Wang Decheng:31日螺纹铁矿鸡蛋基本面解读和行情走势分析

             Wang Decheng:31日螺纹铁矿鸡蛋基本面解读和行情走势分析

    transactionfutures有什么优点呢？我在这里总结一下。第一：正规期货平台都是由证监会监管的四大商品期货交易所下面的会员单位，平台是合法合规的。第二：期货交易成本比较低，相对于foreign exchange来说，它的交易成本，一手的手续费只有外汇的1/10reach1/3，就几十块钱而已，而且他没有过夜费，不用担心入的资金最后大部分都付诸给了手续费。第三，他的资金方面肯定是非常安全的这个完全不用担心，期货资金全部是由第三方银行托管，绝不会说入金到某个私人的银行卡或者说私人的对公账户，但凡那种入金到私人银行卡或者普通对公账户的平台一定是黑平台，很简单，某些平台要是把我的银行卡买去让你们入金到我那银行卡里，你们愿意吗？肯定是不愿意的吧。第四：期货它是每天分早中晚盘三个时段交易的，基本上绝大部分商品到晚上十一点半左右就停盘了，投投资者不用再熬跟守夜的去盯盘，熬夜真的是伤身体啊。最主要一点，期货市场是正监会监管的，相比较而言非常干净纯洁，没那么多坑。

  

    好了，现在开始分析主要螺纹、铁矿、鸡蛋期货主力合约的行情走势。

   

  thread2105：

　　1.技术面：螺纹2105合约周三先抑后扬小阳线报收4256(Last day's price)4234）The form belongs to stepping back4200关口假破位，前期的单边涨势已经结束，建议观望一天。

　　2.基本面：上海螺纹4470Steel billets3740Steel plant operating rate67.13%Social inventory36210000 tons, steel factory inventory224Ten thousand tons. The steel production level has peaked and fallen, while profits continue to rebound and remain low. Inventory in the middle and upper reaches continues to decline, but the pressure to destock remains high. Demand has weakened during the peak season, and the asset atmosphere is facing high volatility,01The contract discount repair still needs attention.2020The supply side reform has been basically completed, and the policy's ability to speculate in the future is limited. Macroeconomic systemic risks are still expected to emerge in the second round, and the demand for real estate investment and production will also weaken seasonally in the later stage. Pay attention to the global trend of the epidemic and its impact on the economy, as well as seasonal production dynamics. Asset atmosphere driving inflation expectations further reflects and hits again19Annual high.

　　3.操作建议：稳健者观望，激进者可视盘中冲涨乏力逢高短空，有利即可。

　　铁矿210：

　　1.技术面：铁矿2105合约周三低开低走阴线报收984(Last day's price)1010.5），行情结束单边涨势，短期易调难涨，建议观望或逢高试空。

　　2.基本面：铁矿石普氏指数162.5，现货青岛港PB粉1113，港口库存12410万吨，钢厂铁矿石库存可用天数27天。钢厂开工需求高位回落，受制于季节性和利润不佳，炉料库存充裕，钢厂矿石库存健康。外矿上半年供给受限，后期复产修复，供给2021仍有望转暖，港口库存当前低位已逐渐开启回升。矿石高低品级价差回落，钢厂红利出净高品代替焦炭优势渐弱，废钢对矿石亦有替代作用。外盘矿石回升，现货成交回暖有限，基差修复转负。全球终端需求进一步向上打压，美国粗钢产量锐减，后期铁矿石供需环境仍不乐观。人民币中长期仍存在贬值预期但短线升值，海运进口成本延续低位。

　　3.操作建议：观望为主，短线也可逢高试空抓回调。

　鸡蛋2105：

　　1.基本面：今日鸡蛋小区间波动80Multiple point reporting4134小阳线一带行情，养殖端补栏积极性有所提高，孵化场订单量缓慢增加，种蛋利用率提高，减轻供应端压力，同时气温的下降，鸡蛋可存储时间也可适当延长，也给行情提供底部支撑。再加上，近期猪肉价格明显上涨，亦给鸡蛋行情提供利好支撑。玉米、豆粕价格高位强势运行，养殖户在饲料成本逐步递增的情况下提价意愿强烈。随着下游食品厂、农贸市场春节前备货或将逐步启动，鸡蛋市场走货加快，本周库存继续下降。但是随着鸡蛋价格涨至高位，蛋商采购较为谨慎，终端消化需要时间，预计短线鸡蛋价格或将逐步趋稳。

　　　2.操作建议：鸡蛋2105合约，鸡蛋整体趋势走强上攻行情，鸡蛋连续区间整理波动洗盘强势行情，王德诚建议鸡蛋回调4106Support the upper level's batch entry and multi order strategy, with short-term attention4146and4164Stop profits and reduce positions in batches, protect and hold the trend band with good profits, and make independent decisions for investors in actual operations, independently assuming risks and assuming profits and losses. Market recommendations are for reference only.

    Written at the end of the article: Friends who work in futures know that futures are traded on a time share basis, at night11点半基本上绝大部分商品就停盘了，交易者不用熬更守夜的去看盘，那样真的很累。对于做goldcrude oilAs a trader, the author has always emphasized a state of investment: strict light position operation, strict stop loss, strict reduction of operation, not investing too much funds in trading, treating trading as a pastime. It doesn't matter if you lose or win every day, and it doesn't affect the normal operation of your family. In this way, even with the wind and waves blowing, you can still be better than idle walking, and there is no need to stay up late to read and analyze the market. Once the market fluctuates greatly, you will be jumpy, Don't ruin your health by not making a profit on your account.

    Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。