Li Lianying:12.31黄金现价能做多吗？现货黄金原油最新建议及...

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　goldMarket trend analysis;

　　消息面分析；金价周三走高，现货黄金涨超16The US dollar has reached its highest point in the past two days1894.66dollar/盎司；因为增加财政援助的前景将美元推至逾两年最低水平，但新冠疫苗在全球推出和风险偏好增强限制了金价涨幅。

　　随着主要经济体对新冠病毒的群体免疫力逐渐增强，全球增长开始显著改善，大多数机构都料2021年美元走软。美国财政和政治形势也没有给美元带来多少好处，预计美国将批准2000美元支票发放，民主党也很可能会在佐治亚州的选举中赢得参议院的两个席位，这将使民主党获得对国会的控制权。如上所述，对美元不利的东西通常对黄金等贵金属有利。此外，政府和美联储将向经济注入的所有这些货币和财政刺激措施，可能会进一步提振通胀预期。目前通胀预期已接近两年高点，这也对作为对抗通胀的黄金有利。

　　技术面分析；本周黄金整体在布林带中上轨之间徘徊，KDJ死叉向下，随机指标在50Nearby,MACD金叉，红色能量柱持稳，加上布林带三轨走平，5Daily moving average10日均线给金价提供支撑，指示黄金偏向震荡强势，接下来有望继续上涨，上方阻力在1900关口，黄金4小时来看：本周金价开盘剧烈震荡，目前维持在1900-1870区间宽幅震荡，区间越缩越小，由于元旦假期的休市影响，还有年底黄金的一个好评度，使得黄金有一个良好的表现。指标上来看：KDJ金叉向上，指数高于50upper,MACD低位金叉，红色能量柱放量，均线交织给金价提供短线支撑，布林带开口向上，指示黄金偏向上涨形态，由于近期疫情的爆发，金价避险情绪升温，操作上价李联赢建议以低位做多为主；上方阻力关注1905-1915First line, support attention from below1888-1885一线。由于笔者李联赢不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的朋友可单线yy57564obtain

GoldTDTechnical analysis:

　　昨日黄金td冲高回落于392附近承压，运行在MaBelow the moving average,K线收线均带有较长的上影，说明在393上方具有较强的空头压制，布林开始收口，macd金叉势能缩量，黄金td走势震荡偏强，不过多头势能有所缓和，关注布林中轨387区域支撑，上方关注393/395阻力压制，短期小区间暂定387-395内。短周期，四小时和小时线，黄金td冲高回落，布林收口，Ma均线高位死叉向下，macd死叉开口，短线来看，黄金td有修正回调需求，重点关注布林下轨388/387区域支撑，此区域不破，跌幅有限。短线操作上李联赢建议区间内高沽低渣操作。黄金tdto388/389Regional long, stop loss386, Objective392/393Test above393Short selling, stop loss395, Objective390.

SilverTDTechnical analysis:

　　昨日白银td在白盘开盘反弹测试5560上方承压修正回落，最低测试5418区域，晚间行情维持在5420-5500区间弱势震荡，盘中虽有反弹但并未延续，于5499区域承压回落继续震荡，日线上，白银K线阴阳交替排列运行在Ma均线上方，布林向上开口，Macd金叉向上，不过势能缩量，K线收线带有较长的上影线，说明上方依然受较强的空头压制，短期缺乏上涨动能，整体就是一个区间震荡走势，小区间5400-5600内，大区间5200-5700，在未出现破位前保持高沽低渣操作。短周期，四小时和小时线，白银高位承压回落，短线于5400关口附近获得支撑止跌，布林收口，Ma均线稍微偏空，macd死叉开口，说明短线白银有修正回调需求，重点关注5400Gateway and5380支撑得失，上方关注5500/5550Resistance, in order5600强阻力压制。白银tdto5410Long nearby, stop loss5360, Objective5480/5500Above5500/5530Short selling, stop loss5565, Objective5450/5430.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

　　消息面分析；周三原油futures涨至逾一周来最高水平，美国原油出口飙升和供应趋紧进一步表明需求正在缓步回升。纽约原油期货收盘上涨0.8％，盘中在前收盘位上下波动，假日期间交投清淡。

　　根据美国政府数据，原油出口升至疫情爆发以来的最高水平，部分导致上周原油库存下降600万桶，超过分析师预期。随着库存下降和美国原油需求回升，市场对明年年初OPEC+恢复增产可能导致油市失衡的担忧有所缓解。OPEC+将于下周开会，以决定2月产量水平。李联赢表示，过去几周出口稳步上升，美国原油需求趋势向上，意味着世界将逐步回归正常。

　　技术面分析；原油周三开盘在48.12，目前最高触及48.49周三白盘窄幅震荡，目前正在测试38.2%Callback bit47.9一线，若于此位置企稳，则预计油价将反弹测试23.6%Namely48.3位置阻力和48.8位置阻力，陈召.锡建议触及此位置可以考虑空单的布局，关注50%Callback bit47.5破位情况，跌破此位置后预计油价将要再度考验46支撑。指标方面MACD指标快慢线已经运行至零轴下方，绿色能量柱出现的缩量，说明经过近期的下跌后短线的跌势动能已经放缓，关注油价调整修正结束后指标的二次放量情况，布林带三轨开口向下运行，指标方面显示油价走势震荡偏弱，所以综合分析操作上李联赢建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方点关注48.8-49.5One line of resistance, pay attention below47.5-47Frontline support.

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  This article is provided by Li Lianying. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.