目前摩根大通还只是为数不多持有这种观点的华尔街银行之一。

　　日内，比特币价格大跌也导致部分资金重新流入黄金，金价涨势保持坚挺，日内自低点大涨超30美元。除了比特币的大跌外，黄金日内涨势的另一个主要推动因素则是美元的大跌以及疫情消息。

   

   Technical analysis:

      昨天黄金1930现价做多目前如期大涨1942美元一线再次横扫上千点！昨天黄金我们分析过会不会上演上周一的冲高回落走宽幅的行情，现在来看显然不是，上周一黄金是早盘一波拉升之后，亚欧盘都是走回落，然后美盘再拉升。而昨天的行情是早盘拉升，欧盘延续，所以肯定是强势的延续上涨，突破1921阻力之后延续走强，我们果断在1930现价做多坚定持有，目前如期大涨1942美元一线横扫上千点，后市来看还是属于强势的行情，这样的行情不建议做空了，虽然上涨之后会有回调，但是几美金的回踩空间不好预测，现在来看黄金1927reach1929成为支撑，这也是黄金昨日欧美盘回踩拉升的启动点，后市黄金支撑1927美元以上还是看涨，上方测试1950-1965高点，阻力1965美元附近，关注这里受阻的需求！

   具体操作建议：

     激进的建议回踩1927Long nearby, stop loss4USD, target1945reach1965

     稳健的建议回踩1914Long nearby, stop loss4USD, target1945reach1965

   写在文末：做交易我一直在强调理性投资，何为理性投资？笔者一直认为理性投资的第一点就是要认识到投资理财的风险性，不管你是做黄金foreign exchangeTrading or futures trading carries great risks, so you must not invest too much money in playing with it. It is not easy to make money by speculating in foreign exchange or futures, especially when you don't know anything, so don't invest too much money in trading. I saw some salespeople's articles where they made a profit of several thousand dollars from selling orders today. How much will they double the funds tomorrow,I feel embarrassed when I look at it myself. A simulated transaction created by a simulated account is deceiving people. It's not like making so much money when it comes to trading. If it were to make so much money, wouldn't it be like becoming a multimillionaire long ago? Why bother writing articles here. So all investment friends must remain rational, open their eyes to distinguish between truth and falsehood, and use a small amount of funds to trade. Do not let investment affect your normal family operation, let alone be forced to increase funds and continuously lose money when the position is about to explode.

    Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851，微性公众号：王德诚，联系手机微心同步：15851503763。