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Message surface: gold价格尽管获得风险情绪高涨的支撑,但未能延续上周从1829美元回调的走势,保持在1850美元下方苦苦挣扎。英国脱欧无进度深陷困境难成催化剂,美国就业与经济刺激方案也陷入僵局,而中国交易数据与新冠疫苗传出佳音。中国与西方的纷争是近期金价发展势头的新影响因素,投资者应密切注意其对风险的挑战。截至截稿前,黄金跌幅达到0.03%, to1837.60USD.
上周五时候非农数据表现喜忧参半,和个人的看法一样黄金维持在1840上下洗盘运行,我们回顾下最近黄金自1765附近的反抽很大原因是因为对于美国新的财政刺激政策期望所致,目前来看达成协议的可能是很大的,不过随着时间的消退消息被市场消化后黄金还是会呈现一个弱势震荡格局,或者说目前黄金还是1750-1850的区间内震荡。目前仓位上有单的朋友,由于笔者李联赢不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况,不好给出相应的解套策略,需要解套的可单线本人(倌微:yy57564)
本周周初首先关注的是,上周五非农上冲未过,后市回落,但是依旧空间不大,其次短期上行走影线,连续走高的同时阴线增多,那么说明短期上行动力不足,同时走影线,上行走虚破,那么借助消息面是否延续性上冲有待考验,其次短期阴线增多,那么顺势跟多的同时,选点进场需要谨慎,以免出现被扫。
Today's market can be analyzed from the following points:
1、大周期的重要阻力支撑,锁定了市场的运行区间,关键阻力位的得失,则决定了中期的运行方向。周线上看,价格前期数次在1848-1852形成顶底转换,非农数据上冲1848后同样也进行了滞涨回落杀跌,那么只要价格不破1845-1848,上行空间难以打开。
2、日线三连阳后,周五震荡洗盘,行情归于平静。日线的小阴线K线,也显现出了多空方向的争夺。价格从1764进行的上涨,小时线周期看,临近的回调在1844-1832,之后再度上冲1848。那么只要1830-1828守住不破,行情短期强势就在延续,下跌空间难以打开。
3、周线的大空头弱势和日线的短期强势形成分歧,重点就关注价格超哪边破位,上方阻力关注1843-1845Below support attention1830-1828Let's take a look first1830-1845的震荡运行,周一的行情,继续围绕区间运行的概率极大,走突破延续可能不大。如果破位后再进行顺势布局操作。
操作建议:上方围绕1840-3Short selling, stop loss1849, Objective1832-1833一线。下方首次触及1825-30Long, stop loss181818, look at the goal1838-1839frontline.
crude oil资讯:根据路孚特石油研究编制的船舶追踪及港口数据,亚洲11月原油进口总量预估在250410000 barrels/日。虽然这个数字仍低于1month(疫情开始抑制需求前的一个月)of256710000 barrels/日,但较10Of226010000 barrels/日高出11%,10月数据为年内迄今最低的一个月。这些数据确实表明亚洲原油需求正开始复苏。随后在周日,沙特立即上调出口亚洲的原油价格。继9Month10Month and12月连续下调售价之后,沙特国有原油生产商沙特阿美将供应亚洲的阿拉伯轻油的价格每桶上调了80美分,比基准价格高出了30美分,前一个月的定价是比基准价格低50美分。而且,沙特这次对亚洲油价的上调幅度是五个月来最大的,表明这个全球最大的石油出口国,对全球至少是对亚洲的需求复苏有信心,认为需求的提升足以吸收OPEC+下月起的温和增产,且即使欧洲和美国仍实施部分封锁,但市场仍能保持紧俏。
原油方面,周五油价早间迎来快速冲高回落,亚盘多头强势拉升刺破46.6一线回落震荡整理,欧美盘并未延续强势破高,而是受阻于技术面47关口迎来连续回落调整,晚间最低下探至45.6附近震荡收盘。原油上周延续慢涨收高,周线形成五连阳的破位上涨,周K线形态依旧是整理慢涨结构。日K线继续以冲高回落中阳报收,连续三个交易日收阳企稳5日均线上方强势区域运行,在上周五依托45关口高位强势调整后本周有望迎来进一步震荡上行延续,日线上周五惯性探高46.60附近后收盘在中性位置,日线带有一定的上影线,使得破位的单边延续不足,而呈现出迂回震荡上扬的走法。日线看涨,短线迂回。
4Hour chart from43.9以来的短期上升趋势线,需要关注44的支撑情况,触及此趋势线可以布局多单操作,而45.6位置也转化成了近期的支撑平台,MACD指标快慢线形成金叉运行良好,红色能量柱持续放量,说明油价的上涨还没有结束,先看调整之后再看涨。下方顶底转换支撑在45.3-4附近,同时日线5Rihe10日均线粘合支撑在45.3附近,四小时上行趋势线支撑在45Near.
综合来看李联赢认为,油价整体运行在上升通道中,通道下轨不下破,油价有进一步走高概率。今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主,高空为辅,下方支撑关注45.5-45.0dollar/桶支撑,上方阻力位关注46.8-47.3dollar/桶阻力。行情千变万化,需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略,可直接添加本人指导交流【yy57564】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
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This article is written by Li Lianyingyy57564As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.
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