Wang Decheng:31日三线收官，铁矿石焦炭鸡蛋苹果期货行情分析

      Wang Decheng:31日三线收官，铁矿石焦炭鸡蛋苹果futuresquotations analysis

     做交易我一直在强调理性投资，何为理性投资？笔者一直认为理性投资的第一点就是要认识到投资理财的风险性，不管你是做goldforeign exchangeTrading or futures trading carries great risks, so you must not invest too much money in playing with it. It is not easy to make money by speculating in foreign exchange or futures, especially when you don't know anything, so don't invest too much money in trading. I saw some salespeople's articles where they made a profit of several thousand dollars from selling orders today. How much will they double the funds tomorrow,I feel embarrassed when I look at it myself. A simulated transaction created by a simulated account is deceiving people. It's not like making so much money when it comes to trading. If it were to make so much money, wouldn't it be like becoming a multimillionaire long ago? Why bother writing articles here. So all investment friends must remain rational, open their eyes to distinguish between truth and falsehood, and use a small amount of funds to trade. Do not let investment affect your normal family operation, let alone be forced to increase funds and continuously lose money when the position is about to explode.

     

    好了，现在开始分析铁矿石、焦炭、鸡蛋、苹果期货主力合约后市行情。

   Iron ore main contract:

　  铁矿石低开低走盘中弱势整理日内探底回升小幅反弹，报收长下影阴线。铁矿石近期高位连续回落调整，技术上尽管还是处于中线多头但短线调整未见止跌，近期有望延续弱势震荡整理的概率高，操作上还是建议多单减仓离场，盘中激进可尝试日内短空参与，稳健继续空仓观望。

　　铁矿石期货操作建议：目前没有进行破位下跌行情出现，盘中属于惯性下跌动能释放，短期参考区域重心下移后的1000reach990区间内进行高空操作。

　 Coke main contract:

　　焦炭低开低走盘中弱势整理日内探底回升，报收长下影阳线。焦炭中线多头趋势未变短线小幅调整后止跌重回涨势，焦炭近期表现强势尽管小幅整理未变整体强势格局，未来有望持续涨势继续上攻多头，建议多单可继续持有，盘中激进可继续尝试逢低建仓多单。

　焦炭期货操作建议：盘中窄幅震荡中阳线报收，行情符合预期，焦炭趋势多头，短期反弹承压，震荡思路对待，操作上关注2750一线的支撑有效性低多参与。

　

   Egg Main Contract:

    鸡蛋期货操作大行情 12月鸡蛋价格震荡走高，全国鸡蛋均价由月初3.4element/斤上涨至20day3.93element/斤，涨幅达到15.6%。目前全国蛋禽继续维持冬季生产淡季，鸡蛋供应量总体有所下降，需求面继续增加，但当前鸡蛋价格上涨多为季节性因素以及资金炒作推动，蛋价上涨不具有持续性。近期元旦备货，各环节拿货积极性提高，当前鸡蛋走货尚可，预计短期鸡蛋价格仍偏强震荡。2020年蛋鸡亏损情况未明显影响养殖户现金流，养殖户仍不愿大量淘汰产能，鸡蛋供应仍较充足，而元旦、春节利好效应逐渐释放，短期蛋价仍有上涨空间，预计近期鸡蛋均价或涨至4.1-4.2element/斤。随着备货进入尾声，元旦前后鸡蛋价格或出现小幅回落，下跌约0.1-0.2element/斤，下跌空间也相对有限。近期鸡蛋期货和期货大幅反弹，市场信心开始增加，市场的焦点开始聚焦于明年的供需缺口。这波鸡蛋期货和现货反弹，是由于年底需求旺季、存栏不断下降、饲料成本增加、冻品进口受阻等跌加刺激的。目前鸡蛋期货目前升水现货。鸡蛋期货对年后给出了不错的养殖利润。当前存栏仍处于正常年份水平。当前鸡蛋期货已经对过去三个月鸡苗销售差以及年后集中淘汰做出了演绎。鸡蛋2105冲高后大幅回落，技术上，这波上涨告一段落。

　　鸡蛋期货操作建议：短期突破后回调，震荡思路对待，操作上关注4220一线压制有效性高空参与。         

   苹果主力合约：

    苹果开盘下跌，05主力收6608element/吨，价涨29点，成交缩量增仓；跨月价差：01-05价差走阔，01、05走强；西部产区仍以自提出库为主：西部产区交易冷清，产区客商多以自提货供应市场，果农挺价意愿仍存，询价客商仍较少，洛川70#半商品价格3.2-3.3element/斤；乾县出库价格70#起步价格在2.20-2.50element/斤，同比上周基本持平。山东产区冷库货交易依旧迟缓：栖霞产区出库均价略降，成交稍有增量，果农有出库意愿，但成交增幅有限，主要出库以客商发自存货为主。栖霞产区，当前库存果农80#起步一二级价格在2.6-3.50element/斤，统货在2.20-2.50element/斤，三级果价格在1.50-2.00element/斤。据中央气象台预报显示12month29day-31日，寒潮将自北向南横扫我国大部，这将是今冬来影响我国的最强寒潮，25个省会级城市气温都将创今冬新低，中东部也将迎近8年来最冷的跨年夜；期间砂糖橘正处于下树期，广西等重点砂糖橘产区也将受此次降温影响。需重点关注天气变化

　 苹果期货操作建议：苹果继续下探 ！操作上继续在6650 一线压制建空，破6680止损！            

   Written at the end of the article: Friends who work in futures know that futures are traded on a time share basis, at night11点半基本上绝大部分商品就停盘了，交易者不用熬更守夜的去看盘，那样真的很累。对于做黄金crude oilAs a trader, the author has always emphasized a state of investment: strict light position operation, strict stop loss, strict reduction of operation, not investing too much funds in trading, treating trading as a pastime. It doesn't matter if you lose or win every day, and it doesn't affect the normal operation of your family. In this way, even with the wind and waves blowing, you can still be better than idle walking, and there is no need to stay up late to read and analyze the market. Once the market fluctuates greatly, you will be jumpy, Don't ruin your health by not making a profit on your account.

   

     Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。