Wang Decheng:29日焦煤焦炭聚丙烯铁矿期货基本面解读和行情分析

     Before writing the market analysis, let me talk about the matter of hedging: Today I want to talk about a very important point, and I hope all investment friends can listen to it. Everyone must bring a stop loss when placing orders, and never lock up positions. Essentially, locking up positions is a form of denying one's misjudgment of the market. On the surface, he appears to have kept your position safe, but in reality, he has taken up your funds and risk rate. After locking the position, he becomes hesitant when it comes to placing orders. Many people are reluctant to stop losses and like to lock up their positions. They always think that if the market rises, they will make a profit by taking more orders and can take out more orders, Then when the market falls, I will take out short orders. This way, not only can I make a profit, but I can also solve the problem at the same time, killing two birds with one stone. This is a beautiful idea, but in reality, it is often not like that. When the market really rises, they won't dare to level their long positions. They are afraid that if their long positions are tied, the market will continue to rise. This way, the short positions will become deeper and deeper, so they have to bear it all the time. In the end, they will waste overnight fees for nothing until their positions are liquidated. So, never lock up your position, always bring a stop loss. Otherwise, it will only be a repeat of the bloody failures of previous investors.

    好了，接下来开始分析29日的主要焦炭焦煤聚丙烯铁矿行情

   coke2105：

　  焦炭方面，第十一轮提涨在途，盘面表现依然强势，升水幅度加大。年底新一波焦化去产能开始执行，且叠加运力紧张，导致下游钢厂及中游港口的主动补库仍然困难，焦炭上涨趋势仍在延续。

　　分析：焦炭早间强势创新高，随后被板块拖累，冲高回落，收小阴。近期运输仍旧受阻，钢厂高炉开工处于高位，对焦炭需求旺盛，短期内焦炭市场仍旧维持偏强运行，均线多头发散，多头趋势整体未变，后市可能转入高位强势震荡，若黑色其他板块企稳走强，焦炭有望再创新高，回调继续关注低吸机会。

    coking coal2105：

     今日焦煤主力合约JM2105Opening report1690element/吨，最后收于1712.5element/吨，涨幅4.2%，全天交投区间介于1663.5-1744.5element/吨，共成交245308手，持仓118987Hand.

　　现货市场：今日，国内炼焦煤市场稳中偏强运行。主流地区焦化去产能进入收官阶段，焦炭持续供不应求，焦价第十一轮提涨已有部分钢厂接受。目前焦化厂利润丰厚，开工高位稳定，对原料煤增库需求维持良好。近期主产地安全及环保检查力度趋强，进口蒙煤日通关量回升，但尚未恢复至正常水平，炼焦煤供应难有增量，目前煤企生产基本正常，订单充足，出货顺畅。低硫主焦出货良好，暂无库存压力，鉴于目前价格已处高位，后期上涨难度较大；1/3焦煤等配煤出货尚可，煤企积极降库为主，部分地区贫瘦煤供应紧张，后期存探涨预期。

   

   聚丙烯：

　　2020year12month28日讯：大连商品交易所PPfuturesMain contract2105Opening8109element/吨，收于7975element/吨，比昨日结算价8196element/Ton221element/吨，跌幅2.70%，交投区间7954-8159element/吨，总手566881手，持仓290021Hand.

　　市场简述及后市预测：今日聚丙烯市场价格继续下跌，石化出厂价格多数下调，市场货源成本支撑力度弱势，期货低位走跌，一定程度打压业者信心，贸易商多随行跟跌报盘出货，下游工厂拿货谨慎，多维持观望态度，市场整体交投气氛清淡。短期来看，下游行业利润表现不佳，及对后市信心不足，接货意愿持续欠佳，但听闻近期南方部分地区限电企业开工恢复，下游部分领域开工有望出现小幅提升。预计明日PP市场延续偏弱整理。

　铁矿2105：

　　行情分析：铁矿今日收中阴线，日内呈现震荡走低，形态上看，铁矿出现大幅回落，现企稳震荡，整体格局偏多。今日铁矿震荡走低，并未走出有效行情。均线组合呈现多头排列，下方关注20Daily moving average support.MACD快慢线形成死叉，动能柱下穿0轴，空头占据主动。整体来看，铁矿大幅回落，有见顶之意。同样的，铁矿大幅回落，有见顶之意，但无明显顶部形态，行情直接往下砸到底部的可能性较小。笔者认为，铁矿在1000点位上方企稳调整，这波回调应该算是到位了。铁矿或将反弹走高测试上方压力情况，是构建顶部还是继续走高，那就要看市场表现了。后市可考虑背靠低点参与多单，抓一波短线反弹行情，该位置参与多单，风险比还是很合理的。铁矿能否继续走低，将是行情关键性因素。

    Written at the end of the article: Friends who work in futures know that futures are traded on a time share basis, at night11The market will stop at midnight, and traders don't have to stay up late to watch the market. That's really tiring. For doinggoldcrude oilAs a trader, the author has always emphasized a state of investment: strict light position operation, strict stop loss, strict reduction of operation, not investing too much funds in trading, treating trading as a pastime. It doesn't matter if you lose or win every day, and it doesn't affect the normal operation of your family. In this way, even with the wind and waves blowing, you can still be better than idle walking, and there is no need to stay up late to read and analyze the market. Once the market fluctuates greatly, you will be jumpy, Don't ruin your health by not making a profit on your account.

   

    Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat Sync on your phone:15851503763。