Wang Decheng:12.22黄金持续盘整蓄能，后市又会是腥风血雨

       Wang Decheng:12.22gold持续盘整蓄能，后市又会是腥风血雨

    笔者在昨天下午五点左右的时候写了一篇文章《王德诚：12.21黄金市场都在看涨时，你得冷静防止机构出手》当时黄金报价在1901美元附近，那个时候基本上市场上的分析师和交易者全部都在看涨，我就文章里提示了，当市场情绪全部看涨的时候，这个时候就要防止机构出手。然后在下午06:11左右的时候，果然机构砸盘15亿美元，导致黄金直跌，一直探底到1856附近，跌幅接近60dollar.

     

    我要表达并不是说我预测能力有多准，或者说我分析能力有多强，我要表达的第一点就是不管是futures还是现货你都要要学会站在庄家机构的思维角度去分析行情，我要表达的第二点就是这就是经验的重要性，你有充足经验之后，你就能很好的预防市场未知的风险，先不谈盈利，最起码可以降低你交易的风险。经验可以给你提供最好的风控。希望各位看到我这篇文章的时候好好看一下我之前发的《王德诚：12.21黄金市场都在看涨时，你得冷静防止机构出手》这篇文章。

   好了，接下来开始分析行情。

    Fundamental analysis:

　   据美国媒体报道，美国国会就9000亿美元的疫情纾困方案达成协议。刚刚！9000亿美元的疫情纾困方案终于在国会达成一致了，该方案将针对小型企业发放新一轮的补贴、每周发放600美元的现金支票。以下是方案几个重要的具体内容：

　　向美国成人和儿童直接发放600美元的现金；收入在7.5万美元以上的个人和15万美元以上的夫妇补贴金额有所下降。

　　每周发放300美元的失业救济金直到明年3月，针对零工和长期失业者的救济也将继续。

　　向薪酬保证计划投放2840亿美元，用于为小型企业提供可免除贷款，占了该法案对小企业的3250亿美元援助中的大部分，但也最受争议。

　　消息出来后，金价短线上扬逼近1885USD level, current report1883.1dollar/Ounces, intraday increase0.38%。

  Technical analysis:

　　 历史总是反复重演，近两个月的走势，逢周一都是变盘日。昨日黄金再次冲高见顶，而在冲高回落之后，盘中顶部信号出现，我们果断直接在1902.5放空，站稳1900下方我们再次加仓放空。随着傍晚直接崩盘，盘中最低触及1855附近，大跌幅度超60美元，空单直接大赚。不过美盘的波动相对较小，行情陷入1870-1885之间反复震荡运行。

　　对于眼下的行情来说，目前盘中1886压制表现明显，今天过不去1886仍然看空。过了1886，则行情仍然将继续探顶。从另一个角度来说，要跌不会反弹太高，反弹过高一定是坑，不扫干净上方空头就很难回落。

　　操作上，今日建议在没有突破1886压制之前，我们隔夜黄金1902.5as well as1883空单继续持有不动，破位所有空单止损出局，等待反弹1900上方继续找机会做空，后市目标1850-1820区域。行情已经变盘，多单暂且回避，逢高做空为宜！！

   

   Written at the end of the article: Friends who work in futures know that futures are traded on a time share basis, at night11The market will stop at midnight, and traders don't have to stay up late to watch the market. That's really tiring. For making goldcrude oilAs a trader, the author has always emphasized a state of investment: strict light position operation, strict stop loss, strict reduction of operation, not investing too much funds in trading, treating trading as a pastime. It doesn't matter if you lose or win every day, and it doesn't affect the normal operation of your family. In this way, even with the wind and waves blowing, you can still be better than idle walking, and there is no need to stay up late to read and analyze the market. Once the market fluctuates greatly, you will be jumpy, Don't ruin your health by not making a profit on your account.

    Refuse the temptation of high profits and persist in rational investment. Investment and financial management are high-risk things, not as easy to make money, and maintaining rationality is the most important. Respect laws and regulations, avoid financial traps, and stay away from "high yield" scams. Investors must learn more relevant knowledge to distinguish between real and fake platforms, and learn the most basic knowledge of investment. Author Wang Decheng Futures Qualification Qualification NumberT329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat:wdckdj。