Shi Wanjin:10.23Gold and Silver+TD上涨无力下周还会跌吗？走势分析

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现在的你是不是还在迷茫中，无论行情暴涨，暴跌，单边还是震荡，你是不是总是没把握住？就是所谓的一买就跌，一跌就割，一割就涨，一涨就追，一追又套，一套再割。这就像一个死套，资金不断缩水，如此循环。如果你处在这样的循环中，请停下来好好想想，总结一下经验和教训，整装再发。如果你相信我或者只是看到过石万金的文章，就能认同万金讲的，万金可以肯定的说一点，我虽不能保证你单单百分之百都盈利，但是会用认真负责的态度，精准的单位判断，稳健的做单方式来保证你整体长期获利。其实可怕的不是行情，而是迷失了自己，找不到方向感，如果你做单不顺或投资经常资金缩水，那么我们可以聊聊。

刚入市gold的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对咱们做黄金来讲是很大的困扰，所以石万金欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子，石万金微信 ：swj178Get more real-time investment information, market trend analysis, and trading strategy guidance.

Gold market analysis:

黄金技术面分析，黄金昨日破位强势的下行行情，最近阴阳转换，震荡形态特征，周三金价冲高到1931Frontline, unable to break through1933In the short term, the more times gold prices have surged, the greater the chance of breaking the limit. However, the more times they have died prematurely, the less likely they are to break the limit. This round of surge has reached1931If there is no break in the first line, the possibility of a significant increase again is not high. However, I would like to emphasize that the recent market has been a volatile one. Although there was a strong decline in the market yesterday, it is still important to pay attention to the possibility of a rebound in gold prices. Although the market is fluctuating, it is impossible to move back and forth every day. Currently, the market is weak, and we should focus on the gold price1894The high point since the rebound in the vicinity1912附近的压力位置，如果能破位，那么多头还是有机会的。从技术面来看，昨日的阴线直接吞没了周三的阳线，原本市场看涨的声音全部淹没，大幅度的下探依然未能改变短期震荡的格局，所以日线级别我认为依然 会走震荡的行情。

早间开盘在1902附近，今天黄金还是看震荡，方向预计先涨后跌。从技术面看，周四的大跌，促使黄金在日线收大阴，目前价位在日线周期布林中轨附近，按惯性来讲，日内黄金需要反弹继续做空，高点预计看周四大阴的中间点位1915附近，如果持续下跌破位，低点可以看1880附近，而小周期并不是如此，由于午夜黄金的反弹，从1894Up to1907，有13美金空间，4小时周期在低位收了一根长下引线的阳线，站稳在布林下轨之上，并且布林收口，均线保持平缓，因此，短线没有绝对的弱势，日内可看反弹空间，再看延续下跌力度。综合来看：黄金短线操作思路上石万金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1918-1920Resistance, short-term focus below1894-1896Frontline support.

国际白银：

昨晚数据显示，美国上周初请失业金人数减少5.5Ten thousand people, until seasonally adjusted78.7万人，但总体人数仍相对较高。白银随黄金出现大幅调整，但因为白银的工业属性强于黄金，似乎比较抗跌。日线图上白银自年初低点11.3Starting from the US dollar, the fifth wave is currently in operation, and the structure cannot yet determine whether the fifth wave has ended.1Hour chart from23.56The upward trend line since then has been broken downwards and has rebounded to38.2%The position of the market will continue to focus on rebound structures in the future, with a focus on the golden section line61.8%（24.93）。 In terms of operation, it is recommended to wait for new opportunities in the medium and long term, and pay attention in the short term24.93A line of resistance, if there is a clear suppression signal in the market, it can be short. Upper pressure24.93and25.56, lower support24.40and24.00。

silverTD：

silverTDAspect, SilverTDYesterday, the daily line collected a high cross star pattern. After opening at night, silver first fluctuated and fell in a wave, and then began to rebound. The daily line's Bollinger band is still developing downward, with resistance at the top5280，MACDThe golden fork forms and begins to increase in quantity;4On the hour line, there is a slow upward trend in the development of the Bollinger, and the upper resistance level is5270Nearby,MACDThe dead fork is about to form and begin to expand; The hourly line has a trend of continuous downward opening development, and the upper resistance level is5230Nearby, supported below5130Nearby,MACD死叉依旧放量，今日白银整体是先跌后涨的趋势，上方阻力位5230-5250, supported below5160-5130，套单锁仓操作常期亏损可找石万金（レ信：swj178）获取帮助。

