王德诚；现货黄金交投惨淡，暴风骤雨何时来临？

         王德诚；现货gold交投惨淡，暴风骤雨何时来临？

     Before writing the article, I would like to say a few words as usual: the situation of an investor yesterday may be very representative. He transfers all his funds to a regular corporate account, and then told me that his platform is legitimate. He said that only platforms that transfer funds to private accounts are black platforms. I explained to her for a while that he still didn't believe it, but he was still arguing with me. Perhaps it was because he himself didn't want to admit that he was operating on a black platform. This type of investor cannot even understand the most basic investment knowledge Loss is definitely inevitable, or rather, it is not a loss but a scam. You can learn about the deposit process of member units under the eight major exchanges. All exchanges have their own settlement centers, and traders deposit money to third-party banks under the custody of the exchange. The custody bank providesfuturesOnly through services such as deposit management and deposit and withdrawal can transaction funds be guaranteed. Be careful when you deposit money into a private account or regular corporate account. You can specifically check the current situation of the "card interruption" action by the Ministry of Public Security.

     好了，接下来我们开始分析现货黄金行情。截至发稿时间，现货黄金报价1873.9美元，平安夜行情依旧波澜不惊，小时线布林严重缩口，后市大幅波动应该不远了。

    Fundamental analysis:

     美国财政刺激真可谓一波三折，美国总统川普暗示或拒签新一轮刺激法案，要求大幅增加现金发放，把600美元救助金增加到2000美元。这令分析师们担心川普如果推翻国会的法案，可能冲击风险情绪，部分投资者可能会套现离场。同时，如果川普不签署法案，在今年的最后几天，美国政府还可能再次陷入短暂停摆的状态。经济数据方面，美国11monthPCE物价指数年率实际公布1.1%, expected1.2%, Previous value1.2%，表现不及预期和前值。

　　美联储在最新的利率决议中，寻求在长期内实现最大就业和2%的通胀目标。考虑到通胀持续低于这一目标，美联储将致力于在一段时间内实现通胀适度高于2%，从而帮助平均通胀达到2%。不过美国截至12month19日当周初请失业金人数实际公布80.30Ten thousand, expected88Ten thousand, previous value88.5万。疫苗的分发将有助于遏制病毒传播并缓解经济限制措施，帮助金融市场企稳。但由于分发和接种疫苗人数将需要数月时间才能到达一定规模，但考虑到近期失业人数不断上涨导致经济忧虑加重，这令投资者风险情绪面临挑战。

   Technical analysis:

　　昨日现货金盘中短线下破60一线支撑后迅速反弹，加之因消息面的刺激黄金价格一度站上1878美金一线，最终收盘于1870一线。四小时形成了探底的阳线，进一步夯实了震荡区间的底部。技术面MACD死叉进一步收敛，双线于0轴处粘合，加之行情探底回升，表明金价走势回调整理结束。而从昨日行情走势再次证明了下方ma60均线的强支撑，预计接下来黄金将再度开启上涨模式。

From a golden technical perspective, at the daily level,MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，短线有上涨机会，但整体来看现货黄金还是震荡偏强运行，日内或继续徘徊于1865-1885之间，若金价跌破上行趋势线，有望进一步加强看跌预期。上方初步压力位在1890，下方初步支撑在1865。综合来看，今日尾盘短线操作思路上笔者建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，金价上方短期重点关注1881-1885Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1865-1860一线支撑。下周行情后面再做分析。

   

    Written at the end of the article: Friends who work in futures know that futures are traded on a time share basis, at night11The market will stop at midnight, and traders don't have to stay up late to watch the market. That's really tiring. For making goldcrude oilAs a trader, the author has always emphasized a state of investment: strict light position operation, strict stop loss, strict reduction of operation, not investing too much funds in trading, treating trading as a pastime. It doesn't matter if you lose or win every day, and it doesn't affect the normal operation of your family. In this way, even with the wind and waves blowing, you can still be better than idle walking, and there is no need to stay up late to read and analyze the market. Once the market fluctuates greatly, you will be jumpy, Don't ruin your health by not making a profit on your account.

   

    Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat:wdckdj。