United StatesWTI 12monthcrude oilfuturesElectronic disk price Monday(11month2day)Closing up1.3USD, increase3.63%。油价周一反弹逾3%,在美国总统大选投票即将结束的前一天反弹,此前由于对冠状病毒病例上升的担忧,油价连续几天下跌。石油市场一直处于压力之下,因几个欧洲国家重新实施封锁,以遏制冠状病毒,人们担心燃料需求减弱。最近,美国单日新增病例数也刷新纪录,主要的石油贸易商认为,这可能会阻碍需求的复苏。
美油和布油盘中稍早均下跌逾2美元,但亚洲和美国强劲的制造业数据令其反弹。美国10Monthly manufacturing activity growth exceeded expectations, with new orders jumping to nearly17年来最高水平美国stock market index周一上涨,能源期货走势有时与股指走势一致。分析师表示,在短期内最有可能撼动股市的是周二晚间没有明确赢家的选举结果,因仍有几个州需要进行计票。法国巴黎银行分析师表示,对石油供需基本面的担忧将成为配角,美国总统大选以及风险市场对结果的反应将是主角。调查显示,10Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)产出连续第四个月上升。
技术面走势来看,日线受到至2074开始回调之后,反弹高点的压力趋势线之下承压,当前强弱分水岭1910附近,但是日线短期面临1900关口压力,若不能突破企稳则短期多头还将弱势震荡下行,突破1900后上方若破位1915,则进一步打开上行的趋势,若回调在1900企稳则将处于千九上方震荡,若在选举前继续承压1900下,则加剧短线加速下行的风险,短线方面来看,昨日欧美盘金价持续企稳1880-1885中轨支撑反弹,目前上方有进一步延续反弹1900附近的趋势,短线操作上李联赢建议低多为主,高空为辅,上方阻力关注1900-1905First line, support attention from below1888-1885frontline.
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