做单就需要对行情节奏的精准把握，该出手时果断出击，该收网时及时获利，二者缺一不可。困难总是存在的，如何调整好心态想办法克服才是我们应该思考的问题：

1、不要想买最低卖最高，那是神作的事；操作的重点就在：快、狠、准。学习等待，不到最佳出手点决不轻言出手。出手后，绝大部分人看的是赚多少，而我只看行情是否如预期。只要不如预期，第一动作就是止损！

2On9:15前不要动手，先看清主力的企图在说。研判今日的趋势再下手，虽然不能获得最大利润，却可保身。

3、下单同时要立即设止损价，以不超过30点为限。同时每日更新止盈、止损价，以确保获利不致回吐，止损后要检讨为何作错单，自己的操作上哪里有盲点，如何避掉这个盲点? 不懂就问。有些问题只靠自己想一辈子都不见得找的到答案。

4、以十日均线当进出的参考。十日线上不作空，十日线下不作多，至少可以避掉致命的风险，这种风险的发生，通常在于执着于对盘势的判断。盘是活的，当然脑筋也要跟着转。随机应变是futures高手必备的条件之一。

5、何时为趋势盘，何时为盘整盘??如果短中期均线纠结，通常一经发动都是一波涨跌势。一个趋势盘在破5日均线后3日仍不能恢复原趋势则为盘整。盘整日多寡则看该趋势发生时间的长短而定。例如走多头的行情如果不能持续创新高，则表示行情进入整理。上涨的时间越久则通常整理时间就越久。另外在一段涨势或跌势后容易出现突破上升或下降趋势线，此时就应该先行出场，因为趋势已经改变了。

6、盘整期间不论有无创新高低，只要看原趋势是否改变即可，趋势不变则呈现的只是不同的整理型态。

7、转折：所谓的转折，指的是沿原趋势上涨之转折或是趋势扭转之转折，俗称之变盘是也。这一部分太复杂，除了盘中出现的所谓多头或空头的败笔外，均线纠结也是一种观察法，而另一种是所谓的时间波。本条所讨论者，是时间波的转折。尤其是搭配均线使用，有很高的准确度。判别方法为︰将RSIorKD之高低点来划出一个压力线或支撑线，如果可以在50位置得到交叉，则那个位置就是变盘点。而使用上，在日线上画出来的变盘力量会比时线上画出来的强，而小时线(or15分钟线)比日线更能精确预测变盘点。

8、跳空：对于反转型态，如果出现的是开盘的跳空上(broken)5日线且回测有守，则更应特别小心，因为这是强势多头或空头的表现，此时应先拔档观望，但仍不须立即进场反向操作。因为V型反转型态的出现，其前提在于瞬间的超跌。否则一般都会出现第二只脚(或头)。

9、勿让盈余转为亏损：有些当日内交易者建立头寸以后,马上出现账面盈余,却忽略了获利平仓的契机,最后竟变成赔钱的生意。我建议一旦建立头寸以后，马上随行情变化,设定止损价位。行情反转时,就可确保利润。

对于想学习投资技术和知识的朋友，我很赞同。石万金个人认为投资朋友在投资的过程中提高自身能力，用自己所掌握的技术知识来分析及操作，并乐在其中，爱上这个投资而不是恐惧。恐惧是因为没有实力没有判断力。石万金一直推崇的就是在指导的过程中去慢慢学习掌握常用的技术指标（均线、MACD、KDJ、支撑位、阻力位等）结合基本面来进行分析行情走势及具体的操作点位，逐步地提高自己的综合分析能力，并锻炼自己的心态。慢慢一步步成长起来，毕竟投资是一个长期的过程。所以石万金带投资朋友也遵循这一原则：授之以鱼不如授之以渔，我会教你从最基本的做起。

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　　本文由石万金（微信：swj178）供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对黄金、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，石万金老师在线解套，亏损回本，一对一实时指导微信：swj178 Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.