11.18黄金看涨之势依旧存在 未有效破1884不追空

当你点开这篇文章就代表，你会相信我的实力；你敢进入有风险的投资市场，那么也就代表你有野心；投资交易并不难，可是却还是有不少的亏损的朋友，这说明什么？说明我们曾经盲目，曾经失误，曾经选择错，既然错了，那么就要改正，没有注定的亏损，只有不努力的我们；既然对市场还有渴望和期待，那何不跟我感受一下这个市场的魅力！——我是分析师谭鑫晟，不是所有的都适合，合适的只有一个。你不将就，我不敷衍，愿投资路上幸运与你同行，盈利与你相伴！

goods in stockgoldOverview of the current market situation:

现货黄金仍然位于1900下方交投。尽管周一Moderna公布了更靓丽的新冠疫苗的试验数据，但是市场反应似乎没有那么激烈，部分可能还是在于目前全球疫情的形势非常严峻，冲击经济复苏的预期！但至少降低了市场的避险情绪，而另外，美元也会处于两难当中，虽然经济复苏会有一定利好，但同时避险吸引会大幅降低。

Beijing Time11month17day21:30, USA10月零售销售月率公布，录得0.3%Expected value is0.5%，前值由1.90%Downward revision to1.6%。数据出炉后，现货黄金走高，随后站上1890美元关口最高至1893上方。此外，美股stock market indexfutures均小幅下挫。美国10The yield of one-year treasury bond bond is from0.882%lower0.877%。因美国二次疫情愈演愈烈，且美国新一轮财政刺激计划迟迟不出台，降低了美国民众的消费支出水平。

现货黄金行情关注：

根据日程安排，美联储鲍威尔还将在香港时间11month18Early morning of02:00的讲话。鲍威尔将在第25届湾区商务名人堂活动上发表主旨演讲。有分析指出，鲍威尔有望引发市场剧烈波动，尤其是疫情形势严峻，且美国新一轮刺激举措“遥遥无期”，以及新冠肺炎疫情还存在运输、保存等实际问题之际。

现货黄金行情解读：

本周二(11month17day)，现货黄金基本持稳于1884-1893区间内窄幅震荡，日内波动不足10美元。美元指数创下六个交易日新低至92.275。从黄金日线图看，周一黄金探低回升，录得长下影线形态，但实体仍在震荡区间内波动，日线指标看，MACD指标负动能柱仍然持续，于0轴附近横向运行，RSIIndicator maintained at midline50位置附近，指标方向并不明朗。短时间内建议关注1880-1890section.4小时图看，自金价周一大幅跳水对双底形态造成了破坏后，本周二一直处于1884-1893区间内震荡，但是低位震荡反弹走势依然保存良好。金价布林通道张口有所收窄，金价持续在布林中轨与上轨之间振荡运行。短期均线EMA5AndMA10双线胶结。MACD指标虽红色动能柱极度缩小，但双线仍在金叉过程当中，RSIIndicator in51位置附近徘徊。短线操作上，黄金上方的主要压制仍然是来自于1900整数关口，金价要重回强势需要届时对该位置进行有效突破。

从目前的行情走势当中看，周二美盘时段黄金几次冲高都收到来自于1893一线的压制而回落到1886一线，而周二亚欧交投时段黄金多次冲高1893未果而多次回落测试1884一线的支撑。而且，本周一黄金探底回升过后周二凌晨金价回落也是止步于1884上方。那么我们可以却认一点的就是下方1886and1884这两个位置的支撑是非常关键的，而且1884位置尤为突出！此处作为多空分界线作用非常明显，若是要跌，需要跌回此处下方才行。反之，以此作为防守支撑，将有望继续攀升寻找1893-1896，再攀升1900-1902区域，破位加速寻找1908-1910范围或1920-1922。若是破1884支撑于下方，金价将去测试1868-1864区域。那么在操作上谭鑫晟认为只要黄金回落不破1884这一位置看涨思路可继续持有，若是下破了则思路调整主空副多参与。截止发稿黄金冲高受阻回落于1886上方，我们现价再次直接多进去，先看反弹择机在根据实盘行情空！

Suggestions for spot gold operations:

1Gold falling back1884-1886区域附近做多，止损1880Next, target1890-1893-1896Near the area, look at the broken position1898-1900Nearby the area, held in a broken position

2、黄金有效跌破1884后可顺势跟空一波，止损6Points, target1878-1868-1864Nearby the area, held in a broken position

3、黄金反弹有效受阻1890-1893Short selling and stop loss near the area6Points, target1886-1884Near the area, take a look down1880-1878-1873Nearby the area, held in a broken position

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