Wang Decheng:12.16黄金行情分析和操作建议附空单解套策略

        Wang Decheng:12.16gold行情分析和操作建议附空单解套策略

   Before writing the market analysis, let me talk about the matter of hedging: Today I want to talk about a very important point, and I hope all investment friends can listen to it. Everyone must bring a stop loss when placing orders, and never lock up positions. Essentially, locking up positions is a form of denying one's misjudgment of the market. On the surface, he appears to have kept your position safe, but in reality, he has taken up your funds and risk rate. After locking the position, he becomes hesitant when it comes to placing orders. Many people are reluctant to stop losses and like to lock up their positions. They always think that if the market rises, they will make a profit by taking more orders and can take out more orders, Then when the market falls, I will take out short orders. This way, not only can I make a profit, but I can also solve the problem at the same time, killing two birds with one stone. This is a beautiful idea, but in reality, it is often not like that. When the market really rises, they won't dare to level their long positions. They are afraid that if their long positions are tied, the market will continue to rise. This way, the short positions will become deeper and deeper, so they have to bear it all the time. In the end, they will waste overnight fees for nothing until their positions are liquidated. So, never lock up your position, always bring a stop loss. Otherwise, it will only be a repeat of the bloody failures of previous investors.

   现货黄金现在报价1857.4。创一周以来新高，交投于1857附近，周二(12month15day)Gold price rise1.44%to1853.63dollar/盎司，受美国将出台新一轮新冠援助计划的预期提振，与此同时，感染病例不断增加再次引发人们担忧疫情造成的经济损失。

　　刺激计划谈判周二传来捷报，国会两党密切磋商，对7480亿美元第一部分方案接近达成共识，有望在国会圣诞休会前推出，且市场预期即将到来的美联储利率决议将偏向鸽派，这使得金价不断受到提振上涨。不过投资者仍需密切注意疫苗接种的进展情况。短线金价突破1850有望延续涨势，日内关注上方1875and1900Resistance level.

　　日内重点关注年内最后一次美联储利率决议，另外还有美国11月“恐怖数据”零售销售月率以及一系列西方主要发达国家的12monthPMIdata

Fundamentally positive factors:

　　1.一位消息人士告诉CNBC，众议院议长佩洛西邀请国会领导人，包括参议院多数党麦康奈尔，讨论政府拨款和新冠病毒的救援方案。美国跨党派议员小组周一公布了他们针对疫情提出的9080亿美元刺激法案的细节。财政刺激计划的进展有助于提振黄金的需求。

　　2.据路透社官方数据统计，截至周一，新冠病毒已导致301085位美国人死亡，1650万美国人感染。周一，全美因感染新冠肺炎而住院的人数达到创纪录的110163人。新冠疫情持续肆虐有助于提振黄金的需求。

　　3.纽约州制造业12月份扩张步伐创下4个月最慢水平，因新订单指标降温。疲弱数据往往利空美元，利好黄金。

Fundamental bearish factors:

　　1.美国参议院多数党领袖麦康奈尔承认拜登是此次大选的获胜者，此前一天，选举人团投票确认了拜登的胜利。麦康奈尔的承认代表着一个关键时刻，进一步表明了特朗普竞选失败的结果。美国大选结果的明朗化有助于降低不确定性，不利于黄金。

　　2.由辉瑞公司和德国合作伙伴BioNTech SE开发的疫苗周一开始分发，三天前它获得了美国紧急使用授权。Moderna公司生产的第二种疫苗本周似乎即将获得监管机构的批准，美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)周二公布的文件显示，该疫苗安全有效。有关新冠疫苗的进展有助于减缓疫情的蔓延，降低对黄金的需求。

　技术面分析：

　　金价昨日收盘位于1850.00dollar/盎司上方，从而确认突破这一目标价位，这巩固了金价在未来几个交易日继续看涨趋势的预期，并为金价升向下一看涨目标1875.00dollar/盎司铺路。假如突破这一水平，这将推动金价升至1920.00reach1928.60dollar/盎司水平。预测金价在日内以及短期内处于看涨趋势。需要指出的是，金价维持在1820.00dollar/盎司上方对于继续看涨预期而言相当重要。预计，今日金价交投将位于支撑位1840.00dollar/Ounces and resistance levels1880.00dollar/盎司之间。今日对于黄金价格的预期趋势为看涨。

   拒绝高利诱惑，坚持理性投资。投资理财是高风险的事，没那么好赚钱，保持理智理性最重要。敬畏法律法规，规避金融陷阱，远离“高收益”騙局，投资者一定要多学习相关知识去明辨真假平台，把投资最基本的知识学一下。笔者王德诚futures从业资格合格编号T329796Qualification certificate number of financial planner:CICFPAGC1161851Contact WeChat:wdc4561。