王德诚：迎接新年重拾希望，现货黄金和TDGold Market Analysis

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    做交易我一直在强调理性投资，何为理性投资？笔者一直认为理性投资的第一点就是要认识到投资理财的风险性，不管你是做goldforeign exchange交易还是futures交易，他都有很大的风险，所以你们一定不要投入太多资金去玩这东西，炒外汇或者炒期货没那么好赚钱，特别是你们在什么都不懂得情况下，就更不要投入太多钱去交易。我看见有些业务员的文章里今天晒单盈利几千美金，明天翻倍多少资金,I feel embarrassed when I look at it myself. A simulated transaction created by a simulated account is deceiving people. It's not like making so much money when it comes to trading. If it were to make so much money, wouldn't it be like becoming a multimillionaire long ago? Why bother writing articles here. So all investment friends must remain rational, open their eyes to distinguish between truth and falsehood, and use a small amount of funds to trade. Do not let investment affect your normal family operation, let alone be forced to increase funds and continuously lose money when the position is about to explode.

   基本面分析；

    Thursday(12month31day)亚市盘中，美元指数短线大幅拉升，逼近89.70水平；现货黄金短线快速下跌，并跌破1890dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1888.21dollar/盎司。美国国会尚未就新一轮纾困法案的援助金额问题达成共识，美国参议院多数党领袖麦康奈尔再次拒绝参议院民主党领袖舒默就2000美元支票发放进行投票的提议。美国财政刺激的负面进展对于金价构成打压。不过，市场对新冠疫情造成的经济影响感到担心，由此引发的避险买盘限制了金价的跌幅，最新消息显示，美国疾控中心称，新冠变种病毒很可能已经在美国发生人际传播。

   Technical analysis of gold:

     日线双线均线关注1896-1884区域，前期反复压制下轨下方，加速向上扩大区间又承压在上轨1896-1900区域，最关键的上轨不突破，难以实现更进一步的攀升，仍需重点留意。

　　四小时图关注起涨低点的攀升，从1869reach1871.5，在到昨日的1876，都是前一日美盘回踩确定的支撑点作为依托攀升向上，昨日美盘回踩支撑1883也是四小时生命线位置和日线双线均线的下轨。因此，对于今天的黄金，需要重点关注1883的分界线位置，而顶底转换1886位置在今日早盘回踩在此上方获得支撑，预计再下探此处会测试更低的位置才会获得支撑。

　　当然，若是欧盘始终没有反弹的迹象，那么确定支撑的时间点还是在美盘时段，支撑关注1883and1876两个位置，需要等待的时间更长了。上方的压力先是关注1896和起跌点1898的压制，无法站上1900关口，短线仍是维持区间震荡。日内黄金先围绕1883-1896区间，扩大区间1876-1900即可，保持区间震荡对待。

    具体操作策略：

      空单：激进者等待1896轻仓进场，止损放在1900, look at the goal1885nearby

            稳健者可以不考虑空单

      多单：短线交易者:Step back1886、1882附近轻仓进场，止损1878, look at the goal1893nearby

       中长线交易者：回踩1886附近补仓多单，所有点位做好止盈保护

   goldTDanalysis：

    昨日黄金td冲高回落于391附近承压，运行在Ma60Below the moving average,K线收线均带有较长的上影，说明在393上方具有较强的空头压制，布林开始收口，macd金叉势能缩量，黄金td走势震荡偏强，不过多头势能有所缓和，关注布林中轨387区域支撑，上方关注393/395阻力压制，短期小区间暂定387reach395内。短周期，四小时和小时线，黄金td冲高回落，布林收口，Ma均线高位死叉向下，macd死叉开口，短线来看，黄金td有修正回调需求，重点关注布林下轨388/387区域支撑，此区域不破，跌幅有限。短线我们可以在区间内高沽低渣操作。具体是388/389Regional long, stop loss386, Objective392/393Test above393Short selling, stop loss395, Objective390。

     写在文末：做期货的朋友都知道期货分时交易，晚上11点半基本上绝大部分商品就停盘了，交易者不用熬更守夜的去看盘，那样真的很累。对于做黄金crude oilAs a trader, the author has always emphasized a state of investment: strict light position operation, strict stop loss, strict reduction of operation, not investing too much funds in trading, treating trading as a pastime. It doesn't matter if you lose or win every day, and it doesn't affect the normal operation of your family. In this way, even with the wind and waves blowing, you can still be better than idle walking, and there is no need to stay up late to read and analyze the market. Once the market fluctuates greatly, you will be jumpy, Don't ruin your health by not making a profit on your account.

   

     Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。