1.4美元涨跌如何看，黄金多空趋势转化在即

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　　=============goldTrend analysis===========

　　黄金消息面：在美元实际利率下行的驱动下，黄金投资需求一度大幅冲高。黄金的需求是决定黄金中长期价格走势的主导因素，尤其是黄金的投资需求，这里面体现在全球黄金ETF的规模上。截至2020year12month24日，全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR的黄金持有量在8月一度攀升至1267.96吨的高点，去年同期800—900Tons.

　　通胀预期方面，在全球经济逐渐恢复但流动性撤出相对缓慢的情况下，市场担忧疫情期间各主要经济体注入的流动性会导致通胀回升。如果考虑到经济体供应恢复弱于需求，因此通胀预期持续升温。黄金在历史上一直作为对冲通胀的一个重要资产备受资金青睐，通胀预期会助涨黄金的涨势。

　　黄金技术面：日线来看，黄金在12month21日冲高1906Backfall1855，随后一直在1900-1855区间内震荡，本周一黄金冲高1900关口受阻回落日线收了一根上影线的阴线，但是随后的三个交易日黄金并没有跌下去，而是连续收阳，黄金目前收盘在1900关口，整体来看虽然本周黄金波动不大，但是表现还是比较强势，所以下周一开盘黄金可能会再度来一个冲高创下新高后再来一个回落，上方阻力看1917附近。四小时来看，黄金小幅震荡，下方1870附近支撑比较明显，上方目前在高点附近，所以可以确定肯定要涨的；小时线来看，黄金短线下探1885一线后冲高1900关口，再度下探在1890附近后尾盘再度拉升至1900关口，所以下方支撑在1885。 The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only, and specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add Li Xiaohan's official WeChat account:lxhq281Obtain guidance slots.

　　=============crude oilTrend analysis===========

　　油价消息面：美国推出新一轮刺激计划，提升市场风险偏向，全球股市上涨，美国股市再创历史记录新高，而且EIA原油库存下降，给油价提供支撑；但新冠疫情继续恶化，OPEC+下周料将上调原油产量，令油价承压；恰逢年底交易员休假，油价本周录得近四年最小波动。美原油上周微涨0.25%Report collection48.42dollar/桶；相对而言，基本面和技术面暗示油价面临的回调风险有所增加；但中长线仍有继续震荡走高的机会。特朗普意外签署了新一轮刺激法案，带动全球股市上涨，美国股市多次刷新历史记录新高，美元指数走弱，也给油价提供支撑。上周原油库存方面的最新数据相对乐观，也提升多头士气，APIandEIA原油库存双双下降，美国原油出口也连续三周增加，略微缓解了市场对需求前景的担忧。

　　油价技术面：近期，虽然布伦特原油的价格在51dollar/桶之上窄幅整理，但是，它也没有大幅上涨，这说明其多头的力量较弱。其次，5Daily moving average and10日均线还缠绕在一起，形成“死叉”的概率较大。一旦5Daily moving average underpass10日均线，那么，布伦特原油必然会进一步下跌。最后，布伦特原油的价格线与MACD指标的快慢线出现了“顶背离”的现象，这更加预示着布伦特原油有回调下跌的风险存在。日线依然维持在均线上方，均线多头发散。1小时周期有上升三段形态的迹象，可能继续小幅拉升，周三开盘在48.12，目前最高触及48.49周三白盘窄幅震荡，目前正在测试38.2%Callback bit47.9一线，若于此位置企稳，则预计油价将反弹测试23.6%Namely48.3位置阻力和48.8位置阻力，建议触及此位置可以考虑空单的布局，关注50%Callback bit47.5破位情况，跌破此位置后预计油价将要再度考验46支撑。指标方面MACD指标快慢线已经运行至零轴下方，绿色能量柱出现的缩量，说明经过近期的下跌后短线的跌势动能已经放缓，关注油价调整修正结束后指标的二次放量情况，布林带三轨开口向下运行，指标方面显示油价走势震荡偏弱，综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上李潇翰建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注48.8-49.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below47.5-47.0Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only, and specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add Li Xiaohan's official WeChat account:lxhq281Obtain guidance slots.

　　=============黄金投资被套，如何快速解===========

　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?

　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.

　　（3）降低均价法：被套后，如果是套在相对历史低点，就不用担心，因为黄金本身的价值决定了黄金不可能出现较大跌幅，必然会有反弹的空间，这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入，逢低15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when gold experiences a rebound, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method.

　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.

　　李潇翰洈是lxhq281如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰，找不到方向长期处在亏损中，不妨可以和李潇翰聊聊,成功不是靠运气，选择大于努力！分析文章只是对市场未来可能的描述，对行情的一种预测，对走势的剖析，做好提前布局的准备，同时只是观点的表达，不作为投资决策依据。毕竟市场行情瞬息万变。投资有风险，交易务必注意合理的仓位配置、资金管理和风险控制，无风控不交易，不要让交易失控！