Li Lianying:11.24最新黄金延续走低，今日行情分析及操作建议

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   What are the recent news impactsgoldcrude oil走势？黄金后市多空该如何研判？

　　北京时间周一晚间，美国公布的数据显示，11monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIThe initial value is56.7, refresh near74个月以来新高，预期为53, previous value is53.4;U.S.A11monthMarkitService industryPMIThe initial value is57.7, refresh68个月新高，预期55.3, previous value is56.9。周二亚市盘中，现货黄金短线再度出现急跌，并失守1830dollar/盎司关口，一度逼近1820dollar/盎司水平。除了新冠疫苗最新消息之外，美国大选也传来重磅消息：美国总务管理局称拜登的过渡进程可以正式开始。这一消息消除了部分美国大选结果的不确定性，从而对金价构成一定程度的打击。

　　尽管美国新冠疫情严重，但此次疫情下美国没有采取全国封锁的措施，经济活动受到的影响有限。市场研究机构IHS Markit首席经济学家威廉姆森指出，制造业和服务业11月的商业活动都达到了自2015year3月以来的最高水平，经济好转反映了需求的进一步增强，这反过来又鼓励企业以自2009年以来最高的速度招聘员工，但是更强劲的经济增长确实是要付出代价的。

　　昨日疫苗利好，阿斯利康一种新冠疫苗接种方案的有效性达到90%，黄金避险情绪回落，再度加速暴跌。第一次汇瑞公司疫苗利好，黄金暴跌115美金，第二次MODERNA公司疫苗利好，黄金暴跌30多美金，昨日第三次阿斯利康疫苗利好，黄金暴跌37美金。一举跌破近期的30周期均线支撑，点位上也跌破1850美元的关键支撑，同时也引发了一波止损，至此空头信号得到进一步增强。目前全球经济开始呈现可持续复苏预期，金价处于守势回撤中，但市场背后的推动力尚未完全消散。美国10-30年期债虽目前处于反弹趋势，但长期仍处于下跌，故此，美债反弹遇阻下行趋势压力，则也是金价再度看涨之机，这也是长期债务风险。

Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:

　　昨日，黄金自反弹1875一线迎来大跌40多个点，空头可说迎来了一个质的爆发。而今日，黄金早间开盘1837Nearby, opening fell back1830不破陷入震荡，随后空头直接破位1830，这一点来看，相对性也会进一步迎来走低。技术面来看，日线M5均线压制下移1855附近，空头压制不断下移，这一点相对性也会局限黄金的反弹。那么对于下方而言，各位重点就是关注1820关口能否破位，其次则是关注1814附近日线布林带下轨以及1810-1800关口支撑情况。进一步关注1796Nearby Daily LineM200均线支撑即可。一旦下破，那么空头将直指1750-1700。

　　现货黄金价格4小时整理后单阴下挫跌破区间下轨1848-1850.此位转换成今日的阻力位置，随着上周长时间整理拉动指标向下。本周周初完成破位奠定本周弱势空头格局，昨晚尾盘时段单阴K线之后伴随了小阳线的修正，局部的弱势修正以时间换空间。那么今天还会进一步的弱势下跌且反弹的空间不会太大。故今天的空点要积极一些，不然极容易踏空进场点位。

　　黄金的价格一波下跌浪形的释放之后，也只是横向整理修正，反弹的空间不大。破低口1848就成为较大压力，而昨晚尾盘的高点在1840-1842间受到压制，今日是首个空点， 综合来看今日短线操作思路上张晨雷建议以反弹做空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注1840-1844Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1816-1820Frontline support.

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This article is written by Li Lianyingyy57564As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Li Lianying provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidance. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.